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jfmuk

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Posts posted by jfmuk

  1. One of the previous charts that I have uploaded to this thread highlighted the link between mortgage approvals and the yr-on-yr change in house prices (post no. 620).

    Looking at this chart again I noticed that the rate of decline in yr-on-yr growth for the four periods that we have seen since 2000 (including the one that we're experiencing now) were similar. Plotting these highs and lows in year-on-year growth confirmed this view and suggested that by June 2011 the average price might be 10% lower than that of June 2010.

    Below is the chart from post 620 followed by the comparision of declining growth periods:

    House price change and mortgage approvals 2.JPG

    Historical declines in yr-on-yr house prices.JPG

    post-26284-0-82415100-1294684078_thumb.jpg

    post-26284-0-56172300-1294684092_thumb.jpg

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