Thursday, June 14, 2007

Secular cycles are recognised

Fears mount on regression to Seventies inflation woe

Good graph showing the k-summer and k-autumn in the western economies

The UK and US et al are entering a k-winter China and India et al are entering a k-summer.

Both are tough times. This will be very tough for us as the China effect will not allow our rates to go down soon enough to prevent a depression. The USD and GBP are totally doomed. Germany may make the EUR crash les painful. Really depressing stuff.

Posted by sold 2 rent 1 @ 06:16 PM (452 views)
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7 thoughts on “Secular cycles are recognised

  • fahrenheit451 says:

    Excelent graph, only question is where will it be tomorrow?
    Is it realistic to expect rising interest rates to stop at 6%, or will they go on to 10%?

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  • I can see rates having to cross the 7% mark before there is any significant impact unless other as yet unknown world events intervene, I suspect (have a gut feeling) that the next two weeks may be a significant time with regard to economic events.

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  • Alternatively enuii, the next two weeks could be the most boring weeks of anybody’s life. You never know. Maybe we should use the phrase “it will all be over by Christmas”.

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  • tony marshall says:

    An excellent article. Should be compulsory reading for the MPC members, if they can get their heads out of their rear ends…

    Just watching Question Time and Harriet Harmon has just said the they have proved that Labour can be trusted with the economy – I do look forward to this ‘received wisdom’ being blown out of the water.

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  • Tony, I totally agree, but you must admit that the ultimately depressing thing is, that the Tories are likely to be just as bad with the economy, and forget the Liberal Democrats.

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  • “Loose monetary conditions and blistering economic growth inevitably translated into soaring prices”

    Loose money will translate into soaring prices.
    Blistering economic growth inevitably leads to LOWER prices.

    I have little faith in people when they can’t even get the basic right.

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  • Tony

    I think you are right too.

    Any clues on how to protect my savings and ISAs from grosse inflation?

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