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House Price Crash Forum

Fed Holds


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HOLA441
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Guest d23
The Federal Reserver are trapped. They can't raise or lower. Their only hope is Euro and Sterling both hold or lower, giving them the cover to lower their rates without a flight out of the dollar. Interesting to see if BoE do raise - I am 50/50 on a hold/raise 1/4%.

do you think the dollar can expect another kicking tomorrow if theres a .25 raise?

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do you think the dollar can expect another kicking tomorrow if theres a .25 raise?

No, it is already priced in. May even drop. If they hold, sterling will be taken to the woodshed and chopped up.

Edited by Pluto
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No, it is already priced in. May even drop. If they hold, sterling will be taken to the woodshed and chopped up.

Sterling will fall after the announcement of a 0.25% rise. It may spike up briefly and then fall back. Many traders are in the market only until tomorrow. I expect to see GBP fall to 1.98 before the end of the week and probably to 1.9650 next week, especially as the Fed has put off any prospect of a near-term rate reduction in the US.

No change in the rate will see sterling lose 2 cents immediately, while a 0.5% rise will have the most unpredictable impact for sterling.

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