ianbeale Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 betfair give it about a 9/2 chance at the momment - will be watching this indicator for clues over the next few days. www.betfair.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTBagain Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Voted yes, they just might do it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bart of Darkness Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Hope they will, think they won't, so voted "no". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Starcrossed Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 I voted with my wallet (£80) on Betfair a couple of weeks ago at much better odds than 4.7 but now don't think they will be raising. They should but I fear they won't. My hunch is a 6:3 vote in favour of a hold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deano Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 I went for the second option although I've got a little out of touch. Whats for the best. I am beginning to think they dont know anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ayatollah Buggeri Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Mieow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HenryWeston Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 no they are all pussies :angry: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nationalist Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 We're in a strange interregnum; anything is possible. GB is now untouchable as far as becoming PM goes, he's home free. But... Tony Blair is still officially "taking the blame" so we have a few weeks which will be ideal for, not so much burying bad news, as passing the buck. Gordon: "Hey Tony, here's a pile of steaming turds I got you as a leaving present! I mean, why wouldn't he? So, I reckon normal rules don't apply. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
His Tonyness Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 My hunch is a hold. They have no intention of spooking Joe Public more than necessary for although banks and businesses have priced in a definate rise, JP are sh1tting themselves and let's face it, they have been keeping the economy going for the last six years through rising house prices and MEWing. Also let's face it, enough sob stories have been spewing out of the mouths of RICS, NAEA, Nationwide, Halifax, CML and Rightmove to give them the impression that another rate rise and the housing market, and thus the country, will be on it's ar5e. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muggle Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Think they are pussies. However I had a flutter, you never know! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrphil Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 OK, heres the deal. When it comes to bets, the outcome is always the opposite to what I bet on. Basically, I have never won a penny on Betfair. So, this month I have bet £80 AGAINST a .25% increase. Sooo, basically that means this month there is a GUARANTEE they will raise rates, because I always call it wrong and I have to lose my £80 as with every month. Hope this helps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwentyOneEleven Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Voted for no change but put my Sharapova winnings from yesterday on a 0.25% raise to make it interesting ... Nadal can always win it back for me in the final Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fergie Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 I've got a fiver on a .25 raise (yeah, I'm not exactly a big spender on betting ) I don't think they'll actually raise it but at the odds I got the win on it would be £37. The win on no change would only have been about 30p so not really worth it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
time_and_tide Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 +0.25 this time and I've been right so far except Jan. MPC just beginning to get slightly rattled by inflation and think the next rise won't shock anyone. Watch over the coming months as their bland, fair-weather optimism swings into blind panic and they really start tugging the elastic attached to the brick. We're in for a rollicking ride, boys and girls. Hold on tight and think of England. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geraint pillock Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 With all the bear news in the media this past month, ie newsnight, ITN, they surely won't raise rates because of the possible backlash. I can see the headlines now... Property prices falling, BOE RAISE INTEREST RATES! What are they thinking! If they raise rates this month, I'll be shocked. They truly are a bunch of pussies, scared by a population of financially illiterate, economically challenged, credit loving sheeple. And thats not mentioning the political influence. Oops I just mentioned it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrBob Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 OK, heres the deal. When it comes to bets, the outcome is always the opposite to what I bet on. Basically, I have never won a penny on Betfair.So, this month I have bet £80 AGAINST a .25% increase. Sooo, basically that means this month there is a GUARANTEE they will raise rates, because I always call it wrong and I have to lose my £80 as with every month. Hope this helps. Well, MrPhil, I'm also a habitual loser at betting, and I've just put down £50 for a .25% increase. So one of us will win! If our bad luck is equally balanced, you will probably be the winner, as the return on your bet will be less (odds of approx 1.2 for a hold vs 5.7 for a rise). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Little Professor Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 I've been right every time, and I say HOLD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
time_and_tide Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Well, MrPhil, I'm also a habitual loser at betting, and I've just put down £50 for a .25% increase. So one of us will win! If our bad luck is equally balanced, you will probably be the winner, as the return on your bet will be less (odds of approx 1.2 for a hold vs 5.7 for a rise). Unless it's raised 0.50, of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IDN Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 i always get this right and i'm saying they're definitly pussies- HOLD 100% NO CHANCE of them putting in back to back rises they dont have the kohonas for it i'm afraid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
headmelter Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Not worth the bet.... definate Hold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellerkat Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 I went for 'Hold' but This Story on the News Blog implies a growing chance of a rate hike in the US. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It is different this time Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 i always get this right and i'm saying they're definitly pussies- HOLD100% NO CHANCE of them putting in back to back rises they dont have the kohonas for it i'm afraid. I agree I voted "pussies" as well. They don't have the balls for back to back rises. They don't wanna be all sacked do they? We can't have a crash before Mr Miracle becomes PM! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ianbeale Posted June 5, 2007 Author Share Posted June 5, 2007 betfair give it about a 9/2 chance at the momment - will be watching this indicator for clues over the next few days.www.betfair.com drifted out slightly to 5/1 - 17% chance - starnger things have happened Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
time Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Well, MrPhil, I'm also a habitual loser at betting, and I've just put down £50 for a .25% increase. So one of us will win! If our bad luck is equally balanced, you will probably be the winner, as the return on your bet will be less (odds of approx 1.2 for a hold vs 5.7 for a rise). The only sure thing I bet on with betfair recently was the bet that Gordon Brown would be the next prime minister. I bet £300 for which I expect a £20 profit. £20 for stating the obvious. Not bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedgefunded Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Betfair aren't offering anything. It's other people offering those odds. Remember that, because other people often know things that the rest of the world isn't privvy to. Football manager markets and ahte-post horse racing markets are a couple that spring to mind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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