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Aberdeen, Aspc Stats


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HOLA441
23 minutes ago, Oily said:

Something very odd about all those Stoneywood transactions.....does anyone have the inside story?

The figures cannot be right can they? The one next door up £65k in a day, down nearly £300k in a couple of months then up £160k in 11 days?

4, Waterton Gardens, Stoneywood, Aberdeen, Abn AB21 9HX
£290,000    Residential    16 Dec 2016
£225,750    Residential    15 Dec 2016     
£497,950    Residential    01 Apr 2014     
£409,500    Residential    20 Dec 2013     
£249,950    Residential    09 Dec 2013     
£554,950    Residential    04 Oct 2013

 

 

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HOLA442
41 minutes ago, Democorruptcy said:

The first one in the list is a cracker!

5, Waterton Lawn, Stoneywood, Aberdeen, Aberdeenshire AB21 9HX
£218,500    Residential    31 May 2017
£272,000    Residential    06 Dec 2016     
£459,900    Residential    15 Dec 2014     
£376,950    Residential    28 Apr 2014     
£359,950    Residential    22 Jan 2014     
£249,950    Residential    29 Nov 2013     
£356,950    Residential    17 Oct 2013     
£554,950    Residential    04 Sep 2013

Edit to add... I couldn't resist looking at the postcode's previous sales to see if that property was a one-off but it isn't:

http://www.rightmove.co.uk/house-prices/detail.html?country=scotland&locationIdentifier=POSTCODE^2349&searchLocation=AB21+9HX&referrer=landingPage

That's a cool £1.9m of cash moving about in four years. Lots of off plan punts?

Every one with taxes, fees, solicitors, surveys, etc...

Property truly is a mugs game. Bank always win.

Is fishy though.

As for the Dandara development at Forbes Place just down the road... still not done there...the rental part of it....their website says "why rent at forbes place?"...exactly.

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HOLA443

From today's Press and Journal:

Property firm to demolish office block to avoid huge new business rates bill 

Eric Shearer, of Knight Frank, said: “This is just the start. I know of three other landlords who will or may be doing the same.”

Simpson Buglass of Savils, chair of the Aberdeen and Grampian Chamber of Commerce property sector steering group, said there was around seven years’ office supply on the market in the city.

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HOLA444
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HOLA445
Just now, Bear Hug said:

I am very happy that the prices are falling but this feels like such a waste.  Confiscate, convert to residential, send Southern unemployed there. Done.

It is a waste but on the other hand Aberdeen is pretty well stocked with empty residential property right now!  You may have hit on a realistic vision of the future for the town though - cheap property used as a social housing dumping ground by the rest of the country.

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HOLA446
2 hours ago, shackleford said:

It is a waste but on the other hand Aberdeen is pretty well stocked with empty residential property right now!  You may have hit on a realistic vision of the future for the town though - cheap property used as a social housing dumping ground by the rest of the country.

Not really a waste when you consider just how much office space in the region is available which will never be occupied again. Its not just council taxes...security, maintenance, inspection, insurance, et Al.

Europe's oil capital is in terminal decline as is the North Sea.

And yes. Aberdeen will become a depository hotspot for social home programs...as noted above.

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HOLA447

Attention grabbing headline...

http://uk.reuters.com/article/premier-oil-outlook-idUKL8N1K41FH?rpc=401&

Quote

Premier Oil, which produces more than half its oil in the British North Sea, said on Thursday that exploring for resources in the basin was no longer attractive, a day after it announced a major discovery off Mexico.

http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/news/article-4686392/SFO-probe-Amec-Foster-Wheeler-corruption-scandal.html

Quote

The Serious Fraud Office has launched an investigation into possible bribery and corruption at Amec Foster Wheeler, it was revealed last night.

It was feared an investigation could threaten rival Wood Group’s planned £2.2billion takeover of Amec, which shareholders voted through in June.

After all, their business models AFW, WG, et al... amount to what could be viewed fraudulent in the way they invoice and the aggressive billing/over-billing philosophy... and the repeated f-ups on project delivery....

In line with this article:

http://www.offshore-technology.com/features/featurebuild-better-improving-project-delivery-in-the-uk-north-sea-5854726/

Quote

The UK Oil & Gas Authority has published a five-year review of new projects in the UK North Sea, and has found that since 2011, only 25% of projects were delivered on time, with an average delay of ten months. The review also found that projects stretched their budgets by an average of 35%.

 

Edited by cashinmattress
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HOLA448
On 12/07/2017 at 7:36 PM, shackleford said:

It is a waste but on the other hand Aberdeen is pretty well stocked with empty residential property right now!  You may have hit on a realistic vision of the future for the town though - cheap property used as a social housing dumping ground by the rest of the country.

The Government needs to implement a LAND TAX!

So the rates are too expensive so they rip it down.. so how much do they get taxed on the land? £0?? Its a joke.

And then these companies will build land banks and hold us to ransom

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HOLA449
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HOLA4410
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HOLA4411

Average rent down by 28% in Aberdeen says P & J

https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/aberdeen/1288309/rent-caps-could-be-introduced-in-aberdeen/

"But new figures seen by the Press and Journal indicate the average rent between 2014 and this year has collapsed by 28% as the region feels the full effects of the downturn in oil and gas.

The average rent of a one bedroom flat in the city is now £498 per month, down 13.2% from last year."

 

 

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HOLA4412
36 minutes ago, quine said:

Average rent down by 28% in Aberdeen says P & J

https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/aberdeen/1288309/rent-caps-could-be-introduced-in-aberdeen/

"But new figures seen by the Press and Journal indicate the average rent between 2014 and this year has collapsed by 28% as the region feels the full effects of the downturn in oil and gas.

The average rent of a one bedroom flat in the city is now £498 per month, down 13.2% from last year."

 

 

"average"...I wouldn't be settling on the average price of I was renting. Average rent with a 20% discount maybe.

Still £500 for a single bed flat is bit much..considering how the economy is and is forecast. I suppose if it covers the BTL mortgage payment. Council tax in the city is dear as well.

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HOLA4413
5 hours ago, cashinmattress said:

"average"...I wouldn't be settling on the average price of I was renting. Average rent with a 20% discount maybe.

Still £500 for a single bed flat is bit much..considering how the economy is and is forecast. I suppose if it covers the BTL mortgage payment. Council tax in the city is dear as well.

Its lower than 500 now! Yes, you ask your landlord for a discount and they will give you a discount. Everyone wants to retain tenants now.

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HOLA4414

It is very difficult to understand the City Council's position at a given time on any matter!

They are holding discussions around bringing a rent cap in Aberdeen on one hand.....

Quote

Yesterday the Press and Journal revealed that the city council was to start monitoring private rent levels in the city and the opposition SNP group in the city have said the council has new powers under the Private Housing (Tenancies) (Scotland) Act 2016 to introduce “rent pressure zones”.

This would mean that the council could cap any rises in private rent in certain areas of the city.

Aberdeen has long had higher rents than most places in Scotland – traditionally driven by high oil and gas wages.

Supporters of the scheme point to the lack of certain public sector staff in the city who may be put off by the high rents. Many other European countries have similar regulations.

But landlords last night reacted with anger to the idea, pointing the finger of blame at the council for not building enough affordable homes themselves.

 

https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/aberdeen/1289160/rent-cap-debate-landlords-weigh-in/

 

On the other hand, they are looking at raising rents at their end....

Quote

The committee decided the new rent setting policy of Retail Price Index (RPI)+1% for years 2017/18 to 2019/20. In accordance with the new policy we are now consulting all tenants on a 2.9% rent increase for 2017/18 to apply from 3rd April 2017.

1

http://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/nmsruntime/saveasdialog.asp?lID=73675&sID=17719

 

The real questionnaire the city needs right now is one sent to every City Council 'committee' member to gauge their understanding of the ground reality about what's going on in Aberdeen right now!

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HOLA4415

Yaay......more houses

Quote

Plans for more than 100 houses, flats and retirement homes on a new eight-acre estate in Aberdeen could get the go-ahead from councillors next week.

Dandara want to build 116 dwellings, comprising two apartment blocks, 35 houses and retirement apartment blocks on a plot of land at Hazelwood, off Countesswells Road.

2

https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/aberdeen/1288090/massive-housing-scheme-plan-could-move-forward/

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HOLA4416
12 hours ago, shortbread said:

It is very difficult to understand the City Council's position at a given time on any matter!

They are holding discussions around bringing a rent cap in Aberdeen on one hand.....

https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/aberdeen/1289160/rent-cap-debate-landlords-weigh-in/

 

On the other hand, they are looking at raising rents at their end....

http://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/nmsruntime/saveasdialog.asp?lID=73675&sID=17719

 

The real questionnaire the city needs right now is one sent to every City Council 'committee' member to gauge their understanding of the ground reality about what's going on in Aberdeen right now!

There's more to the Housing Act 2016 than just rent. Rental property investors should read it.

http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2016/19/contents/enacted

http://www.tltsolicitors.com/insights-and-events/insight/private-housing-tenancies-scotland-act-all-change-for-landlords-and-tenants/

Edited by cashinmattress
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HOLA4417

 Frank Shearer Knight Frank partner apparently said in June 2016  to Aberdeen Chamber of Commerce news.

"The last four years have been the best the commercial property market has been in Aberdeen – ever."

Q4 RICS UK Commercial report 2016 "Worst market I have seen in Aberdeen in 30 years."

But now the firms spring research seems to be saying that the worst of the downturn in oil and gas is behind us

.7000 jobs from harbor expansion could be created.What to believe?

 

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HOLA4418
10 hours ago, stairlift needed said:

 Frank Shearer Knight Frank partner apparently said in June 2016  to Aberdeen Chamber of Commerce news.

"The last four years have been the best the commercial property market has been in Aberdeen – ever."

Q4 RICS UK Commercial report 2016 "Worst market I have seen in Aberdeen in 30 years."

But now the firms spring research seems to be saying that the worst of the downturn in oil and gas is behind us

.7000 jobs from harbor expansion could be created.What to believe?

 

Frank Shearer on the multi-million pound office block in Dyce being torn down after its owner failed to find a tenant to cover the rates bill:

Quote

This is just the start. I know of three other landlords who will or may be doing the same

 

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HOLA4419
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HOLA4420
2 hours ago, Diver Dan said:

Aberdeen house prices drop by nearly 8%

More good news in the Evening Express. The Shire is up by about 2.5% though.

Low sales volumes up and down the country skewing everything now I think.

I'm seeing sales fall through daily now and asking prices look set for a 2nd/3rd round of reductions.

Idiots still buying nicer houses at top whack, no one buying anything else :lol: 

This is not sustainable in any shape or fashion.

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HOLA4421

I too have noticed all the "no longer under offer" on previously under offer places.  I'm guessing that the lenders are being cautious (for once)? in anticipation of bigger drops.

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HOLA4422
11 minutes ago, quine said:

I too have noticed all the "no longer under offer" on previously under offer places.  I'm guessing that the lenders are being cautious (for once)? in anticipation of bigger drops.

Something is going on, of that I have no doubt.

This seachange seemed to come with either BrExit or the US raising IRs, I dont know which.

Maybe the US rate rise is causing problems in the background with banks having to borrow at higher levels

Maybe BrExit has just stopped people buying or we haev the prospect of new ponzi entrants drying up.

Maybe prices are just so extreme no one believes it will continue.

A friend of mine in Kent talks about being trapped down in his 750K house and 500K mortgage and can't move up the pyramid to get a better house.

I said last week if the Term funding fraud stops in a few weeks then it's game on.

Post 2007 I'd say the government is capable of anything and it's impossible to guess their next lunatic plan.

We're all like rabbits in the housing juggernauts headlights, do we go left, do we go right or stand still and hope it goes right over us.

 

Edited by TheCountOfNowhere
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HOLA4423

Aberdeen is going through a state of  lethargy, the fundamentals have not charged and the banks are getting tight on people.In the last few years forbearance was given to the people from lender's. That's about to change in Aberdeen.

On Wednesday, July 19, 2017 at 5:47 PM, TheCountOfNowhere said:

Something is going on, of that I have no doubt.

This seachange seemed to come with either BrExit or the US raising IRs, I dont know which.

Maybe the US rate rise is causing problems in the background with banks having to borrow at higher levels

Maybe BrExit has just stopped people buying or we haev the prospect of new ponzi entrants drying up.

Maybe prices are just so extreme no one believes it will continue.

A friend of mine in Kent talks about being trapped down in his 750K house and 500K mortgage and can't move up the pyramid to get a better house.

I said last week if the Term funding fraud stops in a few weeks then it's game on.

Post 2007 I'd say the government is capable of anything and it's impossible to guess their next lunatic plan.

We're all like rabbits in the housing juggernauts headlights, do we go left, do we go right or stand still and hope it goes right over us.

 

 

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HOLA4424
33 minutes ago, Haddie said:

Aberdeen is going through a state of  lethargy, the fundamentals have not charged and the banks are getting tight on people.In the last few years forbearance was given to the people from lender's. That's about to change in Aberdeen.

Genuine question (not expressing doubt): Is there any particular observation which makes you say that forbearance is about to end?

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HOLA4425

Sheriff  officers say  that things are picking up!They have been quiet for a few years  due to forbearance .Bank lending  is starting to change, and middle men oil company's are starting to give up the ghost .Cash in the mattress  is best to explain  how the oil job is coming  along. Look at the restaurants,bars,clubs ,shops in town. 

Inflation, smaller  pay cheques (If you still have a job) .Read some of Durham Borns posts on the deflation  thread and think about Aberdeen city.I well believe that Aberdeen and the North East  is away to get whacked. 

 

 

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