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Will A Collapse Of The Lib Dems Benefit Labour Or Tories?


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HOLA441
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HOLA442
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HOLA443

We have had 10 years of Liebor, how any one can think of voting for them I don't know. The Libdems have already quickly been shown to be liars, and hopefully are finished as a party. The Conservatives are really just the same as Nulabour but with a more upper crust skin.

We need less secrecy and more honesty, we just cant afford to send all these numbnuts to university. Close all the crap ones, who wants to employ someone who has a degree in "waste management with dance" and all the other crap courses. Pay for the courses which are good for the country and if you want to do "textiles" pay for it yourself

Edited by Oh Well :(
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HOLA444

On one hand, there are far more con/libdem marginals than lab/libdem marginals, so benefits conservatives.

However, it would create more lab/con marginals.

The answer lies in crunching the numbers, and i cant be bothered. Theres a website out there somewhere that lets you plug in numbers, called Electoral Calculus, but this will be redundant at the next election because the boundaries will all change, benefitting conservatives at the expense of labour - considerably so.

Too many factors to have a guess, plus sentiment could completely reverse within 4 years.

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HOLA445

On one hand, there are far more con/libdem marginals than lab/libdem marginals, so benefits conservatives.

However, it would create more lab/con marginals.

The answer lies in crunching the numbers, and i cant be bothered. Theres a website out there somewhere that lets you plug in numbers, called Electoral Calculus, but this will be redundant at the next election because the boundaries will all change, benefitting conservatives at the expense of labour - considerably so.

Too many factors to have a guess, plus sentiment could completely reverse within 4 years.

Agree, interesting that in 2005 labour got a majority of 66 with 35.2% of the vote but in 2010 the conservatives got 36% of the vote but were 20 odd seats short. First past the post with mis matched constituency sizes etc does not really do democracy much justice.

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HOLA446
  • 4 weeks later...
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HOLA447

[quote name=Oh Well :(' timestamp='1291918327' post='2816785]

We have had 10 years of Liebor, how any one can think of voting for them I don't know. The Libdems have already quickly been shown to be liars, and hopefully are finished as a party. The Conservatives are really just the same as Nulabour but with a more upper crust skin.

We need less secrecy and more honesty, we just cant afford to send all these numbnuts to university. Close all the crap ones, who wants to employ someone who has a degree in "waste management with dance" and all the other crap courses. Pay for the courses which are good for the country and if you want to do "textiles" pay for it yourself

Waste management is actually a well paid job, provided you belong to the Chartered Institute of Waste Managers.

Modern processes ranging from Hositals, Factories, Farming, Vehicle dismantling, Incinerating etc. use dangerous, poisonous, radio active, infectious sunstances and their management and proper transport and disposal is crucial for every ones health.

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  • 4 weeks later...
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HOLA448

Waste management is actually a well paid job, provided you belong to the Chartered Institute of Waste Managers.

Modern processes ranging from Hositals, Factories, Farming, Vehicle dismantling, Incinerating etc. use dangerous, poisonous, radio active, infectious sunstances and their management and proper transport and disposal is crucial for every ones health.

Back to the OP: Research suggests that LD defectors benefit Labour at a ratio of 2:1

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