Quiet Guy

Some recent commentary from Spiegel: https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/stalled-at-the-front-lack-of-western-weapons-contributes-to-slow-progress-in-ukraine-counteroffensive-a-6c8cc665-44cb-41f0-89df-ca4ecee9a16e As I understand it, this is basically the opposite of what NATO "Manoeuvrist" doctrine promotes - avoid getting into prolonged attritional fights. Without new ideas, this could just grind on and on ...

Weird and creepy. If he's saying things like this now, expect a meltdown when the realities of the conflict become impossible to ignore ...

Can I support Digger's right to a different opinion without becoming him? We may disagree sometimes but the implied insults don't achieve anything.

In this case, I'd say he geniuinely believes that winding the conflict down by negotiation is the least worst option.

And there's the problem. You're treating science like a religion. https://dailysceptic.org/2023/07/23/cancellations-start-for-john-clauser-after-nobel-physics-laureate-speaks-out-about-corruption-of-climate-science/

Diggers been around this forum for ages. I don't think he'a liar - he just has a different opinion from some here.

Thanks for the correction. You're right - I did not know about the missing bit at the right hand of the graph.

I posted this a bit earlier: https://www.samizdata.net/2023/05/climate-change-story-told-by-ice-cores/ If you use a different scale, the trend may look a bit different.

Really? Where do I sign? Seriously, considering the enormous political power yielded by the climate change movement, it should be no surpise that there's scepticism. Here's a take from the founder of Greenpeace: "Moore left Greenpeace in 1986, 15 years after he co-founded the organization. “The ‘environmental’ movement has become more of a political movement than an environmental movement,” he said. “They are primarily focused on creating narratives, stories, that are designed to instill fear and guilt into the public so the public will send them money.” He said they mainly operate behind closed doors with other political operatives at the U.N., World Economic Forum, and so on, all of which are primarily political in nature." https://fcpp.org/2022/09/16/greenpeace-founder-patrick-moore-says-climate-change-based-on-false-narratives/

Surprise, surprise. Poeple don't like being talked down to. It's not hard to find practical and theoretical problems with the global warming narrative. https://www.samizdata.net/2023/05/climate-change-story-told-by-ice-cores/ https://realclearwire.com/articles/2023/06/29/ieas_net_zero_dream_was_just_debunked_as_a_nightmare_944050.html https://climatechangedispatch.com/97-percent-consensus-climate-myth/ Everybody who questions things must be a crank ... Ironically, global warming zealots have made it almost impossible to have an honest, constructive conversation.

Zeihan comments on the effects of the recent Kerch Strait Bridge attack. At the end, talking about the prospects for an attack in the South: We haven't seen a lot of over movement on the front so far. We certainly haven't seen the Ukrainians achieve breakthrough, but if they can't do it in these circumstances, it's probably not gonna happen. So, watch Ukraine closely ... Are we approaching a crux ?

OK, we'l just have to disagree about that ( I presume you're referring to the mortar video. ) You don't have to be Ukrainian to enthusiastically support a war to damage Russia.

FFS, you were talking about the USA over 70 years ago 🤔 I was talking about today. Today's UK because I'm a UK citizen. Got it?

+1 👍 There's too much simplistic jingoism from some here.

You're using the situation at the begininning of World War II to diagnose today's conflict. https://www.defensenews.com/industry/2023/07/11/bae-systems-wins-order-for-munitions-as-uk-rebuilds-stocks/ Earlier this year, the British Government came in for criticism from the Parliamentary defence committee for allowing Britian’s weapons stocks to dwindle. The committee said in its March report that it would take a decade to rebuild weapon stocks to acceptable levels and urged the MoD to rapidly expand industrial capacity to speed the rebuilding process. Insated of saying "don't need to worry your pretty little head", maybe we could have a think about what sort of military we we want and how much we're willing to pay for it?

Some dickheads playing silly buggers with a mortar is not an argument. That looks staged to me.

Thanks. Interesting point of view.

Great. Bring it on. I'd love to to be wrong about this.

Concerns about the mismatch between Russia and Ukraine's artillery capacity are not new. https://www.vox.com/2023/6/6/23744349/ukraine-artillery-counteroffensive-united-states-europe https://kyivindependent.com/investigation-eu-inability-to-ramp-up-production-behind-acute-ammunition-shortages-in-ukraine/ Like it or not, the Ukrainian artillery is outgunned and that probably won't change soon.

Well, that's noble but leaves me wondering where we're going. There are entities in the West that seem to be determined to keep this conflict going. No idea which I why I asked about criteria for victory.

Thanks for that. Graceful and persuasive 😄

Start by constructing a steaming BS straw man ... So the only criteria for victory you are discussing is your opinion on Russia's state of mind. Endless war.

OK. Just let us know when you want to get serious about about a conflict that has killed/injured hundreds of thousands and displaced millions.

Great! What the criteria for the Ukrainian victory you expect?

Sorry, that doesn't cut it for me. Roughly speaking, Russia has annexed four Oblasts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_annexation_of_Donetsk,_Kherson,_Luhansk_and_Zaporizhzhia_oblasts Hopefully, we all agree that Ukraine still exists? By your logic, all Ukraine needs to do is stop further annexations. But I doubt that's what you meant, otherwise Ukraine could negotiate a ceasefire now and declare victory.