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Is Anyone Still Seeing Any Really Stupid Increases?


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HOLA441

I have posted a few examples of houses (mainly in SE London), where someone has bought it and then tried to flipped it for double within a year.

With the market undoubtedly slowing, I have seen much fewer of these lately, but today one has popped up in my area - sold for £270k last September, on at £525k now:

http://www.zoopla.co.uk/for-sale/details/34108443

In fairness, £270k seems like a great buy last year (in this stupid market), and even £525k is not pushing the limits in a market where this type of flat could be over £600k, but surely people looking to buy will be a bit reticent to hand over anything like the asking price when they can plainly see the sheer amount of profit that would be made in such a short amount of time?

Is anyone else still seeing examples of this?

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HOLA445

I really do not understand who is buying 2 bed flats for half a million £, and what type of jobs do these people have?

Indeed, and bear in mind that this is outer London as well. Nice area and good train line, but it is not South Kensington!

The majority of the buyers in the area are moving down from more central areas of London with pockets full of equity, but most of them are after houses not flats.

If this goes in line with previous sales, I expect this to be bought by a couple on a sub-£100k income, a bit of help from Mum & Dad and a whacking great mortgage.

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HOLA448

Yes, posted this last week. Terrace house - 2 up 2 down on a very busy and polluted/noisey road, in Mumbles on for nearly half a million quid asking.

Not far away from that another terrace that did not sell for circra 290K asking about 2 years ago now on for half a million.

EAs ramping for as much commission as possible IMPO. The market in Swansea is IMPO 90% EA inflated.

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HOLA449

Yes, posted this last week. Terrace house - 2 up 2 down on a very busy and polluted/noisey road, in Mumbles on for nearly half a million quid asking.

Not far away from that another terrace that did not sell for circra 290K asking about 2 years ago now on for half a million.

EAs ramping for as much commission as possible IMPO. The market in Swansea is IMPO 90% EA inflated.

As I posted on the swansea thread....I drove through the place, LOADS of FOR SALE signs...NO SOLD signs.

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HOLA4410

It's best not to have a freehold on the flat as the build is shared it can be super risky. Imagine a block of flats all freehold. Who'd pay for the roof repair? bottom guys say not my roof not my problem.

Clearly you arent aware of the ridiculous prices of leasholds and their renewals.

Every other nation in the world manages with freehold flats but not in property parasite nation Britain.

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HOLA4412

I have posted a few examples of houses (mainly in SE London), where someone has bought it and then tried to flipped it for double within a year.

With the market undoubtedly slowing, I have seen much fewer of these lately, but today one has popped up in my area - sold for £270k last September, on at £525k now:

http://www.zoopla.co.uk/for-sale/details/34108443

In fairness, £270k seems like a great buy last year (in this stupid market), and even £525k is not pushing the limits in a market where this type of flat could be over £600k, but surely people looking to buy will be a bit reticent to hand over anything like the asking price when they can plainly see the sheer amount of profit that would be made in such a short amount of time?

Is anyone else still seeing examples of this?

Is there any evidence that most buyers are even aware of past selling prices? I've met people on their third house that didn't even know you could look up what a vendor had themselves paid. One individual was quite outraged that such 'private' information was publicly available!

If the buyers find that a huge profit has been so quickly made, it probably reinforces the wisdom of their own decision to buy such a cracking 'investment'.

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HOLA4413

It's best not to have a freehold on the flat as the build is shared it can be super risky. Imagine a block of flats all freehold. Who'd pay for the roof repair? bottom guys say not my roof not my problem.

I'd prefer (share of) freehold. All of the leases and statutes should stay the same and you can just hand over to a management company if you are worried about that type of thing happening.

If the lease on a flat like this goes below 80 years, you could be into £25k+ to extend it. With the way these leases often work, that could be £25k every 20 years to keep it 'in good condition', so almost £1k a year.

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HOLA4414

Is there any evidence that most buyers are even aware of past selling prices? I've met people on their third house that didn't even know you could look up what a vendor had themselves paid. One individual was quite outraged that such 'private' information was publicly available!

If the buyers find that a huge profit has been so quickly made, it probably reinforces the wisdom of their own decision to buy such a cracking 'investment'.

Indeed, and it is amazing how stupid some people are when making the biggest 'investment' of their lives. I can only say what I think about it as a potential buyer, and if it is plastered on the actual Zoopla sales page that the vendor is trying to double their money in less than a year, I am more likely to walk away.

I like the comment about someone actually being outraged that the information is available. This is a classic old fashioned British reaction and is part of the reason that our property market has allowed to remain so 'smoke & mirrors' for so long. If everyone took notice of these sold prices, I don't think that there is any way that the market would have gone up as quickly as it has done.

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HOLA4415

I have posted a few examples of houses (mainly in SE London), where someone has bought it and then tried to flipped it for double within a year.

With the market undoubtedly slowing, I have seen much fewer of these lately, but today one has popped up in my area - sold for £270k last September, on at £525k now:

http://www.zoopla.co.uk/for-sale/details/34108443

In fairness, £270k seems like a great buy last year (in this stupid market), and even £525k is not pushing the limits in a market where this type of flat could be over £600k, but surely people looking to buy will be a bit reticent to hand over anything like the asking price when they can plainly see the sheer amount of profit that would be made in such a short amount of time?

Is anyone else still seeing examples of this?

If prices had gone up with wages it would be £400k for a semi detached house in that road (if my rough calculation of £270k in 97). Even that seems expensive.

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HOLA4416

Contact the agent and ask why there is a big difference in price. Was it remodeled? Was the lease renewed? Was it previously sold at auction? Similar flats recently sold in that area between £350-£480k, so the median is going to be in the low fours. This highlights the major problem with the housing market. There is not enough transparency or access to information:

Delusional seller + uninformed buyer = market price. That of course assumes the buyer can afford it. When prices reach that point when he can no longer afford it, then the stack of cards comes tumbling down, and everyone loses. Credit fueled bubbles have no lasting benefits to anyone. They do not create wealth for the vast majority, and cause more havoc than good.

I suppose it could have been on a very short lease which has cost a fortune to renew. I think I would have asked the EA to put 'brand new lease' or 'recently purchased share of freehold' in the details if that has happened.

I have no doubt it has been remodelled, but that is too tiny a cost to justify a proposed £250k profit.

I don't actually think the price is too unreasonable compared to the rest of the crazy market. Decent 2 bed flats always seem to be £450k or more and these will always go for a bit more because of the grandeur of the road and their relative situation compared to the rest of the area.

It is just the starkness of the profit and how obvious it is to potential buyers that surprises me.

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I like the comment about someone actually being outraged that the information is available. This is a classic old fashioned British reaction and is part of the reason that our property market has allowed to remain so 'smoke & mirrors' for so long

I have a friend who works in the fund management industry who was appalled that i looked at land registry data, especially looking at the amount my landlord paid for the flat I was renting at the time. I asked him if he ever looked at the historical prices and valuations of securities he invested in or just looked at the price the broker quoted him on the day. Needless to say there was no comeback and he looked quite embarrassed.

I think lots of people don't look at land registry data, doing so would be very un-British.

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HOLA4423

I have posted a few examples of houses (mainly in SE London), where someone has bought it and then tried to flipped it for double within a year.

With the market undoubtedly slowing, I have seen much fewer of these lately, but today one has popped up in my area - sold for £270k last September, on at £525k now:

http://www.zoopla.co.uk/for-sale/details/34108443

In fairness, £270k seems like a great buy last year (in this stupid market), and even £525k is not pushing the limits in a market where this type of flat could be over £600k, but surely people looking to buy will be a bit reticent to hand over anything like the asking price when they can plainly see the sheer amount of profit that would be made in such a short amount of time?

Is anyone else still seeing examples of this?

Such a huge increase - even if there has been quite a bit of work - to me points to something dodgy having gone on. E.g. the place was not properly on the open market last time - was sold cheaply to a friend or relative, maybe to avoid or reduce inheritance tax or CGT. I have known personally of one such case.

Also, sad to say, a friend's bloke makes a business of buying repos cheaply, tarting them up and selling on. He cheerfully told me that he is best mates with several EAs who tip him the wink when something is coming up, so he gets it before it goes on the open market. Naturally he has 'an arrangement' with EAs for this.

There are also cases of EAs dealing with elderly people who are maybe getting a bit doddery and are all too easily hoodwinked into thinking something way below market value is a very good offer. People with early stage dementia and no relatives to help them (or able to intervene in time) are particularly vulnerable.

I think I would suspect one of the above. But then I am of a naturally cynical turn of mind. Maybe it was just a case of an EA saying, 'Well, you never know - the way prices have been going lately, no harm in trying...'

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I suppose it could have been on a very short lease which has cost a fortune to renew. I think I would have asked the EA to put 'brand new lease' or 'recently purchased share of freehold' in the details if that has happened.

I have no doubt it has been remodelled, but that is too tiny a cost to justify a proposed £250k profit.

I don't actually think the price is too unreasonable compared to the rest of the crazy market. Decent 2 bed flats always seem to be £450k or more and these will always go for a bit more because of the grandeur of the road and their relative situation compared to the rest of the area.

It is just the starkness of the profit and how obvious it is to potential buyers that surprises me.

Short lease is certainly a possibility. More than once I have seen flats that seem pretty cheap for the area, only to find that the lease is just 68 years or something. Under 80 years it is much more expensive to renew.

Re looking at the LR, Mr B has and does, particularly in relation to an acquaintance we know to be seriously dodgy.

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