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Are The Shires Crashing ?


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HOLA441

I suspect their plan is to get as many houses on the books as possible. The obvious way to do this is to tell prospective vendors their house is worth more than any other agents.

that's exactly what one agent told me was happening.

agents are desperate for stock and, they said and I quote, "agents are overpricing by up to 200k just to get stuff on their books".

then went on to say some idiots were buying and they couldn't believe it.

also said it was going to crash and did a big swoop action with his hand.

caveat emptor

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HOLA442

I suspect their plan is to get as many houses on the books as possible. The obvious way to do this is to tell prospective vendors their house is worth more than any other agents.

that's exactly what one agent told me was happening.

agents are desperate for stock and, they said and I quote, "agents are overpricing by up to 200k just to get stuff on their books".

then went on to say some idiots were buying and they couldn't believe it.

also said it was going to crash and did a big swoop action with his hand.

caveat emptor

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HOLA443

I suspect their plan is to get as many houses on the books as possible. The obvious way to do this is to tell prospective vendors their house is worth more than any other agents.

that's exactly what one agent told me was happening.

agents are desperate for stock and, they said and I quote, "agents are overpricing by up to 200k just to get stuff on their books".

then went on to say some idiots were buying and they couldn't believe it.

also said it was going to crash and did a big swoop action with his hand.

caveat emptor

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HOLA446

Anecdote on local rents

Big surge in APs over last year :(

The froth at least has however gone. :)

Kite flying 4 bed cardboard box on estate reduced from AP of 2200pcm to 2000 to 1800 and now a somewhat reasonable 1700.

Others being reduced from stupid to high.

So at least froth gone.

Edited by Killer Bunny
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HOLA447

Anecdote on local rents

Big surge in APs over last year :(

The froth at least has however gone. :)

Kite flying 4 bed cardboard box on estate reduced from AP of 2200pcm to 2000 to 1800 and now a somewhat reasonable 1700.

Others being reduced from stupid to high.

So at least froth gone.

if the 4 bed cardboard box on estate was for sale, what sort of price do you think it would go for? (yield question)

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HOLA4415

When might the elegantly efficient and fabulously useful website https://houseprices.io be updated with September sales?

I guess when the land registry release the full figures which is usually at the end of the next month. The chap is usually pretty quick so within a few hours. The release time for this info is 9:30 on the 28th October 2015

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HOLA4416

This weeks results. I am really going to be brutal and remove new homes next week. Some of those are obviously not the same house with prices being adjusted up and down by up to 100K each week

Anyway with no commentary here are the results.

house price > £219950 48.91% failed/reduced sales 67/137

house price > £118500 44.53% failed/reduced sales 61/137

house price > £None 45.26% failed/reduced sales 62/137

Total of 46.23% Rightmove listings for 'Cumbria' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 190/411

house price > £199950 38.27% failed/reduced sales 31/81

house price > £109950 51.85% failed/reduced sales 42/81

house price > £None 46.91% failed/reduced sales 38/81

Total of 45.68% Rightmove listings for 'Northumberland' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 111/243

house price > £169950 43.77% failed/reduced sales 116/265

house price > £109000 39.62% failed/reduced sales 105/265

house price > £None 49.81% failed/reduced sales 132/265

Total of 44.40% Rightmove listings for 'Glamorgan' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 353/795

house price > £210000 40.71% failed/reduced sales 103/253

house price > £130000 44.27% failed/reduced sales 112/253

house price > £50000 46.06% failed/reduced sales 117/254

Total of 43.68% Rightmove listings for 'Derbyshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 332/760

house price > £315000 33.33% failed/reduced sales 13/39

house price > £195000 35.90% failed/reduced sales 14/39

house price > £None 58.54% failed/reduced sales 24/41

Total of 42.86% Rightmove listings for 'Herefordshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 51/119

house price > £270000 39.24% failed/reduced sales 93/237

house price > £170000 42.19% failed/reduced sales 100/237

house price > £12000 44.96% failed/reduced sales 107/238

Total of 42.13% Rightmove listings for 'Norfolk' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 300/712

house price > £274000 43.77% failed/reduced sales 144/329

house price > £174950 43.47% failed/reduced sales 143/329

house price > £None 38.91% failed/reduced sales 128/329

Total of 42.05% Rightmove listings for 'Devon' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 415/987

house price > £190000 41.02% failed/reduced sales 105/256

house price > £124950 39.45% failed/reduced sales 101/256

house price > £None 45.35% failed/reduced sales 117/258

Total of 41.95% Rightmove listings for 'Staffordshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 323/770

house price > £179995 39.51% failed/reduced sales 130/329

house price > £115000 39.21% failed/reduced sales 129/329

house price > £None 44.68% failed/reduced sales 147/329

Total of 41.13% Rightmove listings for 'West Yorkshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 406/987

house price > £189950 37.32% failed/reduced sales 106/284

house price > £124950 41.55% failed/reduced sales 118/284

house price > £None 41.55% failed/reduced sales 118/284

Total of 40.14% Rightmove listings for 'Lincolnshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 342/852

house price > £397500 37.84% failed/reduced sales 98/259

house price > £249950 39.00% failed/reduced sales 101/259

house price > £15500 39.00% failed/reduced sales 101/259

Total of 38.61% Rightmove listings for 'East Sussex' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 300/777

house price > £300000 39.44% failed/reduced sales 71/180

house price > £179950 40.56% failed/reduced sales 73/180

house price > £10000 32.78% failed/reduced sales 59/180

Total of 37.59% Rightmove listings for 'Suffolk' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 203/540

house price > £350000 39.64% failed/reduced sales 109/275

house price > £224950 37.09% failed/reduced sales 102/275

house price > £None 34.42% failed/reduced sales 95/276

Total of 37.05% Rightmove listings for 'Dorset' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 306/826

house price > £235000 35.40% failed/reduced sales 80/226

house price > £155000 31.42% failed/reduced sales 71/226

house price > £None 43.86% failed/reduced sales 100/228

Total of 36.91% Rightmove listings for 'Leicestershire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 251/680

house price > £350000 38.41% failed/reduced sales 126/328

house price > £215000 35.98% failed/reduced sales 118/328

house price > £None 35.06% failed/reduced sales 115/328

Total of 36.48% Rightmove listings for 'Hampshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 359/984

house price > £475000 45.71% failed/reduced sales 80/175

house price > £265000 30.29% failed/reduced sales 53/175

house price > £None 32.39% failed/reduced sales 57/176

Total of 36.12% Rightmove listings for 'Buckinghamshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 190/526

house price > £315000 36.15% failed/reduced sales 94/260

house price > £185000 34.62% failed/reduced sales 90/260

house price > £None 37.31% failed/reduced sales 97/260

Total of 36.03% Rightmove listings for 'Somerset' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 281/780

house price > £375000 36.89% failed/reduced sales 90/244

house price > £250000 29.92% failed/reduced sales 73/244

house price > £None 40.82% failed/reduced sales 100/245

Total of 35.88% Rightmove listings for 'West Sussex' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 263/733

house price > £275000 37.14% failed/reduced sales 65/175

house price > £165000 34.29% failed/reduced sales 60/175

house price > £None 36.16% failed/reduced sales 64/177

Total of 35.86% Rightmove listings for 'Cornwall' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 189/527

house price > £270000 34.27% failed/reduced sales 61/178

house price > £165000 39.89% failed/reduced sales 71/178

house price > £None 33.33% failed/reduced sales 60/180

Total of 35.82% Rightmove listings for 'Worcestershire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 192/536

house price > £230000 33.82% failed/reduced sales 23/68

house price > £159950 33.82% failed/reduced sales 23/68

house price > £23750 39.71% failed/reduced sales 27/68

Total of 35.78% Rightmove listings for 'Isle of Wight' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 73/204

house price > £300000 36.68% failed/reduced sales 84/229

house price > £195000 34.06% failed/reduced sales 78/229

house price > £None 36.24% failed/reduced sales 83/229

Total of 35.66% Rightmove listings for 'Gloucestershire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 245/687

house price > £165000 35.00% failed/reduced sales 7/20

house price > £110000 45.00% failed/reduced sales 9/20

house price > £52500 25.00% failed/reduced sales 5/20

Total of 35.00% Rightmove listings for 'Durham' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 21/60

house price > £340000 34.75% failed/reduced sales 41/118

house price > £209995 38.14% failed/reduced sales 45/118

house price > £59500 30.83% failed/reduced sales 37/120

Total of 34.55% Rightmove listings for 'Warwickshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 123/356

house price > £194995 32.94% failed/reduced sales 83/252

house price > £120000 33.73% failed/reduced sales 85/252

house price > £21200 36.51% failed/reduced sales 92/252

Total of 34.39% Rightmove listings for 'Nottinghamshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 260/756

house price > £259995 36.51% failed/reduced sales 69/189

house price > £165000 29.10% failed/reduced sales 55/189

house price > £None 35.08% failed/reduced sales 67/191

Total of 33.57% Rightmove listings for 'Northamptonshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 191/569

house price > £550000 36.86% failed/reduced sales 122/331

house price > £350000 35.05% failed/reduced sales 116/331

house price > £None 25.30% failed/reduced sales 84/332

Total of 32.39% Rightmove listings for 'Surrey' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 322/994

house price > £299950 41.94% failed/reduced sales 65/155

house price > £199950 31.61% failed/reduced sales 49/155

house price > £None 22.29% failed/reduced sales 35/157

Total of 31.91% Rightmove listings for 'Wiltshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 149/467

house price > £299995 30.00% failed/reduced sales 57/190

house price > £175000 31.58% failed/reduced sales 60/190

house price > £None 31.94% failed/reduced sales 61/191

Total of 31.17% Rightmove listings for 'Cambridgeshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 178/571

house price > £395000 30.09% failed/reduced sales 99/329

house price > £245000 29.48% failed/reduced sales 97/329

house price > £None 31.91% failed/reduced sales 105/329

Total of 30.50% Rightmove listings for 'Essex' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 301/987

house price > £395000 29.09% failed/reduced sales 96/330

house price > £235000 32.12% failed/reduced sales 106/330

house price > £None 28.18% failed/reduced sales 93/330

Total of 29.80% Rightmove listings for 'Kent' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 295/990

house price > £1650000 26.36% failed/reduced sales 29/110

house price > £935000 33.64% failed/reduced sales 37/110

house price > £None 27.93% failed/reduced sales 31/111

Total of 29.31% Rightmove listings for 'Central London' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 97/331

house price > £450000 26.25% failed/reduced sales 42/160

house price > £310000 26.88% failed/reduced sales 43/160

house price > £None 33.33% failed/reduced sales 54/162

Total of 28.84% Rightmove listings for 'Oxfordshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 139/482

house price > £529950 33.20% failed/reduced sales 83/250

house price > £325000 30.00% failed/reduced sales 75/250

house price > £None 20.80% failed/reduced sales 52/250

Total of 28.00% Rightmove listings for 'Hertfordshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 210/750

house price > £155000 23.91% failed/reduced sales 33/138

house price > £89000 23.91% failed/reduced sales 33/138

house price > £None 35.25% failed/reduced sales 49/139

Total of 27.71% Rightmove listings for 'Glasgow' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 115/415

house price > £485000 29.53% failed/reduced sales 57/193

house price > £325000 27.98% failed/reduced sales 54/193

house price > £None 21.76% failed/reduced sales 42/193

Total of 26.42% Rightmove listings for 'Berkshire' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 153/579

house price > £299995 27.03% failed/reduced sales 30/111

house price > £209500 30.63% failed/reduced sales 34/111

house price > £None 21.24% failed/reduced sales 24/113

Total of 26.27% Rightmove listings for 'Bristol' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 88/335

house price > £245000 25.37% failed/reduced sales 17/67

house price > £150000 28.36% failed/reduced sales 19/67

house price > £45000 22.06% failed/reduced sales 15/68

Total of 25.25% Rightmove listings for 'Edinburgh' over last 7 days are reductions or fails 51/202

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HOLA4417

The number of people I have spoken to who seem rather proud that their kids have bought around the London commuter belt (very often with help), as if it is one of the top achievements anyone might wish for in life, only four walls, same looking walls can be had almost anywhere in the UK.......but the scale of debt undertaken to reach that position is brushed aside....long-term debt commitment does not always coincide with a long-term secure, enjoyable and safe working environment with plus inflation rises every year.

I wish them all well, once living in it the value is immaterial anyway, only the debt is left to pay. ;)

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HOLA4419

I'm not sure if this is hilarious, or infuriating.

http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-35412978.html

It sold 14 months ago.. for £440,000. The vendor has done nothing except replace a few windows and painted a few of the rooms (her own admission).

Update... "Little Moatenden Oast" hasn't sold for 40% more than it sold for a year ago yet.. must be the agent's fault. So the vendor has switched to another one:

http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-37134978.html

I bet it'll get snapped up now.

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HOLA4420

Thanks man, that's been tweeted.

Can you add West midlands to your search area ?

Also, I read l;asy week ( been busy so hard to get to a PC at the mo ) that you dont count failed sales that are listed with a higher prices. I'd say you should count these as I think it's more a marketing strategy from the EA to scare the failed buyer into proceeding.

Brilliant work though, just brilliant.

Edited by TheCountOfNowhere
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HOLA4422

Thanks man, that's been tweeted.

Can you add West midlands to your search area ?

Also, I read l;asy week ( been busy so hard to get to a PC at the mo ) that you dont count failed sales that are listed with a higher prices. I'd say you should count these as I think it's more a marketing strategy from the EA to scare the failed buyer into proceeding.

Brilliant work though, just brilliant.

Did you really have to copy all the data of 3 posts?

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