19 year mortgage 8itch Posted May 20, 2013 Share Posted May 20, 2013 Real house prices by prime minister http://nealhudson.com/post/47769199771 Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) 20/05/2013 16:18 Genuinely I'd love some Labour MPs to pontificate on this. And other MPs too, but Labour were in charge: pic.twitter.com/DllamhJDp0 http://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/336501300160253952/photo/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interestrateripoff Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 =999"]http://graphics.wsj.com/national-debts/#i[]=999 You can watch the bubble expand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tired of Waiting Posted May 27, 2013 Share Posted May 27, 2013 http://shrinkthatfootprint.com/how-big-is-a-house Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Errol Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tired of Waiting Posted June 1, 2013 Share Posted June 1, 2013 Thread: http://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/forum/index.php?showtopic=190808&view=findpost&p=909333009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
19 year mortgage 8itch Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 (edited) From Neal Hudson's (Savills) excellent blog http://nealhudson.com/post/52131977933 @resi_analyst New buy It will take over 31 years for NewBuy to reach its 100,000 home target at this rate. Where its at: What's going on in the North East????? Edited June 4, 2013 by SeeYouNextTuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tio Posted June 6, 2013 Share Posted June 6, 2013 Sorry if this is a repost .. China’s Housing Bubble Canada’s Housing Bubble Australia’s Housing Bubble Hong Kong’s Housing Bubble South Korea’s Housing Bubble Malaysia’s Housing Bubble The Philippines’ Housing Bubble India’s Housing Bubble Israel’s Housing Bubble Colombia’s Housing Bubble Why Serial Asset Bubbles Are Now The New Normal (June 6, 2013) CHS OTM http://www.oftwominds.com/blogjun13/bubbles6-13.html The problem is central banks have created a vast pool of credit-money seeking a return that is far larger than the pool of sound investment opportunities. In a world burdened by over-capacity in almost every sector, hot money is driven to seek the next emerging asset bubble as the only place to skim a yield. Empty flats in London, Manhattan or Shanghai, oil leases in Gabon, 10,000 sun-baked rental homes in Arizona, The Nikkei stock market, shares in U.S. utilities, bat guano futures--none of these asset bubbles make any sense in a world where credit is costly and scarce.There are two other characteristics of this New Normal Bubble Economy: 1. Everyone who doesn't have privileged access to vast sums of money at near-zero real interest rates is left out; no bubble gravy for the debt-serfs, except for those who qualify for socialized mortgages from FHA or other federal agencies. (And the idea behind these government-backed mortgages isn't to enable serfs to gamble and win in the latest housing bubble, it's to lock them into debt-serfdom where they're making mortgage payments forever on a depreciating asset.) 2. All asset bubbles pop, destroying the phantom wealth of those holding claims on the underlying assets. Is this a healthy economic system? No. Is it sustainable? No. Is it even capitalism? No. It's a Neofeudal Debtocracy of rentiers and debt-serfs and hot-money driven asset bubbles that are passed off as "investments" to the credulous and unwary. One question distills the dynamics down to their essence: cui bono, to whose benefit? hat tip .. http://www.potw.org/archive/potw283.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tired of Waiting Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 (...) http://www.oftwominds.com/blogjun13/bubbles6-13.html (...) Excellent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
19 year mortgage 8itch Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 (edited) Monetary base in various countries/economic areas since onset of crisis. Source: Bank of England http://www.edmundconway.com/2013/06/the-financial-nitroglycerine-buried-under-the-bank-of-england/ Edited June 11, 2013 by SeeYouNextTuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
officebum Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 how much longer can this really go on? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
19 year mortgage 8itch Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 http://nealhudson.com/post/52772057503 You dont need regression analysis & dummy variables to explain UK house prices: just a credit boom & increasing inequality. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tired of Waiting Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 Chart with the population growth in Britain, German and France in the past 50 years: LINK: http://www.google.co.uk/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=sp_pop_totl&hl=en&dl=en&idim=country:DEU:FRA:GBR#!ctype=l&strail=false&bcs=d&nselm=h&met_y=sp_pop_totl&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=region&idim=country:DEU:FRA:GBR&ifdim=region&hl=en_US&dl=en&ind=false Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tired of Waiting Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Chart with the population growth in Britain, German and France in the past 50 years: LINK: http://www.google.co.uk/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=sp_pop_totl&hl=en&dl=en&idim=country:DEU:FRA:GBR#!ctype=l&strail=false&bcs=d&nselm=h&met_y=sp_pop_totl&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=region&idim=country:DEU:FRA:GBR&ifdim=region&hl=en_US&dl=en&ind=false Correction: https://www.google.co.uk/#sa=X&q=united+kingdom+population&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAGOovnz8BQMDowAHjxKHfq6-gXlxcbKWaXaylX5OfnJiSWZ-nn5xCZAuLslMTsyJL0pNBwpZFeQXlOaAZePL84tyUuKTEvOyuxgducBmGJuYZgiRa4YTFyfIjDSLHMtksg2BOgTkGTLNiHxy61RQZHh68Pmpy1ktJtmUXI2ZAQCPRMxGLQEAAA&ei=3hvdUbr5J6mO0AWDioG4Dw&ved=0CD0Qth8&bav=on.2,or.r_qf.&fp=df593d5154ffdb1a&biw=1366&bih=655 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyA Posted July 15, 2013 Share Posted July 15, 2013 Average UK house prices in oz.t of yellow stuff: This is great. SHOCKING, but great nonetheless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PiXeL8r Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest_FaFa!_* Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 China's Economic Outlook http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.jp/2013/08/how-fast-can-china-grow-not-as-fast-as.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis+%28Mish%27s+Global+Economic+Trend+Analysis%29 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tired of Waiting Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkins Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 An interesting set of figures describing the demographics and financial position of UK private sector landlords: http://www.strategicsociety.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Understanding-Landlords.pdf Know thy enemy and all that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
19 year mortgage 8itch Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 An interesting set of figures describing the demographics and financial position of UK private sector landlords: http://www.strategicsociety.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Understanding-Landlords.pdf Know thy enemy and all that. Well that's one in the eye for campervanman. I've only got to read the first page to see that three quarters of PRS landlords are aged 45-64. #eatingtheiryoung Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkins Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Well that's one in the eye for campervanman. I've only got to read the first page to see that three quarters of PRS landlords are aged 45-64. #eatingtheiryoung Another calculation: 3% of UK adults are private landlords, and 72% of private landlords only rent out one property. 3% * 72% = 2.1% of UK adults own and rent out one property. There are about 50m adults in the UK, so that would account for 50m * 2.1% = 1.05m properties. The UK housing stock is around 25m properties, so these one property landlords account for 4.2% of the UK housing stock. About 17% of UK properties are in the private rented sector. 17% - 4.2% = about 13% of UK properties (three quarters of the entire private rented sector) are owned and rented out by 3%*18% = 0.54% of the UK adult population. That's 270k people who own 3.25m houses between them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spork of Damocles Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 (edited) Well that's one in the eye for campervanman. I've only got to read the first page to see that three quarters of PRS landlords are aged 45-64. #eatingtheiryoung It actually says 73% aged 35-64, which is a somewhat bigger age spread than what you're claiming. Worth noting that the 35-44 cohort was not into landlordism in 1991, but had risen to levels comparable to those in the 45-64 by 2008. Edited August 20, 2013 by Spork of Damocles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
19 year mortgage 8itch Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 It actually says 73% aged 35-64, which is a somewhat bigger age spread than what you're claiming. Worth noting that the 35-44 cohort was not into landlordism in 1991, but had risen to levels comparable to those in the 45-64 by 2008. I'm not claiming anything, old boy. I'm quoting the executive summary. It may be a few days before I get to read it completely but if it is contradictory you can point it out for when I get there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
19 year mortgage 8itch Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Another calculation: 3% of UK adults are private landlords, and 72% of private landlords only rent out one property. 3% * 72% = 2.1% of UK adults own and rent out one property. There are about 50m adults in the UK, so that would account for 50m * 2.1% = 1.05m properties. The UK housing stock is around 25m properties, so these one property landlords account for 4.2% of the UK housing stock. About 17% of UK properties are in the private rented sector. 17% - 4.2% = about 13% of UK properties (three quarters of the entire private rented sector) are owned and rented out by 3%*18% = 0.54% of the UK adult population. That's 270k people who own 3.25m houses between them. Amazing how small a sample can completely ****** up a market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pl1 Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 World Population Density Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
@contradevian Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 (edited) New build provided 61% of London's net housing supply in 2011-12 https://twitter.com/...4024448/photo/1 HT @geographyjim and @resi_analyst Edited August 27, 2013 by aSecureTenant Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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