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The Bank Of England Said It Plans To Sell Three-Year Bonds In Dollars


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HOLA441
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HOLA442
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HOLA443

"The Bank of England is seeking to raise funds as confidence in the U.K. currency plummets on concern no party will win an outright majority in a forthcoming general election."

The BoE leading the way in restoring faith in Sterling then :)

I wonder when the buy-one-get-one-free on UK bonds will start ?

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HOLA444
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HOLA445

Is it because:

1. It would be difficult to get away a bond sale in Sterling.

or

2. The Bank of England thinks that Sterling will appreciate against the dollar?

Given that they don't like to take unnecessary risks, sadly I guess it is the first option. Unless they can take out cost effective 'insurance' against adverse currency moves.

Or will be playing swapsies with the Fed after the sale?

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HOLA446
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HOLA448

Carter Gilts.

I guess the idea is that it transfers the foreign exchange risk from the investor onto the UK government. Will they pay the interest payments in $ too or just the repayment of the capital at maturity?

Does rather smack of desperation.

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Guest DissipatedYouthIsValuable

You people have no idea what you are talking about.

Explain it and I'll give you a lovely bonus.

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HOLA4411

Is it because:

1. It would be difficult to get away a bond sale in Sterling.

or

2. The Bank of England thinks that Sterling will appreciate against the dollar?

Given that they don't like to take unnecessary risks, sadly I guess it is the first option. Unless they can take out cost effective 'insurance' against adverse currency moves.

Clearly Roger Bootle thinks this is a possibility. IIRC this is a consequence of having such a low base rate for so long - as he clearly expects. And US interest rates are signalled upwards.

Yes, I know some of you are going to say this is counter-intuitive.

See my sig.

You people have no idea what you are talking about.

Go on then enlighten the masses............................

Edited by RockingHorse
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HOLA4412
Guest tbatst2000

The bank wants some dollars to hold in reserve for later and decided that there was a better market for USD bonds than GBP ones. Maybe it also decided that, rather going and buying dollars directly and further pushing the pound down, it made more sense to cut the FX markets out of the deal.

I must admit though, I had no idea they'd ever issued bonds in any currency other than sterling and it's not a good omen at all that they'd do this right now.

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HOLA4413
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HOLA4414

You people have no idea what you are talking about.

Oh, so the rumours on the trading floor (I sit across the aisle from flow sales, and opposite the fx prop guys) of BoE intervention which arrested the spike down of the pound (a cent against both the dollar and euro in less than a minute) are wrong? BoE has limited fx reserves compared to 1992, they need to choose their battles very carefully and to reload at every opportunity.

Edited by kilroy
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HOLA4415

You people have no idea what you are talking about.

Nobody does at the moment.

Anyone who claims to be an expert through such uncertain times is either deluded or a snake-oil salesman.

Or perhaps a "Master of the Universe" Banker ?

1/Physics is impossibly difficult to understand at it's furthest reaches.

2/Medicine is important.

3/Engineering is much respected.

4/Banking is guesswork (as is Economics).

I'm quite happy to not understand 1-3, but point 4 should be a bloke in a Bowler hat who looks after my money. Not a combination of 1-3.

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HOLA4418

Oh, so the rumours on the trading floor (I sit across the aisle from flow sales, and opposite the fx prop guys) of BoE intervention which arrested the spike down of the pound (a cent against both the dollar and euro in less than a minute) are wrong? BoE has limited fx reserves compared to 1992, they need to choose their battles very carefully and to reload at every opportunity.

I don't doubt for a second that there was a swift and silent intervention by the BoE.

Just so as we don't all feel too isolated, there is a specufest against the EUR too.

Hedge Funds Try 'Career Trade' Against Euro

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703795004575087741848074392.html

Seems like 1992 was only yesterday...................................

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HOLA4419

Is it because:

1. It would be difficult to get away a bond sale in Sterling.

or

2. The Bank of England thinks that Sterling will appreciate against the dollar?

Given that they don't like to take unnecessary risks, sadly I guess it is the first option. Unless they can take out cost effective 'insurance' against adverse currency moves.

Well - the first thing I thought of was about the BOJ's moves... The BOJ bought US-dollar debt to depress the value of its currency - thus supporting the Yen-* carry.

Isn't issuing your debt in a foreign currency likely to support the value of a currency - thus suppressing any carry trade from Sterling? Doesn't it (in some small way) encourage inward investment? Might that explain the rise on the FTSE100 today?

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HOLA4420

Is it because:

1. It would be difficult to get away a bond sale in Sterling.

or

2. The Bank of England thinks that Sterling will appreciate against the dollar?

Given that they don't like to take unnecessary risks, sadly I guess it is the first option. Unless they can take out cost effective 'insurance' against adverse currency moves.

or 3, because the FED will at some point over the next few years enact policies which a nation the size of the UK can't get away with, and that by holding $ denominated debt, whatever benefits accrue to the US treasury as a result of these FED actions will also accrue to other major nations issuing debt denominated in dollars?

In short, it could represent the beginnings of a mini Bretton Woods III. Watch to see if other nations do it, particularly japan and sweden.

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HOLA4421

and what was sterling doing last march?

Started March 2007, yes last year march was bad but not all the years they did it....(Don't get me wrong I think the £ is fooked, I just think this story is a non-event)

March 2007 - 1 USD = 0.513531 GBP

March 2008 - 1 USD = 0.499664 GBP (Best month that year)

March 2009 - 1 USD = 0.705064 GBP (Worst month that year)

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