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U.s. Non-Farm Payroll


drrayjo

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HOLA441

"Expectation":

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091002-704386.html

Reality:

http://www.cnbc.com/

How many more times does this have to be unexpected...We're NOT OK!

it was unexpected as the birth death model usually is manipulated to mask the truth

oh and dont count those discouraged workers who have been unemployed for more than 6 months

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HOLA447

Yes, good article. fits nicely with his one yesterday on how optimistic economists are and have been.

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/10/collectively-economists-are-perpetually.html

They are optimistic because many believe you can be talked into a recession, so they become over optimistic to compensate so we can avoid being too negative.

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