But this time around, the psychological impact may play a bigger role. With the U.S. economy still reeling in the aftermath of the worst recession since the 1930s, investors have more reason to show caution in the near term. "You'll probably see more of a sideways pattern in the stock market over the next few years, but it's a little muddy as to how the higher taxes might factor in," said Linda Duessel, equity market strategist at Federated Investors.

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