shedfish Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 my guess is a +ve number, based on the assumption they'd have published them by now if they were -ve (BoE meets wednesday, decision thursday) or does that matter any more, in these dog days of ZIRP? they'll probably be here http://www.lloydsbankinggroup.com/media1/r...halifax_hpi.asp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Monk Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 +1.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abharrisson Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 My guess would be up by something around 1%......... however as I have always said in the real world this means nothing as in this very slim market I doubt their figures have any statistical relevance.... and I'd be saying the same, and have said the same when they are down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mugwump Boy Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 I think a surprise negative. Gordo already knows this and was pre-empting them with his recession may get worse comments today... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 (edited) Plus 2.4-2.6% Wife says Plus 1.8% Edited July 6, 2009 by gruffydd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Umiapik Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 Whatever happens, lets make sure that there's a drama-storm of a thread around the results! If there's one thing that hpc.com needs, it's more furious argument over the deep meaning of the change in a single price indicator, across a single month! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dapperdave Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 +0.9, then slowly get back to about -1.2% a month over the next 3 months to continue to March 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turnbull2000 Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 If local indicators are anything to go by, then +2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cht Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 When are they due to be published? I would guess a positive number as Halifax has lagged Nationwide on the spring bounce thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
three pint princess Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 (edited) Halifx June + 2.0% , just a guess. Nationwide July 0% or -0.5% Edit: says 7th-10th release on http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php Edited July 6, 2009 by Tom Peters Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spivT Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 Whatever happens, atleast we'll be spared the rinoahamishvalerius gloating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wires 74 Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 +1.5 % I predict - this spring bounce now has too much data in support for it to be an outlier ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prof Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 +0.9, then slowly get back to about -1.2% a month over the next 3 months to continue to March 2010 What he said. Sounds like a reasonable bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prof Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 Whatever happens, atleast we'll be spared the rinoahamishvalerius gloating. Which is nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Now or never Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 It'll be a positive 0% - 0.9%, followed by negatives of between 3% to 5% everymonth for a decade! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prof Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 It'll be a positive 0% - 0.9%, followed by negatives of between 3% to 5% everymonth for a decade! ........ and then I was rudely awoke by the alarm clock. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spline Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 These are the Tradition Future HPI / SPREFS (annoyingly, they publish with lots of errors and inconsistencies, so these are ‘best-effort’ assembled + corrected). Month - £ 1-year 3-year 5-year Mar - 125,775 117,814 124,182 Apr - 127,296 125,725 130,439 May - 137,512 130,439 135,154 Jun - 147,195 143,173 148,804 It's showing a swing UP in the level of the anticipated trough. Source PDFs here, see Residential on page 2, but watch out for errors/inconsistencies in each previous month’s figures: http://www.sprefs.com/index.php?page_id=169 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SavingBear Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 a big flat 0% is my guess Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaspers Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 +3.4% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juvenal Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 Plus 0.5% And I say that reluctantly and begrudgingly. With the worst possible grace, and a resounding fart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shedfish Posted July 6, 2009 Author Share Posted July 6, 2009 + 0.8 and said the same as ^^ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Renter Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 Whatever happens, atleast we'll be spared the rinoahamishvalerius gloating. McTavish is still here, just under a different name. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swankyman Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 (edited) +0.4% Although, if it's a negative number, it won't be reported anywhere!!!! Edited July 6, 2009 by swankyman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
profitofdoom Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 It'll be a positive 0% - 0.9%, followed by negatives of between 3% to 5% everymonth for a decade! I look forward to moving into Cheyne Walk in 2019 for 17/6d Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redmen9 Posted July 6, 2009 Share Posted July 6, 2009 Ah well, just to buck the trend I'll give an optimistically pessimistic prediction of -1.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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