TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 (edited) MODS, this is kind of a duplicate of the last poll but it'll show if people have changed their mind. The other poll ends at midnight tonight From what I've heard/read over last few days, like it or lump it, rates are going up on Thursday. What do you think now ? I still wont believe it till I see it but they are making very different noises from before. Im defintiely in the YES camp. It's brown pants time. Edited October 31, 2017 by TheCountOfNowhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 2 for No, no comments. C'mon folks tell us why you vote !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Si1 Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 The expectation and rhetoric is so strong that I suspect it's baked in - coming from people with insider connections. So I changed my opinion to a yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiley George Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 Vote tied 4 - 4, Carney cast his vote on the side of no rise.... cue lots of talk about vigilance and looking through stuff...blah, blah, blag. I hope I'm wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dkujsbap Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 Voted no. I am a firm believer in the betting markets showing true probability and from memory they have been pretty accurate since I've been tracking the interest rate markets. So I should vote yes, right? I (just) voted no because I've read all the talk before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Si1 said: The expectation and rhetoric is so strong that I suspect it's baked in - coming from people with insider connections. So I changed my opinion to a yes. I was always a yes, but cant really believe it till I see it. I said rates would rise before Christmas months ago and people laughed...the trolls might not be laughing come Friday when I unleash my next bit of insider knowledge. As you say the rhetoric is strong this time around, so they're either following the US ( so more rises to come ) or they want the £ to collapse even more tomorrow. I'd not bet against either tho, the bankers are not working to the same moral compass as the 99%   Edited October 31, 2017 by TheCountOfNowhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 1 minute ago, dkujsbap said: Voted no. I am a firm believer in the betting markets showing true probability and from memory they have been pretty accurate since I've been tracking the interest rate markets. So I should vote yes, right? I (just) voted no because I've read all the talk before. Betting markets adjust odds based on how much money is being bet. I'd imaging for an event like this, practically zero. In which case it's a random 50/50 job or people basing their bet on the previous 120 months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fence Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 12 minutes ago, TheCountOfNowhere said: MODS, this is kind of a duplicate of the last poll but it'll show if people have changed their mind. The other poll ends at midnight tonight From what I've heard/read over last few days, like it or lump it, rates are going up on Thursday. What do you think now ? I still wont believe it till I see it but they are making very different noises from before. Im defintiely in the YES camp. It's drown pants time. Yes here. But more importantly, I've downed a lot of (my) pants in my time but never drowned them Have I been missing out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 19 minutes ago, Fence said: Yes here. But more importantly, I've downed a lot of (my) pants in my time but never drowned them Have I been missing out? Corrected... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fence Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 Â Just now, TheCountOfNowhere said: Corrected... Pity, I was all hopeful, if not somewhat squeamish! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frederico Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 I voted yes and won the poll, but I've now got second thoughts, what is the lowest increment they can use? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 The 6 trolls and 1 BTL owner have voted.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 Just now, frederico said: I voted yes and won the poll, but I've now got second thoughts, what is the lowest increment they can use? 0.f*ckall percent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fence Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, frederico said: .......what is the lowest increment they can use? .......the one they use! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BearlyBegun Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 I voted in the earlier poll they would raise this time, and I still believe that they will - so I'm a YES still Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 1 minute ago, BearlyBegun said: I voted in the earlier poll they would raise this time, and I still believe that they will - so I'm a YES still 6 to 4 on the poll, the predicted vote for Thursday. The big if is really not if they will raise rates but when the will raise rates, how quickly and by home much.  To think this madness would continue forever is naive. It wasn't different after all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fence Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, TheCountOfNowhere said: The 6 trolls and 1 BTL owner have voted.... Confused. I live in a small house under a bridge from which I manage a vast property empire. I tried living in said land of the fairies but it just wasn't for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Fence said: Confused. I live in a small house under a bridge from which I manage a vast property empire. I tried living in said land of the fairies but it just wasn't for me. Yes, very good. 6 tolls, 1 BTLer and a new bloke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
houseface2000 Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 If they don't raise rates I'm movingly to France Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Errol Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 (edited) They have to now, surely? The pound will crater if they show cowardice at this point. Edited October 31, 2017 by Errol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 Just now, Errol said: They have to now, surely? The pound will crater if they show cowardice now. Maybe that's what they want. Although the prospect of social unrest and the young voting for an ACTUAL labour government has probably focused their minds. I wont be surprised when they raise rates, I'm more surprised that the US started it!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 (edited) Looking like a STRONG change of mind this week !!! All those people taking out a fixed rate mortgage today, to buy a clearly insane levels, will wake up in 2/3/5 years and be f**ked. Â Edited October 31, 2017 by TheCountOfNowhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
houseface2000 Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 I've changed my mind. Will effect sentiment a far bit imo. But acctual mortgage rates are so much lower than last year. Almost 1 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parkwell Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 You're kidding right? More VIGILANCE. Â Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted October 31, 2017 Author Share Posted October 31, 2017 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Parkwell said: You're kidding right? More VIGILANCE.  No, this time, no one is kidding.   Who's got the chart of the US/UK interest rates ? Edited October 31, 2017 by TheCountOfNowhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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