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Futuroid

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Posts posted by Futuroid

  1. 49 minutes ago, ccc said:

    "Do you see a tiny number of Nazis running Europe — like they do America?"

    :lol:

    I stopped at that bit. 

    Even with your usual raging Sunday morning hangover you should have got to this bit:

    "Even Italians — maligned as the caricatures of misgovernance — live half a decade longer than Americans."

    I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on the overuse of "the market" vs the state providing the essentials of life (like housing*) being underpinned by the state, leaving capitalism to optimise the less essential stuff, like cars and mobile phones?

    * Remember when housing was affordable, the UK state provided these things call "Council Houses" that people on low incomes could rent. It's a crazy idea, but it might just work. Ironically the time that most Brexiters hark back to - the 70s - was the apex of government backed socialism in the UK.

     

  2. That hero of the Brexit classes, James Dyson, has written a begging letter an editorial piece in The Spectator arguing for the continuation of farm subsidies.

    Probably just a coincidence, but he is one of the largest landowners in the UK and currently in receipt of millions from the EU CAP scheme.

    https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/01/in-defence-of-farming-subsidies/

    James is going to have his cake and eat it. No cheap land for houses (HPC cake).

    Who could have seen that coming :D

  3. 23 minutes ago, ccc said:

    Its been mentioned. The general consensus appears to be that Boris is waffling nonsense again. Shock.

    Do you not think he is "taking one for the team" - i.e. diversionary tactics to try and move attention away from the fact that Macron told May in no uncertain terms that cake can only be had or eaten, but not both... ;)

    Boris does a good confused, slightly drunk uncle routine, but the reality is that he is a hard nosed operator. He doesn't believe in a bridge any more than I do.

  4. 10 minutes ago, kzb said:

    Well actually just now on Radio 4 they were on about re-adjusting inflation figures downwards.  Apparently telecoms and internet have been getting much better value with time and that has not been adequately reflected in the inflation figures.  This also will revise GDP growth up.

    Heh. "Adjusting the inflation figures". :lol:

    It's like Al Capone, I'll bet there are two sets of inflation figures in the Treasury. The real ones in the safe and the "adjusted" set the punters get to see. Wages still lagging them by 1%. Not forgetting they don't include housing! 

  5. The man from the Palais de l’Élysée, he says NON, leave means leave.

    Emmanuel Macron rejects special access for City after Brexit

    https://www.ft.com/content/e9a04db8-fc84-11e7-9b32-d7d59aace167

    Emmanuel Macron has said that if Britain wants special access for its financial services industry to the EU single market after Brexit, it will have to obey all of the bloc’s rules, adding: “Be my guest.”

  6. Can't believe nobody has mentioned Boris' Bridge yet! 

    When I read the headline this morning I thought it would be a metaphorical bridge. But no, he is proposing a physical bridge at the exact same moment we are making cross border trade harder! :D

    Don't the people who voted for leave feel a little bit ashamed and a little bit scared when they see the stuff their leaders come up with? 

  7. 4 hours ago, GrizzlyDave said:

    Isn’t it the case that 70% of the land in the uk is owned by the decendants of the barons and knights who served under William the Conqueror. (Source - Who own’s Britain 2001).

    Nobody can say for certain. Around 20% of the land in the UK is not registered with the Land Registry.

    Land is only registered when it changes hands - there was an effort to register all land around end of the 19th century, but it was overturned / resited.

  8. Just now, jonb2 said:

    What's wrong with thinking?

    Sometimes it leads you to answers that don't reinforce your prejudices.

    Imagine how disconcerting it is for people like Farage and Davies to realise that the thing they spent multiple decades telling everyone would be easy and massively beneficial turns out to not be so easy and not have any genuine massive benefits for about 90% of the population. They are likely suffering from the Carnoustie effect.

  9. 1 hour ago, tomandlu said:

    A lot of those rocks were already present. My only point is that trying to predict the future of a dynamic system is futile. There is no definitive outcome to any of this, and we should stop pretending otherwise. There are enough empirical events here and now without playing with horoscopes.

    There is never any 100% certain and predictable outcome to anything but that does not excuse us from planning for the most likely outcomes.

    Not every airliner reaches it destination and has to wait to land, but they all take off with more fuel than is required for their journey - because the consequences of running out of fuel are rather severe.

    Just because you read the Black Swan about five years after everyone else doesn't mean that the entire world is unplannable! ;)

  10. Carillion are the first major corporate victim of Brexit. Don't worry, there will be others.

    Dec 2016...

    Carillion blames Whitehall upheaval after Brexit vote for orders fall

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/dec/07/carillion-blames-whitehall-upheaval-after-brexit-vote-for-orders-fall-government-eu-referendum

    Only a year later they are on the skids. Over-reliant upon decisions being made by a government then (and now) in stasis that has neither the bandwidth nor the strategy to deliver something of the magnitude and complexity of Brexit.

    As a footnote, you will be relieved to hear that the directors got their £4m bonus just before they issued a profit warning in 2017.

  11. 11 hours ago, debtlessmanc said:

    what the PMs of poland and hungary said about the refugee situation is actually rather sensible - they said that the refugees themselves don’t want to be there and that as soon as they get EU citizenship they would leave for the France the UK or Germany.

    So what? Genuine refugees would be happy wherever they are put.

    The EU is long overdue a proper protocol for dealing with refugees - I would suggest they are randomly allocated to a "host" nation, and given a restricted ID so they are not able to work, claim benefits or live in any EU country other than the one they have been allocated  (making some provision to keep families together).

  12. 6 hours ago, macca13 said:

    France expects U.K. to pay up.. ?

    just threaten to nuke them.. that Will shut them up.. constant bullying all the time.. I’m sick of it.. no more money.. no more refugees.. Merkel invited them, Merkel can deal with them.. no more pandering.. just tell it like it is.. 

    no money for the EU divorce bill.. you just watch it implode when the other countries get asked for contributions.. we hold all the cards, not them..  without billions of £’s they are bankrupt! 

    Thanks - that made me laugh out loud :lol:

    Everytime someone posts or says this kind of stuff out loud, another referendum gets a teeny bit closer.

    Keep up to good work! ;)

  13. 7 minutes ago, IMHAL said:

    Having a quick read of the EFTA - it seems that they are bound by the 4 freedoms - including FoM. Personally I like the Norway option as the best of the bad deals out there. If you think that we can wriggle out of migration then I fear you too are clutching at straws.

    http://uk.businessinsider.com/efta-eea-why-hard-brexiteers-are-now-embracing-the-norway-brexit-model-2017-8

    The biggest sticking point when it comes to the Norway model is what it would mean for immigration to the UK. All EEA members are required to accept the 'four freedoms', including the free movement of people. Again, this would be a tough pill to swallow for Westminster Brexiteers, and would likely trigger a backlash from Leave voters.

    I think it's important to clarify what "immigration" means in these terms. You will never be able to stop people physically coming to the country (a tourist visa will allow a 3 month stay and you can do plenty of cash in hand work in 3 months, or longer if you choose to overstay).

    The most likely compromise from the EU on FoM would be a way of limiting EU nationals access to benefits, particularly "in work" benefits.  The EU offered something like this to Cameron back in 2016: https://fullfact.org/europe/explaining-eu-deal-emergency-brake/

    Because "in work" benefits are an oddity in the EU, it should be easier to position the UK as a special case deserving of special treatment in this area. If you added this to the existing EU rules that the UK has up until now chosen not to enforce (like having to find work within 6 months and having to show you have the financial resources to support yourself and your family when you arrive) and it would provide a meaningful difference to the current situation, but would still allow EU workers in the NHS, etc. 

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