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House Price Crash Forum

Cheap Borrowing Is Fuelling A Consumer Credit Boom


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HOLA441
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HOLA442
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HOLA443

Nothing, it's a perfect plan. Nothing can go wrong! :P

"The Bank of England has indicated that still high consumer debt levels are an important factor why it will only raise interest rates gradually over the longer term," added Mr Archer.

I loved this bit. If the US and Europe raise rates for any reason (yes, seems very unlikely at the moment) we will have to follow suit, wherever the BOE want to or not!

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HOLA444
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HOLA445
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HOLA446
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HOLA447

Credit is very cheap at the moment with the latest offer from Lloyds on their credit card being the following which if you can make the money work better for you elsewhere for the interest free period of 2.5 years that they will lend you it interest free (1.5% fee) then it's not hard to see how people rack up such debt!

  • 0% interest for up to the first 28 months on balances transferred within the first 90 days after your account is opened.
  • Balance transfer fee of 1.5% applies on balances transferred within the first 90 days of opening the account, 3% fee applies thereafter.
  • 0% interest on purchases for the first 12 months after your account is opened.
Edited by GeordieAndy
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HOLA448
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HOLA449
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HOLA4410
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HOLA4411

Can't say I blame them. Load up on debt, scream murder when bill due, go bankrupt, wait a few years. Rinse, Repeat.

I'm sure there are exceptions, but I'm not sure about the "rinse , repeat" these days.

In recent times, even when I was quoted to take out home insurance, one of the first questions

was " have you ever been bankrupt ? "

Edited by Saving For a Space Ship
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HOLA4412
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HOLA4413

I dont have credit card but i have had two posted to me in the last few week and an application for master card the other day.

Mine keeps sending me letters offering to increase my credit limit, which is bizarre when I've never even come close to the current limit.

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HOLA4414
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Guest UK Debt Slave

A certain sign of consumer distress and lack of disposable income. The economy is going down, basically. It's going to get exceptionally nasty this time.

Same ol same ol!

Incredible isn't it!

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HOLA4416
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HOLA4417
"The Bank of England has indicated that still high consumer debt levels are an important factor why it will only raise interest rates gradually over the longer term," added Mr Archer.

It's a cracker!

So you keep interest rates artificially low because of high debt levels, which allows indebted individuals to borrow more increasing their debt levels, meaning interest rates must remain low due to high debt levels......etc etc.

We are so fecked.

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HOLA4418
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HOLA4419

What a monster they have created. I'm in the 'interest rates will never rise' camp. We will be in the next crisis, which will be an order of magnitude larger than the last before interest rates rise.

"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved."

Looks like they've picked the latter option.

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HOLA4420
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HOLA4422
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HOLA4423

IRs don't just rise cos of inflation.

Sometimes they rise cos the country struggles to fund its deficit.

If there is an absence of inflation (or even if inflation is present, but is still low enough to lie about) they'll just force the creation of new debt themselves to fund the deficit as they have done the past few years.

No inflation, no IR rises.

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HOLA4424

If there is an absence of inflation (or even if inflation is present, but is still low enough to lie about) they'll just force the creation of new debt themselves to fund the deficit as they have done the past few years.

No inflation, no IR rises.

Not really.

External creditors sell the pound and/or ask for higher yields.

If the BoE/gov responds by printing more money then the pound will crash and yields shoot up.

Devaluing your currency does not really work as it used to, or at least as people thought it did esp. for an advanced (cough) open economy.

Edited by spyguy
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HOLA4425

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-12-02/middle-class-spending-crash-explained

As The Wall Street Journal reports,

Consumer spending continues to make up just over two-thirds of the U.S. economy. But where households spend that money has shifted significantly.
To see how it has moved, the Journal analyzed Labor Department data on 2013 out-of-pocket spending for the middle 60% of the population by income—households earning between about $18,000 and $95,000 a year, before taxes.
The data show they are losing ground.
Overall spending for the group rose by about 2.3% over the six-year period from 2007, even as inflation totaled about 12%
. At the same time, income for the group stagnated, rising less than half a percent.
With health care and other costs rising, these consumers spent less on furniture, entertainment, clothing and even child care, the Journal analysis found.

It seems the problems are contagious.

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