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Housing Market Collapse Can't Be Far Off.


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HOLA441
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HOLA445

Got to ask why, during all those property porn years, no one "snapped this up". Something bad happen there?

old dear just went into a home after 30 years in the place and now the family want to sell.

Quite a few come up due to deaths, is quite an age to the owners of bigger/better places around here. Sadly, the EA's have taken to open house days and sealed bids for most of them. Quite a few have been bought by builders and knocked down for the plot. One good sized 4 bed det with a good plot recently sold - builders knocked it down and are currently squeezing 4 houses on it

Edited by Number79
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HOLA4412

This is worth an hour of your time if you haven't watched it. Skip the 5-6 minute introduction and move to where Elizabeth Warren starts speaking.

thanks, pretty much in line with my own understanding and research about this.

The transfer of wealth and industry from west to east is now the real nail in our coffin

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Someone here with a 6 times joint income interest only mortgage complaining about Santander

What's the problem - 156K mortgage plus an extra 35K on top... but they claim to have done 40K of improvements.... so 156K value of house and 40K improvements is 196K spent on house.... and now they say it has been valued at 270K?

Should be happy shouldn't they?

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HOLA4416

I must admit I find that very hard to believe. I must have led a sheltered life.

It was the life insurance salesman wot done it. He got us the multiple we needed through his contacts at the building society. As it turned out I paid off the mortgage in under fifteen years and pocketed the proceeds of the endowment, good job too as if it had gone to full term the endowment policy would have been worthless.

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Someone here with a 6 times joint income interest only mortgage complaining about Santander

Pretty sure that they are of the minority. As far as a crash comes im pretty sure we have seen it already 2 years ago. I managed to land a 3 bed semi for 20% off original price,(Borderline repo) house next door but 2 went for 40k more than i paid in 2005-2006 and next door 20k in around 2009. I paid 80k it was originally on the market for 100k. in 2011..Im moving in with my girlfriend and have no intention of selling as rent demand is high in the area and will cover the mortgage (fixed at 5% until jan 14) and then some, had 3 offers already for renting but im still renovating till January..I suppose my point being there are plenty of people in good positions who do not need to sell

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HOLA4419

What's the problem - 156K mortgage plus an extra 35K on top... but they claim to have done 40K of improvements.... so 156K value of house and 40K improvements is 196K spent on house.... and now they say it has been valued at 270K?

Should be happy shouldn't they?

Quite.

But with a joint income of 30k a year this was never going to end well. Time they quit their paper rounds and got propper jobs - or sell up.

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HOLA4420

Pretty sure that they are of the minority. As far as a crash comes im pretty sure we have seen it already 2 years ago. I managed to land a 3 bed semi for 20% off original price,(Borderline repo) house next door but 2 went for 40k more than i paid in 2005-2006 and next door 20k in around 2009. I paid 80k it was originally on the market for 100k. in 2011..Im moving in with my girlfriend and have no intention of selling as rent demand is high in the area and will cover the mortgage (fixed at 5% until jan 14) and then some, had 3 offers already for renting but im still renovating till January..I suppose my point being there are plenty of people in good positions who do not need to sell

And plenty in good positions who do not need to buy ;).

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HOLA4421

What's the problem - 156K mortgage plus an extra 35K on top... but they claim to have done 40K of improvements.... so 156K value of house and 40K improvements is 196K spent on house.... and now they say it has been valued at 270K?

Should be happy shouldn't they?

Well it states what the mortgage was for but not what they paid for the house and how much deposit they put down. If it was a 125% mortgage they are better off? :blink:

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HOLA4422

Pretty sure that they are of the minority. As far as a crash comes im pretty sure we have seen it already 2 years ago. I managed to land a 3 bed semi for 20% off original price,(Borderline repo) house next door but 2 went for 40k more than i paid in 2005-2006 and next door 20k in around 2009. I paid 80k it was originally on the market for 100k. in 2011..Im moving in with my girlfriend and have no intention of selling as rent demand is high in the area and will cover the mortgage (fixed at 5% until jan 14) and then some, had 3 offers already for renting but im still renovating till January..I suppose my point being there are plenty of people in good positions who do not need to sell

agreed, late 2008/early 2009 was it. Qe, obumma back in, and the race of currencies to the bottom means no point waiting anymore - risk off, cash to assets.

Plenty around here in no rush to sell, mostly older and mortgage free, valued by the ludicrous agent, content to leave on market for couple of years

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HOLA4423

agreed, late 2008/early 2009 was it. Qe, obumma back in, and the race of currencies to the bottom means no point waiting anymore - risk off, cash to assets.

Plenty around here in no rush to sell, mostly older and mortgage free, valued by the ludicrous agent, content to leave on market for couple of years

I don't see a big collapse either, just a slow grind down - if they drop another 10% nominal over the next five or six years then I'll probably be happy to buy - that would be more than a 50% real terms drop from peak

Edited by oldsport
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HOLA4424

I don't see a big collapse either, just a slow grind down - if they drop another 10% nominal over the next five or six years then I'll probably be happy to buy - that would be more than a 50% real terms drop from peak

I give this thing another 6 months.

QE is already becoming 'difficult' and without that, interest rates will go up. That will force house prices down, as well as cause all sorts of problems. You can only fiddle with the laws of free enterprise for so long, and a system based on so much debt is unsustainable.

What's happening to house prices in Greece, BTW? I keep hearing about the collapse in Ireland and Spain, but not Greece.

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HOLA4425

Pretty sure that they are of the minority. As far as a crash comes im pretty sure we have seen it already 2 years ago. I managed to land a 3 bed semi for 20% off original price,(Borderline repo) house next door but 2 went for 40k more than i paid in 2005-2006 and next door 20k in around 2009. I paid 80k it was originally on the market for 100k. in 2011..Im moving in with my girlfriend and have no intention of selling as rent demand is high in the area and will cover the mortgage (fixed at 5% until jan 14) and then some, had 3 offers already for renting but im still renovating till January..I suppose my point being there are plenty of people in good positions who do not need to sell

I'm hearing stories of homeowners asking to borrow money from neighbours. A relative was telling me how she was recently approached by a homeowner who lives at the top of the road to borrow £100 for a short term loan. Her answer was no. Got enough on paying their own bills. We'd already heard he'd borrowed from other neighbours, and thought they'd been too generous and trusting to have lent him bigger sums without any paperwork, but had no idea he'd then also come and then ask them for money. They barely know him.

Someone in financial difficulty, their hours cut and some years away from retirement, hogging a large house which should go to a family, and which an EA might put on market at £700K to begin with.

The people in good positions who don't need to sell have limited affect on the market. It only requires a certain level of increase in the number of people who experience more of a need to sell, with not enough buyers willing or able to afford their asking prices, where things get interesting for values. A crash can happen even with a majority of homeowners not requiring to sell.

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