Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, Oct 17 2018 Add a News Blog Article

Taxes on buy-to-let landlords have not pushed up rents, study says

Guardian: Vindication on rents not being driven by costs

"Warnings by landlords that taxes on buy-to-let would cripple the property market, driving down supply and pushing up rents, have turned out to be entirely hollow, according to research by campaign group Generation Rent." So satisfying to be proved right. Although of course the long threatened rent rises are always around the corner though! Hopefully this evidence will be noticed by TBTP and recurring taxes on property (second best to land only) can be considered as first choice for rasing much needed revenue

Posted by mombers @ 08:38 AM 0 Comments

Back to the Dickensian era.

The Guardian: Shoebox Britain: how shrinking homes are affecting our health and happiness

The slicing and dicing of housing is redefining the idea of home. Those forced to live in ever smaller spaces describe how this changes their lives

Posted by novice pete @ 11:38 PM 2 Comments

Hopefully this might improve standards

Daily Mail: A stealth tax on landlords?

I think this shows who the Mail thinks their readership is. It only affects 87011 properties. Hopefully it will lead to more council inspections and increased standards.

Posted by tenyearstogetmymoneyback @ 08:16 AM 2 Comments

Carney throws housing market to the wolves

Torygraph: Mark Carney accused of spreading 'gloom' with no-deal Brexit prediction of 35pc house price crash

Carney would prefer to throw the housing market to the wolves instead of raising interest rates. Clearly, if the central bank itself, which has effectively set housing prices and the cost of credit, starts talking about a dramatic crash then nobody will pay. Nobody will take out a mortgage, and Carney will achieved through fear what he refuses to do from market pricing.

Posted by stillthinking @ 03:09 AM 13 Comments

1980s style Shared equity all over again ?

Daily Mail: Help to Buy has left us trapped

A couple of weeks ago a colleague was discussing Help to Buy with me and I commented that it sounds to be no different from the Shared Equity schemes builders offered in the late 1980s, which ended up badly when prices stopped going up year after year.

Posted by tenyearstogetmymoneyback @ 09:02 PM 3 Comments

Rents down 0.3% over the year in London, outlook is further falls

Office of National Statistics: Index of Private Housing Rental Prices, Great Britain: July 2018

Not sure what the Enfield statistic is though :-) Interestingly, the most highly leveraged landlords - those in London - are clearly not doing a good job at passing on their tax costs to tenants. The business model of a lot of London landlords is making no money or a loss on rent, but hitting the jackpot with a big capital gain. Let's see how this pans out if prices keep falling

Posted by mombers @ 11:41 AM 0 Comments

It was worth something, now it has become worthless

Torygraph: Time may be up for the penny coin, says Bank of England

You can tell the worthless coins because they are the ones that stay on the floor. 2p, 5p. 10p (depending), 20ps still get picked up by adults. I suppose kids pick them all up. The BoE, clearly an insightful body, must have decided that the populace actually walking around on discarded coins of the realm might be a bit dispiriting to savers.

Posted by stillthinking @ 09:58 PM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average house price Monthly change (%) Annual change (%) Archive / Graph Peak average house price Change since peak (%) Official releases
LSL Property Services & Acadametrics (England and Wales) Jun 18 £303,960 0.20 2.10 Cross£305,654
(May 18)
0.5516/07/2018 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Jun 18 £225,654 0.30 1.80 Tick£227,871
(Mar 18)
0.9706/07/2018 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Jul 18 £310,577 0.10 1.30 Cross N/A N/A 12/07/2018 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey May 18 £217,400 0.00 4.30 Cross N/A N/A 29/06/2018
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £226,906 1.20 3.90 TickThis monthN/A13/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Jun 18 £215,444 0.50 2.00 TickThis monthN/A01/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £309,191 0.10 1.40 Tick£317,281
(May 17)
2.5516/07/2018 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £484,584 2.40 N/A 1.00 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
8.6413/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q2 18 £468,845 N/A 2.30 1.90 Cross£478,782
(Q1 17)
2.0801/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £628,458 0.50 N/A 1.70 Tick£649,864
(May 17)
3.2916/07/2018 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive