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The part where they explain that the authors (economists, not specialists in this area) have performed a meta-analysis that excluded all work done by epidemiologists (i.e. the people who do this for a living) and instead relied on a single study from South Africa, oh and they reversed the conclusions of that study as well. Pretty damn funny if you ask me, and yet some are taking this study seriously.
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Lockdown, Omicron variant leading to many, many more cases and the figures not distinguishing between deaths from Covid and deaths with Covid. Plus, although you specify "much of the period when the country was unvaccinated", you ignore the massive spike in December - February 2020/21, when patients and deaths were vastly higher than they are now.
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Ask any economist, and they'll tell you that defence is something that only the state can provide, it doesn't mean that they're any good at it (ask the Russians), just that no market alternative exists. In terms of street lighting, you know that flashlights are a thing, don't you? I suggest you check the definition of monopoly, and in any event, since when has the NHS only provided emergency care.
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Let's say 1/100 vaccinated die from Covid, but for the unvaccinated that figure is 1/10, that's 90% protection against death from Covid. Now let's assume we merge unvaccinated with partially vaccinated, and they have a 1/20 chance of dying from Covid, the vaccines now only offer 80% protection from death from Covid. One problem is the partially vaccinated usually have a reason why they've not had further doses, thus their all cause mortality can be worse, but if we're solely focussed on death by Covid, the numbers still hold.
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The claim was about original promises, not what the semi-senile POTUS said a year later. Also, let's remember that the vaccines were developed against pre-Alpha variants, work well against Alpha and Delta, but Omicron has changed the game a bit. So, what were the original promises, and who made them, with links to sources please.