Janet Berlin Posted May 4, 2006 Posted May 4, 2006 I've been reading through all the comments and questions out there on Berlin property. If anyone is seriously interested in purchasing property in Berlin, then feel free to get in touch with a serious company like I work for! Check out the website: www.stadtkonzept-gmbh.de for more details. It is a company thats main business is selling state-owned, tenanted flats to persons looking for long-term investment and 10 year guaranteed rental scheme. They help and support you in everything. What is the difference in property out of communal stock and the free market? The difference is the communal connection. “Free market” building societies and their real estate agents only answer to their company and are not inspected. This means that they can sell real estate without supervision. Thereafter, they have no further obligations. Whether it be renovation costs or problems with tenants – those become the problems of the buyers. The maintenance management, in other words the future safeguard, is then the sole problem of the buyer. The situation with remaining stock of real estate from banks or especially out of communal stock is a whole different story. Here, the name and reputation of the company, in this case the subsidiary of the State of Berlin or the bank, is more important than a quick sale or a rigorous clearance sale. This means that everything is inspected and managed upfront so that the buyer is secured long term. Stadt Konzept who have been given the mandate by the companies are subject to the inspection of these sales. For the buyer this means that he has the highest security that the real estate offered is exactly what it appears to be. This means also that the facts and the figures concerning the costs have been inspected and confirmed. All rental figures are known. All maintenance management figures are known. All renovations have been completed and there shall be no further costs in future. The product, meaning the real estate, is plain and simple and transparent. Purchasing real estate is easy, but the yields can be achieved in Germany through long-term professional management. Which district is the best? That is up to the wishes of the client. If he is looking for cheap flat for his own use for example, then it the East side of town would be a preferred district. But if a client is looking for a long-term renter, then the East side of town would not be the ideal district for him because of high unemployment, and it being a socially deprived area of town. This also includes districts like Mitte, Friedrichshain, Prenzlauer Berg, Neukölln and Kreuzberg. Sure, they have a high prospect, but there is also a higher risk involved. There are no other places where rich and poor are so close to one another as in these districts. You will find totally renovated luxurious buildings next to collapsed ruins. € 2 per sqm rent live next to € 6 per sqm rent. Nobody really knows which street is going to be THE street next. For example the Friedrichstrasse in Mitte: when the offices and stores were planned at the time, nobody expected it to become Berlin’s luxurious mile. The prognosis of rents for offices per sqm at the time were € 30 - € 35; for flats € 15 - € 20. What about today? Offices are going for € 15 - € 20 per sqm and flats are going for ~ € 6 per sqm. Why didn’t it work out like they expected? Too much traffic and traffic jams, too little green areas, no parking spaces. It’s that simple and it’s also that logical. These districts have to grow first before anybody knows what the structures will be like. They were all at the border of the Wall and were also in zones that are only being taken care of since 15 years. Most of the buildings were ramshackles and had to be renovated. So, most of the people moved away from there and new people moved in. This type of movement is still taking place today. People forever moving out – new people moving in. This causes a lot of unease and thus, a lot of insecurity up till today. To have a “quiet” structure, it is necessary to have a district that has gradually grown. You will find that in the North and South of Berlin. Here you will find districts which were not affected by the fall of the Wall. For a buyer who is not willing to speculate and is thinking in terms of long-term secure rents and not quick profits with high risks, then these districts are ideal and can be recommended. So, if any of you are interested please get in touch. It is a company that will not rip you off and will give you the facts and figures as they are. They are only selling tenanted individual flats all over the city. They are not selling whole blocks! The state-owned for sale are in Haselhorst, Tegel and Buckow (where the new airport is being built). These are with guaranteed rental scheme for 10 years. The sale is not tied up to the scheme though. Any other property is free market property. Get in touch with me: website: www.stadtkonzept-gmbh.com email: [email protected] [email protected] Quote
dogbox Posted May 4, 2006 Posted May 4, 2006 A vert informative post thanks. I think your service will appeal to the more cautious UK investor. How is the Berlin property market in general, is it static or beginning to move? Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 4, 2006 Author Posted May 4, 2006 Hi! I'm glad to hear that you consider it informative. That was the whole idea. The market is actually moving up. But it's slow. Give it 3 - 5 years and you will notice a very big change. I have noticed though that most people in the UK or Ireland are more interested in buying a whole apartment building rather than individual apartments. Here in Germany people are very security conscious. It's been put in their heads that "you have to keep your money, save it for later on in life. Don't speculate your hard-earned money". So the product is for the "safe investor". Guaranteed rental scheme for 10 years, etc. etc. All nice and good, but when selling that type of property at first, the yields may seem low at the time. BUT it is safe - nothing can go wrong. The facts and figures we give are the true figures! Facts! Others tend to paint a brighter picture but leave out the facts! Is the property what it APPEARS to be? Hey, it's cheap, I'll buy it! Shoot, nobody told me about the renovation costs after I bought it cheap! Piping, electrical - from way back in the 50's. No improvements were made since. Tenants in the building that have "life-long" contracts from back in the olden days. Strict rental laws. Now I've got property and can't even rent out for the price I want to rent it out. All these factors are important when buying. You need to know what you are getting into. And at least these guys here can sleep at night, because they are not selling just to make a fast buck, but they are thinking of the welfare of the investor. Anyway, thanks for taking the time and reading through it. Hey, should you know of anyone interested in a safe investment in the exciting and bubbling city of Berlin - let me know. What you've been writing up to know is also very informative by the way! A vert informative post thanks. I think your service will appeal to the more cautious UK investor. How is the Berlin property market in general, is it static or beginning to move? Quote
picnic Posted May 6, 2006 Posted May 6, 2006 Hi Janet Do you have more info on the districts that you would buy in? Could you rate them in order of potential please ? Say from 1 to 10. Picnic thankyou. Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 6, 2006 Author Posted May 6, 2006 Hi Picnic Well for example Tegel is a good area in north Berlin. Good infrastructure. Low unemployment. The district is developed and you always have tenants wanting to rent flats there. Also you have the Tegeler See which is a beautiful big lake, so there is a lot of recreation and outdoor life there. Very important for the Germans. When the sun shines and it starts getting warm they are outdoors. Close to home - even better. Haselhort is another good area. Also good infrastructure. Also up north. Then you have Buckow down south to south-east. That is close to the area where finally the green light was given to build the new Berlin-Brandenburg International airport. That means tons of jobs coming up and of course those people wanting to live closer to their job. Those would be good "safe" places to invest. The East part of town is really very difficult to say. High unemployment, loads on social welfare so high fluctuation trying to rent out. You have to be lucky to keep steady tenants there. The East has still not developed yet. I would always chose a place where there is high employment because that keeps steady and regular tenants. I don't want people moving in and out every few months. It really depends on what you are looking for. By the way, practically all of what we have to offer are tenanted. So if you are looking for a second home or spending your holidays in it - can't help you there. Hi Janet Do you have more info on the districts that you would buy in? Could you rate them in order of potential please ? Say from 1 to 10. Picnic thankyou. Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 6, 2006 Author Posted May 6, 2006 I'll be glad to get back to you with more details on Monday if that is alright with you. I'll give you some exact figures then. Janet, your: "Friedrichstrasse in Mitte: flats are going for ~ € 6 per sqm" A few questions that come to mind: 1. Can you give us an example of something that you might recommend to a client? 2. How easy is it to rent? What sort of return (Gross & Net) might one expect? 3. What sort of financing is available for non-German domiciled investors? = = = Also, how would this compare in Germany? Belgium Transaction costs: + 5.3% Estate Agents + 3.5% Lawyers +12.0% Govt. tax ====== :20.8% Total Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 8, 2006 Author Posted May 8, 2006 For those who are interested: I will give you the prices on the communal stock property we have Berlin – Tegeler See in Berlin Tegel Prices: € 1.839/sqm including all purchase incidental costs Rent: € 6 /sqm guaranteed for 10 years sqm: 51sqm – 83 sqm Berlin Haselhorst in Berlin Reinickendorf Prices: € 1.719/sqm including all purchase incidental costs rent: € 5,50/sqm guaranteed for 10 years (new tenancy agreements may already be possible at € 7,40/sqm!) sqm: 50 sqm - 72 sqm Berlin – Buckow Prices: € 1.470/sqm including all purchase incidental costs rent: € 5 /sqm guaranteed for 10 years sqm: 33 sqm – 63 sqm Yield at the beginning for above 3 communal areas approx. 3 %; careful forecast after the 10 year rental guarantee, one can expect between 6 – 7 % yield. Target group: people with medium income or savings who wish to invest their bit of money and are not willing to take a risk. The prices above include the purchase incidental costs of 6 % - notary, land registry, etc. etc. The State of Berlin pays us a commission so that there is no real estate agent commission added on to the above prices. I'll be glad to get back to you with more details on Monday if that is alright with you. I'll give you some exact figures then. Quote
dogbox Posted May 8, 2006 Posted May 8, 2006 I invested in the East, but I carefully chose pleasant pockets. In fact I found a lot of the East to be reasonably pleasant. Kopenik was a lovely old Town within Berlin with lakes, a river and green spaces not too far out yet prices nice and low. Trams and trains in plentiful supply. I viewed property where the owners were middle class scientists in this area which was an important sign for me as this shows potential and local sentiment. I eventually bought in Kaulsdorf / Marlsdorf. Lots of leafy residential areas (not perfection, but nice enough). Oddly I found the houses to be expensive around the area of the soon to be built airport so I didnt invest there. Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 8, 2006 Author Posted May 8, 2006 Ah yes, Köpenick is really one the more beautiful areas in the East! As you can see, in Buckow, which is close to the area where the Berlin-Brandenburg International Airport will be built is not too expensive. This is going to be a hot tenanted area because of all the new jobs that will arise there from the airport! Tegeler See is an area up North right by the Lake. It's very beautiful. Good recreation, outdoor life and jobs! BMW, Siemens, Osram and many others are located in that area. This always ensures good tenancy. I invested in the East, but I carefully chose pleasant pockets. In fact I found a lot of the East to be reasonably pleasant. Kopenik was a lovely old Town within Berlin with lakes, a river and green spaces not too far out yet prices nice and low. Trams and trains in plentiful supply. I viewed property where the owners were middle class scientists in this area which was an important sign for me as this shows potential and local sentiment. I eventually bought in Kaulsdorf / Marlsdorf. Lots of leafy residential areas (not perfection, but nice enough). Oddly I found the houses to be expensive around the area of the soon to be built airport so I didnt invest there. Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 10, 2006 Author Posted May 10, 2006 For you safe and cautious investors out there - we have a good supply of communal stock property. Come to Berlin for a visit and see for yourselves. We'll take you to the locations, give you the facts and figures and show you other locations for comparison. Berlin is THE city right now. You will not regret investing in property here. Give us 3 - 5 years and things will be moving up !! Contact: [email protected] or [email protected] Website: www.stadtkonzept-gmbh.de (all properties are currently being loaded up on the website) P.S. Thanks to all of you who have been in touch with us up to now and for your trust in us. We are happy to help you wherever we can. Quote
soldintime Posted May 13, 2006 Posted May 13, 2006 Having had 4 trips to Berlin trying to secure properties I can say the following about the Berlin market. The town is swamped by institutional investors buying loads of property. Yields have gone down a lot in the last 4 months due to enormous price rises. Areas like neukoln and wedding which have 25 and 30% unemployment have seen yields falling from 10-12% down to 8%. If you invest you want some reward for investing in a "risky area". A lot of agencies sell 7-8% yielding properties but beware a lot of development has to be done by you to rent the properties out reducing the yield to 5-6%. I can assure you, Berlin is over as there has been to much foreign property hype and buying. Dr Bubb was mentioning 6€ per sqm in mitte as rent in the central Berlin. This brings yield down to 4-5%. You are also limitted by law to raise the rent only a certain amount per year. Also there is the mietspiegel (rent table) to which you have to adhere to. You will find that areas like Neukoln or Tiergarten have 5.50 € per sqm but prices are a lot lower. Berlin has still got 20% unemployment and the cheapest kebabs you can find in the world, the cheapest are €1. Combine this with the fatc that 10% of the homes are empty and an overseas "Berlin Hype" and Berlin is getting risky. This is just an overspil of the Global property hype. Janet berlin is trying to sell 3% yielding properties, per sqm they might look cheap compared to the UK but you will fiend you can not increase your rents to bring it to a 7% yield that you need to maintain and manage the property. You would be stuppid to buy any of those. I can not even see how you would yield 7% in 10 years time. To find better yields you need to buy appartment blocks not individual flats. What can change this market are more flexible rents and a huge increase in employment. But beware voters in Germany are renters not owners, so it will not change quickly. Germany is so legislated that the following joke goes around that 50% of the world legislation is written in one language, German. If you go to Leipzig or Dresden you will still find 20% and 14% unemployment. But you can still find yields of 10% or more. This works as rents will not rise for a while due to a lot of vacant flats. As you can see Germany has different dynamics than you would expect in UK and Ireland. You need to aproach your buying decission differently. As far as transaction cost, these are about 11% of which 6% is the estate agent cost, although these can be negotiated. 80% finance is available to foreign non domiciled investors but only through specialised brokers. They will take into account your UK earnings and savings. PM me if you need more info but only when you are serious about investing in Berlin or Germany. Quote
soldintime Posted May 14, 2006 Posted May 14, 2006 Mietspiegel link. Rent table link for Berlin. http://www.stadtentwicklung.berlin.de/wohnen/mietspiegel/ Quote
dogbox Posted May 15, 2006 Posted May 15, 2006 Having had 4 trips to Berlin trying to secure properties I can say the following about the Berlin market. The town is swamped by institutional investors buying loads of property. Yields have gone down a lot in the last 4 months due to enormous price rises. Areas like neukoln and wedding which have 25 and 30% unemployment have seen yields falling from 10-12% down to 8%. If you invest you want some reward for investing in a "risky area". A lot of agencies sell 7-8% yielding properties but beware a lot of development has to be done by you to rent the properties out reducing the yield to 5-6%. I can assure you, Berlin is over as there has been to much foreign property hype and buying. Dr Bubb was mentioning 6€ per sqm in mitte as rent in the central Berlin. This brings yield down to 4-5%. You are also limitted by law to raise the rent only a certain amount per year. Also there is the mietspiegel (rent table) to which you have to adhere to. You will find that areas like Neukoln or Tiergarten have 5.50 € per sqm but prices are a lot lower. Berlin has still got 20% unemployment and the cheapest kebabs you can find in the world, the cheapest are €1. Combine this with the fatc that 10% of the homes are empty and an overseas "Berlin Hype" and Berlin is getting risky. This is just an overspil of the Global property hype. Janet berlin is trying to sell 3% yielding properties, per sqm they might look cheap compared to the UK but you will fiend you can not increase your rents to bring it to a 7% yield that you need to maintain and manage the property. You would be stuppid to buy any of those. I can not even see how you would yield 7% in 10 years time. To find better yields you need to buy appartment blocks not individual flats. What can change this market are more flexible rents and a huge increase in employment. But beware voters in Germany are renters not owners, so it will not change quickly. Germany is so legislated that the following joke goes around that 50% of the world legislation is written in one language, German. If you go to Leipzig or Dresden you will still find 20% and 14% unemployment. But you can still find yields of 10% or more. This works as rents will not rise for a while due to a lot of vacant flats. As you can see Germany has different dynamics than you would expect in UK and Ireland. You need to aproach your buying decission differently. As far as transaction cost, these are about 11% of which 6% is the estate agent cost, although these can be negotiated. 80% finance is available to foreign non domiciled investors but only through specialised brokers. They will take into account your UK earnings and savings. PM me if you need more info but only when you are serious about investing in Berlin or Germany. Sold, I respect your opinions but in my opinion you are ignoring the most important factor for many investors CAPITAL GROWTH. None of us know how the German market will play in the comming years, so in the end in comes down to a simple proposal: 1) Is it RELATIVELY cheap now? = Y 2) Have other depressed markets turned around despite all the evidence pointing to the contrary? = Y (Manchester, Glasgow, Newcastle, Ireland, Wales, the US etc) 3) Could we have predicted these precarious markets full of danger and negative fundamentals were about to boom? = N 4) Can you generate enough rent to cover costs or are the sums involved sufficiently low (I only spent m£60000) that the LOSS of interest on money is acceptable? = Y If the market doesnt expereince healthy capital growth over the next 5 years Ive lost a little in interest, THATS MY DOWNSIDE. But what is my upside? If the market does the unexpected and indeed follows the rest of the Planet I stand to make substantial gains. So the risk / reward calculation is firmly on my side (the potential rewards far outwiegh the potential downside). In Feb 2004 I went to buy a plot of land in Hartswell on the island of Great Exuma Bahamas. I bottled out as it was at the higher end of the price scale $130000. Now those same lots are selling for $750000 on the back of the US boom! No amount of 'evidence' could have predicted this. Gold has no yield but this has not made it a poor investment. Prices in Estonia went up c29% last year so even if the rent only 'washed the face' of the debt, capital growth over 3 - 5 years is THE significant factor. Investing isnt a formulaeic process - that would be too easy and lets fact it fund managers would follow such simplistic process's if it really worked and produce far better outcomes. Transaction costs of 12% do not bother me. If capital growth follows the path of other worldwide real estate markets my purchasing costs will be an irrelevance. Many property markets were predicted to be unworkable. People said the Chinese couldnt handle capitalism. The Germans love buying property abroad, once they reaslise they are sitting on a goldmine at home they will rush into the domestic market. REMEMBER - In the 1970s people predicted UK home ownership would always remain a minority activity. Far more people rented back then. If you are particularly yield focused thats fine, but yield is only ever one part of the story. People buying land where I live in the 1980s and early nineties ended up enjoying huge returns on capital WITHOUT ANY YIELD WHAT SO EVER. Quote
soldintime Posted May 15, 2006 Posted May 15, 2006 Dogbox, He I am not saying not to invest, but I have noticed 30% price rise for Berlin, in just 3-4 months time. This is enormous. The good stuff is already sold before you guys on this forum can even have a look at it. What is left is poor yield a lot combined with a lot of work, you will find that the banks will not finance 80% of it, more like 50%. I have tried hard and seen over 100 properties. I still believe the German market is a good one, but properties sold at 3-4% yield and 1700-1800 euros per SQM as advertised here are just not a good deal. The problem is the rent it is between 4.50 and 6.00 euro per sqm no matter where you are in Berlin. Take london for instance a flat in mayfair would rent for £6 per sqm according to the renttables and restrictions. If you think you can raise it a lot. Beware 4-5% per year is what you can achieve. Do you think you can kick the renters out and sell it, forget about it. They will all stay because the area is good and the rent is ultra cheap supported by lots of rules and regulations. The rental market is not dynamic and does not force people to buy. The capital growth story is a hard one. Take Berlin municapal properties, they have or will sell out to large investment companies. These companies will do anything to lower the vacancy rates thus depressing the rental market. With low rents why would you buy when 89% is still renting. Plus Germany is shrinking and the east is shrinking faster. And what if *** will happen, I think germany with low rents and 8% yield might be what will be the standard in the UK after the crash. With the global economy running at 5% germany just gets back out of recession at 1.8% growth. A lot more reform is needed and this government will not do it. The voters were split and so will this government be. Yes I have bought 3 apartment blocks in Germany, with 10% or more rental yield. I feel OK with this. They are done up properties by owners that all have gone bust, because the rents where not covering the interest. Quote
dogbox Posted May 16, 2006 Posted May 16, 2006 Dogbox, but I have noticed 30% price rise for Berlin, in just 3-4 months time. This is enormous. The capital growth story is a hard one. Take Berlin municapal properties, they have or will sell out to large investment companies. These companies will do anything to lower the vacancy rates thus depressing the rental market. With low rents why would you buy when 89% is still renting. Plus Germany is shrinking and the east is shrinking faster. I agree the capital growth story is very much in the balance. My take on this is that the German capital will suck - in investment and its cultural significance will develop a momentum that will draw people in. The cultural momentum is buiolding now with more and more press focus on Berlin. People constantly say the 'East is shrinking', I disagree, this is reversing now. The 'East' is now the emmerging power house of Europe. Estonia and Poland for example are seeing significant GDP growth and this is spreading to Lithuania, Latvia and just about everywhere else in the East. Berlin is a well placed hub, JUST AS IT WAS PRE - COMMUNISM. I have confidence it will regain its strategic commercial importance and that the post communist pain will come to an end. People said investing in the North of England was folly in the 1990s. They too cited shrinking populations and high unemployment. Foriegn Institutional investors have flocked to Berlin in the last year - this is the beginning. If Im wrong Ill eat my todger again Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 18, 2006 Author Posted May 18, 2006 Very interesting to follow all the comments. We have read through what Soldintime has had to say on the subject and disagree. My boss is writing up her comments to all of this. I will gladly publish it probably tomorrow! I agree the capital growth story is very much in the balance. My take on this is that the German capital will suck - in investment and its cultural significance will develop a momentum that will draw people in. The cultural momentum is buiolding now with more and more press focus on Berlin. People constantly say the 'East is shrinking', I disagree, this is reversing now. The 'East' is now the emmerging power house of Europe. Estonia and Poland for example are seeing significant GDP growth and this is spreading to Lithuania, Latvia and just about everywhere else in the East. Berlin is a well placed hub, JUST AS IT WAS PRE - COMMUNISM. I have confidence it will regain its strategic commercial importance and that the post communist pain will come to an end. People said investing in the North of England was folly in the 1990s. They too cited shrinking populations and high unemployment. Foriegn Institutional investors have flocked to Berlin in the last year - this is the beginning. If Im wrong Ill eat my todger again :angry: Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 19, 2006 Author Posted May 19, 2006 Sorry, it took a bit. My boss is German and I had to translate your comments into German and her comments from German to English. Hello Soldintime The Managing Director of our company would like to pass on a few words to you concerning your comments on the forum: It was very interesting to read that you believe you know quite a bit about Berlin. A lot of things you have said were correct, but sadly you are drawing wrong conclusions! I cannot let what you commented stand as is. Yes, it is correct that Germany has a lot of rules and regulations and almost everything is regulated by law. This does have disadvantages but an investor has many advantages from that also: 1. Private owned property is protected in Germany (with that the private owned property of the Irish and British here in Germany!) substantially through laws which protects the influences over depreciation of value and vandalisation (BGB, StGB…). All doors are open to investors here. The private property and its protection are in first place in Germany. Believe me, I know what I am talking about because my profession is a lawyer. 2. There is a law specifically for private owned property (the “Wohnungseigentumsgesetz”). It is here that the rules and regulations concerning the rights and obligations amongst property owners are stipulated and how and which way property is to be managed. If you, as a private property owner have problems with the other property owners or with the management, then you have a good tool here in Germany to achieve your interests (in court too). 3. When it comes to home property in Germany (selling/purchasing) nothing works without it being notorized. It may be a bureaucratic process, but for that it ensures that none of the parties will handle haphazardly and that none of the parties shall suffer an economic damage. The notary is an impartial official who closely monitors the legitimacy of practices concerning the property. This protects you against any bad surprises. Especially you - who does not live here in Germany and does not know the legalities, who does not speak the language and has little experience with the mentality of our country and especially little experience with the persons (sales agents) who you are buying from who are usually very clever businessmen – should be grateful to have the law, the notaries, official people and the land registry behind you to make sure that you do not experience unjustness!!!! Please do not underestimate the fact that we have different rules here which you cannot possibly be in any place to entirely evaluate yourself. This is already difficult enough for a German to do, let alone a foreigner. In Germany to own property means maximum legal security for the owner irrespective of where he comes from. 4. You are right when you say the the rental laws in Germany mainly protect the tenants and not the landlord. But, just food for thought, the tenant really is the person who needs to be protected. The tenant is in a normal case a private person and doesn’t stand a chance against a profit oriented company who is the landlord. In the past (i.e. the rental law reform in the year 2000) we already saw changes which allowed both contractual parties more independent freedom of structure. So things are definitely moving forward for the landlord. Please pay attention to the fact that: as little as the rents could develop, for reasons of the consistent state subsidies, the less the law for rents here in Berlin could develop “healthy”! The social aspect didn’t stand upfront up until recently without compromises. The “normal” development which includes sufficient consideration for the economic interests of the landlord has only recently started to happen. Please consider this when looking at the “disadvantages” of the German rental laws: If you want to reach a profit in your investment, especially through a long-term rental, without outfall and risks, then it is important to have a tenant who is consistent and lives in your apartment a long time and pays his rent permanently. If the tenant is well protected through the legal system and he is satisfied – satisfied tenants in the end bring in the good yields! Yes, that is correct, you can get good yields if you buy blocks of apartments in comparison to buying an individual apartment. I believe that you don’t have to tell everyone that because it is probably something totally logical. You will always receive a discount from the seller if you buy more in bulk than if you were to buy a single object. Which means you pay i.e. a price of 10 apartments (block) less per apartment than if you were to buy one of them individually. This in itself raises the total yields. Not only in Berlin, but in the whole world! The question is, can everybody afford to buy 10 apartments in one go??? If not, does the small or medium investor then have to do without an investment? Sorry to say, but you have no idea what you are talking about concerning rental raises here in Germany. To make an agreement on Staffelmiete (rent echelon) gives the landlord a wide range of possibilities to construct rental contracts. Your comments on the Mietspiegel (rent table) are also not very exact. One should be very careful with ones indoctrinations. You should do your homework better before making such utterances! We would gladly supply you with information on that if necessary. Yes, you are correct concerning the unemployment in Berlin. BUT, that is only a small factor why the property prices are cheap in Berlin! This means, that if we didn’t have such high unemployment, then you wouldn’t be able to buy property cheap here! If you had studied the media beforehand, then you would know why Berlin at this moment is at its turning point. All other cities in Germany – except Berlin – were able to immediately develop after WW II. Berlin – the divided city of East and West – were subsidised by the government till the fall of the wall in 1989/90. People paid very low rents here in Berlin. The level of rents were extremely lower than anywhere else (the level of an inconsequential small town). Berlin started from scratch as of 1990. Big industries, culture and tourism started to move to Berlin. It was then decided that the subsidies for Berlin would be cancelled. The subsidies ran out everywhere approx. as of the year 2000 so that the landlord now had to see to the rental income himself. The rents began to rise. However, presently we comparably have low rents even so they have started to rise as of 2000 (in Berlin the average rent is € 4,50 - € 5,00 per sqm). So you see, the reason for the low rents and with that the low purchase prices, does not lie in the property being bad or that Berlin has less economic potential. No, rather it has to do with the fact that the development had to start from scratch, at a very low price level, and now has to adjust to the price level of other cities in Germany and to the level of a capital city. You really don’t see a development chance for rents and property prices in Berlin??? Open your eyes and read the papers..!!! Answer one question: why shouldn’t Berlin be able to request the same prices as Hamburg, Munich, London and Dublin? Is the city less interesting, less cultural, less of a location for politics, sport and art??? Quite the opposite!! We are experiencing a definite economic upswing. In Munich, Frankfurt, Cologne and other cities the prices for rents (and with the the property prices) have reached the highest level. There is no more progression level (in Munich a businessman pays 3 times the rent of office space than in Berlin, he has to pay the double amount of a secretary than here). The result: companies and their employees are moving to Berlin more and more because the prices are still so reasonable! And that is Berlin. Result: apartments and office space will become scarcer and scarcer throughout the time. Result: the prices of rent and property prices will rise. Don’t only look at the market isolated but global! You have to look at everything combined together to get a clear picture! (JUST TO LOOK AT THE DÖNER KEBAB ON ITS OWN IS NOT ENOUGH FOR AN INVESTOR!!) Show me any major city in the world that is not expensive! Why is Dublin or London so expensive???? Does Dublin have 4 million tourists a year…??? If Berlin develops to the level of these comparison cities – and this will definitely happen – then the rents and property prices will double in the next 8 – 10 years. Vacancy of apartments in Berlin? This fact is also correct. One must know how to explain the vacancy of apartments. Most of the vacancy of apartments boils down to the fact that the GDR had built vast amounts of Plattenbauten, buildings with precast building slabs, in the 1960’s around Berlin (Marzahn, Hohenschönhausen) which cannot be renovated anymore and are therefore having to kick out the tenants because the buildings are being torn down. If you take out this portion of tenants, then one definitely doesn’t have a bigger vacancy than anywhere else. You are also right when you say that one has to view the yields that individual estate agents offer very carefully. It is a fact that there have never been any realistic yields as high as 12% for individual property purchases (blocks, as already mentioned, are a different story and yields for the purchase of commercial property have to be viewed differently). This nicely portrayed picture is mostly connected with hidden additional costs for the investor: 1) renovation costs, which incurred after the purchase 2) agent fees and the costs for the actual purchase like notary costs, land registry costs, property purchase tax. Good and honest yields always have been around 4 – 5 %. With property which has been extensively renovated in the past and offer long-term secure rental income, the yields have been even less. (security has its price everywhere and that permits the total purchase price of the property to increase). So?? Basically the following applies: The measure of a decision for property is not the beginning yield. The development potential concerning the appreciation value is the most important factor of all. There is – as already mentioned – no reason not to believe that the rents and property prices in Berlin will increase. Why do you think why all of the big investors that you are talking about have been buying here here like crazy? Do you think they are really that stupid doing that without the true belief that they will not gain through appreciation value? Why do you think the experts have bought property with yields of approx. 5,5 %? Because these starting yields only play a role in long investment time periods. So it is not “stupid” to purchase property which is high in material value, has no renovation work to be expected in the coming years, is well managed, offers security for rental income even if the tenant doesn’t pay his rent, in well-chosen and good locations with good infrastructure, industry and a location that has maybe “only 3%” starting yields! Don’t ignore everything that is connected over the ENTIRE investment time period as a whole in terms of the appreciation value in proportion to what all is involved, costs and possible losses. This way in the end everything is relative when it comes to seemingly high yields that you believe you should find! ………….in the end you have to pay !! It is true: because of the strong demand of purchasing by big investors it has caused an economic increase in Berlin recently and the prices are starting to increase. Whoever wants to be a part of this boom, should hurry up ….and my urgent appeal: look for qualified consultants and support services here on location!! Best wishes from Berlin. Managing Director of Stadt Konzept Betreuungsgesellschaft mbH Silke Quote
Janet Berlin Posted May 19, 2006 Author Posted May 19, 2006 Just for your interest to show you that people ARE making money with their property investments!! This was in the papers today: SHOPPING MALL SOLD London - The British property investor Hammerson is pulling out of Germany. "Our main focus will be markets in Great Britain an France", so John Richards, Board of Directors. This is what happens in the property sales. The shopping mall "Märkisches Zentrum" in Berlin was sold to Dubai Investment Group for 88 Million (size 54 700 sqm). The purchase price adds up to 22 times the yearly rental income of the amount of 4 Million Euros. Also the Factory-Outlet-Center B 5 was sold for 21,8 Million to Henderson Global Investors. "Forum Steglitz" is having Hammerson decorate the place. After the decoration work, this property is to be sold. SO, look what money can be made!!! Quote
soldintime Posted May 20, 2006 Posted May 20, 2006 Janet Berlin, Yes I appreciate all your comments. If it was my own money I would not invest into a 3% yielding property. Take management cost and maintenance cost off plus the hassle factor and I am better off putting money on the stock market or a high interest savings account. Mortgage rates at 4.5% will give me a net loss. Plus the fact that the buying cost are 12% it makes no sense to me. When you buy property in Berlin I would use an independent Property Management service (Haus verwaltung) instead of opting for one that comes with the estate agent. They can look at your rent and tell you the likely hood of you increasing it, they can also look at maintenance and bad paying tenants. Expect to pay about €25 per appartment per month. The fact of the matter is that I am purchasing properties from bankrupt people that have bought property on 1995 for 2.7 million euros and is now selling for 1.2 million. A flexible rent system would have prevented some of this pain for this seller. Property sold at very high prices in 1995 based upon the optimism that and heavy investment after the fall of the wall. The hype did not materialise. What I am seeing now is a similar hype but now from cheap money. I have seen yields fall for neukoln and wedding areas from 11% to about 8% now in just a 4 month period. That is an increase of 30-40% in property prices. That is hype. Yes global money is chasing everything that provides yield and this has driven cheap money to Germany and Berlin in particular. Cheap money will stop soon with the global interest rates rising. What we need to see in Germany is some real reform only that will restore the job market and lead to healty property investment. With the grand coalition government I think it is not happening now. Maybe with CDU FDP in later elections. All I know is that rules allow you only to increase rents 20% over a 3 year period. So when you buy a property it is good to see the past rental increases. I have heard professional investors in the UK saying that the good times to invest in Berlin are already over. The best time was a year and a half ago. There are still some good opportunities but they are very hard work. My opinion is to look at Leipzig (20% unemployment and 10-11% yielders readily available) and Dresden (14% unemployment, Florence on the Elbe and 7-8% yielders readily available). Both these cities have stopped shrinking and are growing again. They both have been able to attract lots of investment from companies to setup. Quote
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