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Guardian: 13 year housing market boom to end in 2023; 30% of BTL to fail affordability test when remortgaging


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https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/oct/13/uks-13-year-housing-market-boom-to-end-in-2023-surveyors-predict

 

"Increasing rental rates will help landlords when they come to remortgage their properties, but as many as 30% of those with buy-to-let loans are likely to fail their renewal test, according to a report by credit rating agency Moody’s on Wednesday.

In order to refinance, buy-to-let mortgage holders have to meet affordability criteria, based on a minimum interest coverage ratio (ICR), that soaring interest rates makes more difficult to meet.

“A 4% increase in interest rates by the end of 2023 would push 30% of buy-to-let loans below their minimum ICR requirement,” said Carmen Brunetti Llavona, analyst at Moody’s Investor Services."

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