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Gold strategy in the current economy


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HOLA441
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HOLA445

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/commodities/trade-deficit-at-18-month-high-as-gold-crude-imports-surge/articleshow/44816830.cms

"[The] value of gold imports jumped five-and-a-half times to $3.7Bn in the last month"

--that's 95 tonnes, folks. In September.

--You think they took paper gold?

Screw the WGC.

Edited by weaker
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HOLA4412

PMs are in downtrend. Until and unless markets get above falling Resitences they are in renewed bear market

Rising now after decline

Gold can rise as Oil falls as US$ rises. As I said above.

Gold is in a bull mkt IF it stays above $1180.

Bonkers. It's in a bear market 2 days ago, now it's in a bull market because it's gone up a bit.

You might as well have said "GOLD IS GOING DOWN" 2 days ago, now "GOLD IS GOING UP" today. These comments would have pretty much the same utility as the two posts above.

The widespread practice for TA aficionados is to post charts. A picture is worth a thousand words and that.

Start here: http://windows.microsoft.com/en-GB/windows7/products/features/paint

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HOLA4416

http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-10-16/CME-Group-Sets-Record-Trading-Volume-Of-39-6-Mln-Contracts-Wednesday-Up-47-Over-Previous-Level.html

Shock horror, Andrew Maguire has no comment. Seems he's too busy refusing to give William Cohan permission to use the info he gave him in interview. Or is he not refusing?

Will this make any difference to price of gold......no it won't.

..._

Edited by DiggerUK
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I got sucked into the whole gold bug thing last year and it cost me. IMHO its a bubble. Sure, have small ℅ in balanced portfolio but it is very expensive at present - look at 30 year chart. Gold miners might be worth a punt tho.

Know WHY you own it.

Oh, and make sure you do actually own it.

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HOLA4421

au.cci_2-600x267.png

Potentially very gold bullish

Though for both of those, short term can not be deduced.

Thank you for the useful graph.

IMO, the short term doesn't matter. Anyone who day trades gold should already be a trading/TA/etc expert already, or they'll throw away all their fiat.

The future cannot be deduced - it can only be guessed at. AFAIK, an e.g. 52% right vs 48% wrong guess rate using TA would be very good; if combined with rigorous risk & loss management it might even make money after the spreads & fees, etc.

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HOLA4422

http://traderdannorcini.blogspot.co.uk

Worth following this bloke in his analysis

Dan Norcini is closely associated with Jim Sinclair, probably one of the most ardent bugs ever. http://www.jsmineset.com/category/traderdannorcini/

If you've been listening to bugs, then you should already know about paper gold vs physical gold, china india physical gold demand, is there any gold in fort knox and so on.

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HOLA4423

it's obvious that liquidity is needed to stabilise the bourses of the world. The euro saga drags on. Gold gets it's pacemaker serviced, but keeps the old battery.

Anything that comes from these documents leaked to the New York Times won't cause shock horror to us. But I do love a bit of gossip now and then.

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/10/17/before-a-bailout-doubts-over-keeping-a-cyprus-bank-afloat/?_php=true&_type=blogs&smid=tw-share&_r=0

..._

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HOLA4424

https://global.handelsblatt.com/edition/34/ressort/finance/article/four-german-banks-on-the-brink

Handelsblatt: "Four German Banks On The Brink"

mmm. nice. Oh, and a little bit of evidence that supply/demand fundamentals are indeed still at work:

http://srsroccoreport.com/silver-miners-suspends-sales-35-of-production-due-to-low-prices/silver-miners-suspends-sales-35-of-production-due-to-low-prices/

SILVER MINER SUSPENDS SALES: 35% Of Production Due To Low Prices

corroberated by:

http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/content/en/mineweb-silver-news?oid=256613&sn=Detail

Also, on a day when the USD has done very little, (vs. EUR, JPY, GBP) and the .DJI has gone up over 200pts, the fact that gold is slightly in the positive -- is significant. The money-slosh into equities has not come from the small gold rally we had over the last couple of days. Right, it's pint time.

Edited by weaker
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HOLA4425

I got sucked into the whole gold bug thing last year and it cost me. IMHO its a bubble. Sure, have small ℅ in balanced portfolio but it is very expensive at present - look at 30 year chart. Gold miners might be worth a punt tho.

No, it is not. You are simply looking at the wrong metrics. If you look at the 30-year chart, pretty much everything looks expensive, except maybe gold. Take houses, the stock market, bus tickets, you name it. Gold is pretty cheap right now.

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