idunno Posted January 12, 2007 Share Posted January 12, 2007 A grand that they rise no rise in feb but will rise in march .5 percent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSEHUNTER Posted February 1, 2007 Author Share Posted February 1, 2007 Not long now................. 0.5% rise seems quite feasible....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cells Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 Not long now................. 0.5% rise seems quite feasible....... i think a 0.5% rise in one month would start the crash there and then! So i don’t think they will up it 0.5%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrashedOutAndBurned Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 In this world I wouldn't be surprised if some Al Aqueda-linked Pakistani-madrassa trained UK-born yoofs linked to Iran's nookclear weapons program beheaded a brave, gallant Muslim-yet-right-white-and blue fish and chip-eating British-Muslim super hero and in the chaos that followed they cut interest rates in an attempt to help kitchen utensil retailers who'd been forced to withdraw meat cleavers from sale after a knee-jerk moral panic in The Sun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest grumpy-old-man Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 I reckon they'll be another in Feb ....................... you've put the mockers on it now. go find that northern expression in the dictionary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSEHUNTER Posted February 1, 2007 Author Share Posted February 1, 2007 (edited) i think a 0.5% rise in one month would start the crash there and then! So i don’t think they will up it 0.5%. Nothing suprises me anymore, the economists are getting it completely wrong, and after a series of 'shock' rises, house prices are still rising apparently. King has tried but failed so far to cool the market, it's time for some serious action. Edited February 1, 2007 by HOUSEHUNTER Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest grumpy-old-man Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 no rise in feb but will rise in march .5 percent my thoughts also. the bulls are gonna haunt us with this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSEHUNTER Posted February 1, 2007 Author Share Posted February 1, 2007 In this world I wouldn't be surprised if some Al Aqueda-linked Pakistani-madrassa trained UK-born yoofs linked to Iran's nookclear weapons program beheaded a brave, gallant Muslim-yet-right-white-and blue fish and chip-eating British-Muslim super hero and in the chaos that followed they cut interest rates in an attempt to help kitchen utensil retailers who'd been forced to withdraw meat cleavers from sale after a knee-jerk moral panic in The Sun. Nor would I................ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cells Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 Nothing suprises me anymore, the economists are getting it completely wrong, and after a series of 'shock' rises, house prices are still rising apparently. King may has tried but failed so far to cool the market, it's time for some serious action. it would be physiologically bad, BTL would all start selling (would assume more 0.5% to come). Not to mention anyone not on a fixed rate will be paying nearly 10% more per month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey shark Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 it would be physiologically bad, BTL would all start selling (would assume more 0.5% to come). Not to mention anyone not on a fixed rate will be paying nearly 10% more per month. Bring it on ........................ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winkie Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 Solwly, slowly Bit by bit ...the word torture, springs to mind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSEHUNTER Posted February 1, 2007 Author Share Posted February 1, 2007 it would be physiologically bad, BTL would all start selling (would assume more 0.5% to come). Not to mention anyone not on a fixed rate will be paying nearly 10% more per month. don't mention 'BTL' ......I have removed that term from my vocabulary.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
camem' Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 In this world I wouldn't be surprised if some Al Aqueda-linked Pakistani-madrassa trained UK-born yoofs linked to Iran's nookclear weapons program beheaded a brave, gallant Muslim-yet-right-white-and blue fish and chip-eating British-Muslim super hero and in the chaos that followed they cut interest rates in an attempt to help kitchen utensil retailers who'd been forced to withdraw meat cleavers from sale after a knee-jerk moral panic in The Sun. surely not before Cherie Blair makes an indiscreet comment about paedophiles not paying the congestion charge because of climate change, leading to EU subsidies on CCTV systems causing a French unions strike with hospital nurses striking in sympathy leading to H5N1 beating MRSA in a pandemic showdown causing everyone to perish except those in Guantanamo bay and Iran's nuclear facilities. Which would, as it happens, mean house prices rising about 4% in 2007 according to experts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cells Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 (edited) Bring it on ........................ i would love it too, but i don’t see Gordon letting that happen i don’t even see the bank letting that happen also i don’t see how some bankers, who probably own lots of property will let that happen! I would estimate that a good way to accurately tell if a HPC is going to occur soonish is to find out the address of properties bankers own, specially those in the BOE that decide rates. Then check land registry to see if they are selling them. you will have a 2-3 month lag but i would assume the start of a crash would take longer than that. Edited February 1, 2007 by cells Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winkie Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 also i don’t see how some bankers, who probably own lots of property will let that happen! Don't bankers get cheap loans, a perk of the job? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 I think there is a real possibility of another rise in Feb. Their inflation forecast should be a good laugh tho. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leonard Hatred Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 I'm always wrong, so here's me employing reverse psychology: There will be no February rate rise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximus Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 In order to control inflation which is 50% (conservatively) over the target BOE should stop p*ssy footing about and round it upto 6%. End of story. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john_d_uk Posted February 1, 2007 Share Posted February 1, 2007 Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%? I think the point is arriving where the next rise will be +0.5% The reason is that when rates were 2.5% then a 0.25% rise was an increase of 10% on the interest rate. As the interest rate becomes larger, so the rate of increase decreases; if a 0.25% increase is used constantly. By the time we get to 5.25% base rates the real rise of 0.25% is now only 10% of the total. Anyone still with me? Therefore to have the same effect as the first rises of 0.25%, rates must start increasing by greater amounts. I wouldn't mind betting a +0.5% 'shock' rise in March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
talksalot81 Posted February 2, 2007 Share Posted February 2, 2007 Nothing suprises me anymore, the economists are getting it completely wrong, and after a series of 'shock' rises, house prices are still rising apparently. King has tried but failed so far to cool the market, it's time for some serious action. None of the rises are intended to control the housing market. That is not the main remit of the BoE. Making predictions on the basis of the market is basically pointless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Shedfish Posted February 2, 2007 Share Posted February 2, 2007 According to Stuart Law,managing director of property investent specialist Assetz (!)"We expect that wage inflation will be kept under control at 4% or less, while inflation is expected to drop back down to 2% by the end of the year. This, combined wiht falling energy pries, confirms that the eonomy is on an even keel and we are likely to the the Bank holding or lowering rates in the coming months" VI? lol! sounds more prayer than analysis even so, the other day Betfa!r were offering such silly odds on a quarter pt cut i had to go 3 quid, as a kind of hedge against the howl of despair. if they do drug the hawks' tea i get 1300 quid or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roblpm Posted February 2, 2007 Share Posted February 2, 2007 Can someone who is cleverer than me post the odds from the spread betting companies for a rise on the 8th Feb. And has anyone tracked their success in predicting the previous rises/no changes? Cheers Rob Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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