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Usa : S&p Caseshiller Homepriceidx 180.6 (was 184.9)

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Guest grumpy-old-man

all data sets down. :D

looking at the 1990's data, the turn seemed to be about 1 year in front of the UK, the UK was 1991 for the start of the drops iirc?

so.....

the turn this time in the US seems to be Sept 2006, therefore that would suggest that the UK's hpi stats have got a bit 'laggy' & will be revised then imo. ;)

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ok. so that's the YOY. Anyone know total fall from peak to date?

if you click the links on the various case schiller threads you'll see a very scary graph showing a slump from +21% in 2005-2006 to nearly -12% now, quite a swing and if you superimpose it over the previous 80's-90's graph it dwarves the previous crash. On their notes C.S. appear to suggest there is a lot further to fall

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ok. so that's the YOY. Anyone know total fall from peak to date?

The largest percentage falls from peak to Jan 2008 are

Phoenix 26%

San Diego 27%

Miami 25%

Las Vegas 26%

Whilst at the low end is Portland at 4%. There is a wide variation in the falls depending on area.

I was trying to calculate what happened in the ten years up to Jan 2000. Some areas showed an increase of 50% whilst Los Angeles showed zero %.

Note these are my calcs ( based on S&P's data) which I hope I have got right.

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  • 295 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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