slawek

Macron in this case is going against masses. The example I gave are almost exclusively populistic authoritarians. They are preying on emotions of people, amplifying them to control masses in order to retain power.

Immigration has very a little to do with this. It is rather other way around, immigration is a scapegoat as it is easier to blame other. This was always a standard tool among authoritarians. Living standards are rising in EM markets. It is rather nationalism and feeling that the West is not treating them as they deserve.

I am indifferent. It doesn't concern me personally. From the EU point of view this is a good solution as long as the UK is policing the flow of the goods and integrity of the internal market is preserved. If not, the agreement gives the EU a right to suspends parts or all of it and we are back to the square one. Hence this could be just kicking the can down the road exercise.

It is not only the UK. Populations of many countries are craving for strong, authoritarian leaders. Italy, Hungary, Poland, Turkey, Russia, AfD in Germany, India, China, Israel, USA with Trump, Le Pen in France etc. The whole world is going bonkers. This won't end well.

72% of Brits wants FOM now. Only 14% are against. https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/do-you-think-there-should-be-mutual-free-movement-for-british-citizens-to-travel-and-work-in-europe-and-european-citizens-to-travel-and-work-in-britain/

Being a Russian doesn't make you automatically a bad person. Let's not fall in an ugly trap of racism and nationalism.

This is socialism for the rich. Everyone will chip in to bail out those who kept larger deposits in failing banks. Banks will charge more or pay lower IRs to pay FDIC/FED back.

You are wrong. The border is only in one place, NI/GBP. There is only a different arrangement for goods flowing between GBP and NI and staying in the UK.

Yes they have made some tweaks to NIP but the NIP has not changed overall. EU law/ECJ applies in NI. The EU customer border is between NI/GB, all goods imported to the EU this route need to be fully checked and comply with EU all regulations. Goods exported from EU through NI/GBP border needs to be checked if there are any EU export restrictions. The changes concern only products flowing from the UK to NI and staying there so they have no impact on the single market. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_23_1271

It is a set of "joint solutions, found within the framework of the Withdrawal Agreement" https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_23_1268

The EU custom border is still between NI and GB. WF is an implementation of NIP.

FED will decide.

EU and non-EU growth rates since Q4 2019 are close, 17% vs 22%. The 5% discrepancy could be due to different inflation rates, e.g. a different mixture of sold services. The ratio of EU to non-EU exports is almost unchanged since around 2010.

It is post-Covid inflation. The graph uses current prices.

It is due to different inflation rates for exported goods. Both EU and non-EU good export volumes were flat after around 2010 till 2020. The graph you posted is using current prices and includes services. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/datasets/tradeingoodsmretsallbopeu2013timeseriesspreadsheet Exports of services (current prices) grew with EU and non-EU https://www.ons.gov.uk/timeseriestool?query=trade services exports eu&topic=%2Feconomy%2Fnationalaccounts%2Fbalanceofpayments&updated=&fromDateDay=&fromDateMonth=&fromDateYear=&toDateDay=&toDateMonth=&toDateYear=&size=10

Are you aware that a single poll has around a +/- 4% statistical error margin, which translate to a +/-8% error margin for lead? Plus Leave was gaining momentum so opinion polls were lagging as it takes a few days to conduct and process polls. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum

So you are claiming now that ONS is wrong. We should use CPIH for international comparison even if it uses a different methodology. Should we compare UK wages in GBP with Japan wages in JPY because they are favoured currencies too? BTW CPIH is quite recent index, CPI was the main inflation index for some time.

It is no about what you believe. UK CPI being equivalent to EU HICP is a fact. Will you admit now what you posted was false? Let me quote ONS again. " the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) is based on a harmonised methodology developed by Eurostat and allows for international comparisons to be drawn." https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/december2022

There is a difference between a genuine mistake and deliberately spreading fake data. Still waiting for you to admit this is false Inflation UK Dec 2022 : 9.2% EU27 Dec 2022 : 10.4% Nobody claimed that the EU protects against high inflation. The point is the UK inflation is higher than other WE countries because of Brexit.

My main point was about you spreading fake data. As for Netherlands you are right I quickly looked up wrong inflation. In comparison you have not even admitted that you were wrong about your initial claim. Now you are trying to pick up months and countries to prove your false point. The truth is UK inflation is higher than in the most of Western Europe. Why are you not comparing with 8.4% Netherlands inflation in December? Why are you not comparing with Ireland, France or even Germany for an example? Why are ignoring the fact that the EU overall inflation is heavy skewed by high inflation in EE due to the war? https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html

I suspect kzb is just copying those fakes from somewhere. There are dedicated and well paid people producing and spreading misinformation.

Definitely not like to like. The ONS link gives you Dec 2022 UK CPI 10.7%, which uses the same methodology as Eurostat. The link below gives you the EU inflation as 10.4%. Both, ONS and Eurostat, are ultimate sources of inflation data. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/december2022 https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/15725179/2-18012023-AP-EN.pdf/e301db8f-984c-27e2-1245-199a89f37bca The fact is the UK inflation is higher than most of the Western European countries and overall in the EU. Even in Netherlands it was never 17% percent (another fake). It is now 7.6% and since Jan 2021 prices have increased slightly less than in the UK. My point is stop posting fake data.

The latest example Inflation UK Dec 2022 : 9.2% EU27 Dec 2022 : 10.4% It is a fake too. UK comparable inflation is 10.5% (CPI), not 9.2% (CPIH). Plus most of EU inflation is from the EE countries, which are most exposed to the war. If you compare Western countries the UK inflation is one of the highest. Ireland, which is probably the closest geographically and economically, has 8% for an example. The sources below. https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/inflation-rate?continent=europe While the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) is our lead and most comprehensive measure of consumer price inflation, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) is based on a harmonised methodology developed by Eurostat and allows for international comparisons to be drawn. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/december2022

In one case you posted a graph were GDP growth data were matching OECD (as far as I remember) apart from the UK, which was higher. Clearly that graph was a fake. Please send a link to the source of the graph and underlying data.

A little harsh but this is how people outside of the UK see it now.