I Told You So Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 I live in a flat that before the crunch was probably worth £400K and the rent is £1200/ month £14400/year Interest only assuming 6% = £2000/month £24000/year thats £800/mth or £9600/year shortfall Madness i say madness dont anyone dare say but but what about the deposit the mortgage will only be say 300K, well your still loosing the interest you would get by leaving the £100K in the bank other examples £600K flats renting for aound £450/week you do the math but its similar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_w_ Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 And to make it worse rents in London will have to come down from their current hyper inflated levels. Subsidising renters or keeping properties empty only made sense when property prices 'only went up'. It's going to be a bloodbath. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gone baby gone Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 Indeed, right now the London BTL market is akin to someone with internal bleeding. They are feeling deeply unwell but there are few external signs of a problem. 2008 is the year the patient expires. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silver surfer Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 And to make it worse rents in London will have to come down from their current hyper inflated levels. Maybe. Maybe not. There is some evidence that residential rents actually tend to rise most when house prices are flat or falling. In the area I rent (Richmond/Kew, south-west London) I'm not seeing rents increasing, but neither am I seeing a glut of vacant rental properties nor any rent declines. Personally I think the jury's out on where rents will go over the next year or two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Telometer Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 The thing that is going to give is rent. It will go up. It is going up; rental properties are generally not on for more than a few days. Enjoy your cheap rent whilst you can. And with BTL not currently attracting new money the number of BTL properties will reduce - thus pushing rents higher. Simple economics and supply and demand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jez123 Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 The thing that will give is that people will move out of London Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
piece of paper Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 And to make it worse rents in London will have to come down from their current hyper inflated levels.Subsidising renters or keeping properties empty only made sense when property prices 'only went up'. It's going to be a bloodbath. LA's underpin a certain amount of London rents due to the housing waiting lists. For as long as they pay top-whack for inferior accommodation, good accommodation will command a premium. LAs are slow to react to changing markets. p-o-p Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
piece of paper Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 The thing that is going to give is rent. It will go up. It is going up; rental properties are generally not on for more than a few days. Enjoy your cheap rent whilst you can. And with BTL not currently attracting new money the number of BTL properties will reduce - thus pushing rents higher. Simple economics and supply and demand. Are you really a neither? p-o-p Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smash It Up Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 I just renewed my tenancy in Acton/Gunnersbury Park - nice(ish) 1 bed flat over a shop on the north circular, not exactly dez-rez but it's the best I could afford within 1/2 hours walk from the office. I was expecting the rent to be pushed up after initially signing an 18 month contract for £750pcm, but the managing agent didn't even try to weasel more money out of me, they just asked nicely if I'd like to stay and then sent me the renewal forms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_w_ Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 Are you really a neither?p-o-p Dear old Telometer is a first class bull, just doesn't have the guts to say it. Gloated today about having 'made' £24,000 on his house based on today's LR figures and admitted he didn't give a f*ck about FTBs. Cried like a sheep for 50 redudant EAs yesterday. Suspect he's a hard line EA or a BTLer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_w_ Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 Maybe. Maybe not. There is some evidence that residential rents actually tend to rise most when house prices are flat or falling. In the area I rent (Richmond/Kew, south-west London) I'm not seeing rents increasing, but neither am I seeing a glut of vacant rental properties nor any rent declines. Personally I think the jury's out on where rents will go over the next year or two. That's what I would have thought too. But I live in West London too, have you noticed how stupidly expensive rents are? Prices are so high they are even quoting weekly rents now! To me the tell tale sign that rents are coming back down to earth are the forests of 'To Let' signs springing up suddenly all over the place. I've noticed there are even more 'To Let' signs than 'For Sale'. I had expected the contrary but I can see how a market where people simply can't sell will result in a glut of rental properties. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landagan Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 I live in a flat that before the crunch was probably worth £400K and the rent is £1200/ month £14400/yearInterest only assuming 6% = £2000/month £24000/year thats £800/mth or £9600/year shortfall Madness i say madness dont anyone dare say but but what about the deposit the mortgage will only be say 300K, well your still loosing the interest you would get by leaving the £100K in the bank other examples £600K flats renting for aound £450/week you do the math but its similar I totally agree, it's a no brainer to rent rather than buy in SE London. For instance; To Buy - £329,995 http://www.rightmove.co.uk/viewdetails-178...=3&tr_t=buy To Rent - £1000/Month http://www.rightmove.co.uk/viewdetails-193...3&tr_t=rent This is just one example, and it has been on the market for almost a year now. Something really must give. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frank Hovis Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 Maybe. Maybe not. There is some evidence that residential rents actually tend to rise most when house prices are flat or falling. In the area I rent (Richmond/Kew, south-west London) I'm not seeing rents increasing, but neither am I seeing a glut of vacant rental properties nor any rent declines. Personally I think the jury's out on where rents will go over the next year or two. They'll fall. The difference this time to GC1 is that there are a hell of a lot of BTLs out there who have to have rent coming in or they'll go bust. They can't just sit there waiting for the ideal tenant who'll pay the asking rent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomberbrown Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 Without mincing my words, London is going to be a bloodbath over the next 5 years. End of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silver surfer Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 They'll fall. The difference this time to GC1 is that there are a hell of a lot of BTLs out there who have to have rent coming in or they'll go bust. They can't just sit there waiting for the ideal tenant who'll pay the asking rent. I hope you're right. But, despite scouring the data sources, I've never found a reliable analysis of the degree of leverage that characterises UK BTL landlords. I know a couple of johnny-come-lately BTL landlords here at work who are mortgaged up to their eyeballs and are now visibly sweating. But I also know one or two long term landlords who stopped buying in the late 90's and are as solvent as you can get. I also know quite a few "accidental" landlords; people who got married when they both owned property, or inherited a property, and just decided to rent it out rather than selling. These people aren't under any pressure and can take all the time they want to make a decision. Unfortunately I'm not aware of any solid data that shows how many BTL landlords are in group one versus group two! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beans on toast Posted February 28, 2008 Share Posted February 28, 2008 I totally agree, it's a no brainer to rent rather than buy in SE London.For instance; To Buy - £329,995 http://www.rightmove.co.uk/viewdetails-178...=3&tr_t=buy To Rent - £1000/Month http://www.rightmove.co.uk/viewdetails-193...3&tr_t=rent This is just one example, and it has been on the market for almost a year now. Something really must give. On an interest only basis, 1000/month to cover the mortgage, the value of that property would have to be 200K. 6% interest. On an repayment 155K. SOmething has got to give. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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