Captain_Caveman
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Halifax March 23: up 0.8%!!
Captain_Caveman replied to FivePoundLatte's topic in House prices and the economy
Going to have to pay top dollar for some tat in Berkshire as market is showing quite a bit of selling activity and available property listings have been in decline in the last week or two. Set myself a target of looking and offering from June as I could be dead before we see any meaningful downturn!! -
Over paid for a house last year?
Captain_Caveman replied to Mancunian284's topic in House prices and the economy
Agree. In Berkshire, listings have fallen 6 days straight 😩. Where's all the money coming from?? -
PropertyLion Index April 2023
Captain_Caveman replied to TheCountOfNowhere's topic in House prices and the economy
Number of listings dropped 4 weekdays in a row. Where's the surge in listings in Berkshire? My 10 mile radius constitutes 314 square miles, so quite a representative area in Thames Valley. -
PropertyLion Index April 2023
Captain_Caveman replied to TheCountOfNowhere's topic in House prices and the economy
400-650k listings for my 10 mile radius of Bracknell in Berks still below high seen 2 weeks ago so no surge in what was a white-hot area in covid times. -
UK Property Lion calls the top.
Captain_Caveman replied to TheCountOfNowhere's topic in House prices and the economy
Stuff is selling in Berkshire. Zoopla shows around 18% of 400-650k properties in surrounding towns going SSTC in last 30 days. During the covid frenzy, I read that this number went as high as 60%. Apparently, around 30% of transactions are failing so some of these will come back on the market. Seeing near year highs of listings, but not the inexorable rise I would expect. I mentioned this on another thread. Not such if lots of properties are being pulled as % sold in last 30 days is low in comparison to new listings daily so something doesn't compute. -
Sudden spike in SSTC
Captain_Caveman replied to Captain_Caveman's topic in House prices and the economy
I think Reading is a hot area (it is on Elizabeth line and hub of IT industry). Anyway, a look at Zoopla shows a general trend as follows in towns near me. The fields read as follows: Town/properties SSTC out of listings in last 14 days and as a %, and same for last 30 days for 10 mile radius of town, 400-650k: Reading 55/620 8.90% 116/499 23.20% Bracknell 77/950 8.10% 217/1295 16.80% Woking 79/1044 7.60% 191/1171 16.30% Wokingham 74/895 8.30% 171/914 18.70% Farnborough 51/694 7.30% 137/758 18.10% Camberley 62/821 7.60% 166/925 17.90% Cheers I think these figures must be encouraging for cash buyers. They show selling is happening at a reduced, post-covid frenzy, but I'm wondering how Zoopla typically shows 20 properties a day listing but that after 30 days, only around 17-18% have gone SSTC. The numbers don't seem to compute. I would have expected listings to be on an inexorable rise, but I'm seeing supply numbers at a near high, but not consistently rising. What am I missing (apart from a life!)? -
Sudden spike in SSTC
Captain_Caveman replied to Captain_Caveman's topic in House prices and the economy
It does, but I'm not😀. I think it is more my part of Berkshire as checking further down towards Newbury shows a lower percentage SSTC. Perhaps I'll buy down there. -
Hi all, As have previously mentioned, I'm focusing on a 10 mile radius of Bracknell in Berkshire, with price range of 400-650k, so this is quite a large catchment area. Today, using Rightmove marks the highest selling figures as a percentage in the last 14 days so far this year. Checking today, shows a spike from around 6-7% to just over 10%. Bit depressing, but it just proves that more people are getting sales over the line that at any time this year. Would be good to hear others' findings. Cheers
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All quiet on the western front
Captain_Caveman replied to NoHPCinTheUK's topic in House prices and the economy
Not the case here. Within a 10 mile radius of me in Berkshire, covering a number of major towns, nearly 8% went SSTC in last 2 weeks when checking band 500-650k. This is the highest percentage since earlier this month. I want the market to crash but it's clear there is steady selling going on, although properties listed are also at a near high. It's hard to work out the direction of the market. It's clearly dropping, but not at a great degree. Without any props or real dip in interest rates, it seems, at best, we're into a long period of prices drifting downwards. Clearly, I hope I'm wrong. -
Property prices go pre-pandemic
Captain_Caveman replied to 70PC's topic in House prices and the economy
New all time high today of listings (since last September when I started). Seeing steady selling, but being offset with a number of properties being pulled and steady supply coming on, and this is a very cash-rich (not me!) area. -
Property prices go pre-pandemic
Captain_Caveman replied to 70PC's topic in House prices and the economy
My metrics within a 10 mile radius of Wokingham, Berkshire show the greatest number of houses being pulled/sales fallen through than I have seen since I started tracking data last autumn. Today also represented a new high in properties in my 500-650k price band on the market. I was just starting to lose the faith but it almost seems there was a mini surge in buying activity in January and that this has been subsiding slightly in March. The last 2 weeks seems to show the highest number of fall-throughs. Hoping to see a bit of a trend... -
Good point!
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Where I am in Wokingham, Berkshire, supply had been creeping up the last couple of months, but there is constant buying demand now, albeit at a lower, non-covid rate, and I've noted that supply seems to be matching demand for now. I'm a cash buyer planning to buy in the next 3-6 months as I could be dead before we see a crash of any sort. I hope to be wrong, of course (on the crash part!)
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"the UK housing market has turned"
Captain_Caveman replied to TheCountOfNowhere's topic in House prices and the economy
Hi all, been reading the forum for a few weeks and really appreciate seeing different viewpoints. Anyway, I'm new here and looking to buy within a 10 mile radius of Wokingham in Berkshire. Currently renting and looking at the 500-650k band of detached bungalows or houses. I was planning to hang on for some more time but getting a bit impatient as my daily RightMove/Zoopla checks show sales are still churning through, albeit at a reduced rate and supply seems to be being met with some demand. Just wondering how the demand is sustained. I was hoping the downturn would outstrip my rent, but not really seeing this play out just yet. Anyway, I think my plan (mostly a cash buyer)will be to offer on an already-reduced property that is not in a chain and should the housing market collapse (a protracted drift down seems most likely trajectory to me), then choose to pull out or negotiate a further reduction. Interested to hear all viewpoints!!