Sunday, September 27, 2009

Share prices up up and away?

Danielle Park on Overbought, Overvalued Markets

Apologies to b/wether who posted this link in response to a comment of mine in an earlier thread. One more blip up or a major rise in store? As i said in the earlier thread i like the quote .. "i have a hard time predicting insanity".

Posted by techieman @ 09:53 AM (824 views)
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7 thoughts on “Share prices up up and away?

  • thanks for posting this Techie. I asked on the earlier post why does the us media provide more in depth comment on what’s going on, maybe the answer lies in the number of reads and comments this decent piece of common sense got. Can it be that even on this site people prefer the comic strip, the pantomime, winding ourselves up pointlessly about old Gordon or Housing VI’s.

    Agreed the risk is almost 100% to downside and not sure why people would sit in this market when they saw last year and the begining of this how visciously things can go down. Noticed the other day that Bob Janjau of RBS has issued another S+P 550 call, actually suggesting that we might get there within the next few months! This seems really unlikely to me , although Janjau’s has decent credentials, and warned clients out the market in 2008 before things started to plunge.

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  • @bellwether

    I know I bleat on about Brown a lot, but I don’t think it’s pointless to point out his failings. Let’s not forget that he and his party presided over the making of this whole house price bubble and that he sold himself to us as the Iron Chancellor with his Golden Rule and Fiscal Responsibility – all of which have proved to be wrong.

    I wholly agree that the UK media reporting is generally more lightweight than in the US – thank goodness for the internet.

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  • Don’t get me wrong I think GB has done a terrible job at almost every level, and allowing house prices to run up unchecked was utterly negligent. He still maintains that he could not have envisaged the banks collapsing when there were signs of it everywhere. He is a fool. Sadly I’m just not sure if different leadership would have offered much better

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  • It should only take ten seconds to say this is a boom fueled by government money. Shareholders will take the tax-payers money and things will be alot worse before the real recovery. It is a pay-off at the tax-payers expense. The tax-payer wins because the world economy will not be broken for ten years, only 4/5 years.

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  • Probably not. I feel sorry for my kids that they are going to have to wait a few more years until they are able to afford a reasonably priced house. Better get saving for that extension…

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  • B/wether – i think the issue here is that the pensions in the US are invested actively and the old septics love a stat! They care because direct involvement in the stock market is more prevalent and also because they have lots of shares in their 401ks. They have CNBC, Bloomberg and what do we have ? Working lunch and Dermot in the morning.

    Oh yea then theres GMTV – the closest these people get to investment analysis is Martin Lewis saving you £20 by using Tesco clubcard loopholes! Good bless ‘im. Must go MOTD 2 is about to grace our screens. And as for TA – that lives in the quackery world dunnit!

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  • share price increase is a maybe a liquidity bubble. divi yields of 14-15 x share value look ok when there’s nothing going for cash

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