Friday, November 5, 2010
Digging a big hole even deeper
What would happen to U.S. debt levels if fiscal policy simply stays on its current course for the next two to three years? Today, the federal debt held by the public totals around $9 trillion, or 62% of GDP, versus $5.8 trillion in 2008. In an August report "The Budget and Economic Outlook: An Update," the Congressional Budget Office provided data that projects deficits over the next several years. Using those numbers, the CBO projects that that deficits will total $3.5 trillion between fiscal 2011 and 2013. That would raise total borrowings by 39% and swell debt to GDP to around 76%., bringing America into the danger zone. America would then face one of two outcomes, both of them reminiscent of what Ireland, Greece and Argentina have suffered in the last several years.