Hi,
Lurker for a while, so excuse the newbiewness of my first post here.
What do you this of this: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36537906
Quote: House pricesImage copyrightOCK
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that Brexit could cause a sharp drop in house prices. This was on the expectation that the cost of mortgages would rise.
The Treasury has said house prices could be hit by between 10% and 18% over the next two years, compared to where they otherwise would have been. This would be good news for first-time buyers, but not so great for existing homeowners.
The National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) believes house prices in London could see the biggest change, losing up to £7,500 on average over the next three years, compared to where they otherwise would have been. Elsewhere, it said values could fall by £2,300. But since it expects prices to continue rising anyway, this means a slower rate of increase, rather than a fall in real values (see table below).
And again, if the Bank of England were forced to cut rates, all these projections would be wrong.
How might the EU exit affect average house prices? Year By leaving EU If UK had remained in EU 2016 £277,600 £278,500 2017 £288,900 £290,800 2018 £300,800 £303,000 London 2016 £533,700 £536,000 2017 £559,300 £564,500 2018 £591,700 £599,200 Source: NAEA/ARLA/CEBR --- So while the increases aren't as fast as they have been, there is no description of a genuine drop (at least in these estimates). Do you think we are going to see a real terms decrease in prices, or just a slowdown? I guess for now it's all conjecture, but going to be an interesting few months.