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German house price COLLAPSE!


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HOLA441

House prices in Germany dropped by a record 10.2pc in the third quarter in a further sign of the struggles faced by Europe’s largest economy since the pandemic.

It was the fourth consecutive quarter of declines compared to the same time a year earlier, and the biggest since Germany’s statistics office began keeping records in the year 2000.

The drop comes amid the biggest property crisis in decades in Europe’s largest economy.

Konstantin Kholodilin of the German Institute for Economic Research said: “Until 2022, there was a speculative price bubble in Germany, one of the biggest in the last 50 years.

“Prices have been falling ever since. The bubble has burst.”

For years, the property sector in Germany and elsewhere in Europe boomed as interest rates were low and demand strong.

But a sharp rise in rates and costs has put an end to the run, tipping developers into insolvency as bank financing dries up and deals freeze.

It comes as official data showed Germany is the worst performing G7 economy since the pandemic, growing by just 0.3pc.

Britain slipped back behind France to be the next worst performer after downward revisions to growth left the UK on the brink of recession.

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1 minute ago, Casual-observer said:

The comments are rightly ripping him a new one.

"How does Germany become a military heavyweight if their industrial collapse is imminent"?

You cannot make new energy solutions up on the fly, nor can you rebuild your military on the fly. These things take at least a decade of planning. 

They've just signed a big gas deal with Norway right? 

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5 minutes ago, Casual-observer said:

The comments are rightly ripping him a new one.

"How does Germany become a military heavyweight if their industrial collapse is imminent"?

You cannot make new energy solutions up on the fly, nor can you rebuild your military on the fly. These things take at least a decade of planning. 

The early 1940s shows otherwise. Need high quality Aero Engines ? Get a car manufacturer to build them for you. 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Packard_V-1650_Merlin  

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3 minutes ago, TenYearToGetMyMoneyBack said:

The early 1940s shows otherwise. Need high quality Aero Engines ? Get a car manufacturer to build them for you. 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Packard_V-1650_Merlin  

Just to clarify the comments are merely requoting Zeihans opinions back to him. 

Germany's current industrial base relied predominantly on cheap Russian gas to be as competitive as it was and in addition a huge Russian domestic market to sell into. 

Without both components it's going to see a decline regardless, if Norwegian energy could have offered a better alterative these deals would already be in existence over Russian alternatives. 

It's somewhat of a contradiction for Zeihan to rightly point all this out and yet release a new video suggesting Germany is now on the cusp of becoming a huge military power for Russia to fear whilst its economy is simultaneously reeling off of the back of reduced access to Russia's economy. The two positions clearly don't jive. 

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2 hours ago, Casual-observer said:

Or in other words.....Germany without cheap Russian gas. 

And also starting to exercise more control over their borders so less additional housing demand year on year for rental etc - and post the Polish election they will be able to ship a few across the Polish border.

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24 minutes ago, Stewy said:

A new energy solution on the fly. 

Like American LNG. 

That's without context.  

Will it offer the equivalent advantage that Russian gas originally offered to Germany in the first place?....The very reason as to why Germany favoured Russia gas that their current economic model was based off. i.e. it's cheap, it's piped and it's stable. 

As I have already said had these alternatives held an advantage then they'd already be in existence.  

Edited by Casual-observer
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1 hour ago, Tony_Teacake said:

That's right. Isn't it funny how many people in the UK think we won't be affected. 

Lower house prices is not a bad thing, a correction, am sure many priced out Germans would welcome cheaper homes to rent and buy.....we are connected, what happens up or down the road will find its way here.....;)

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