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Nicholas Cage

Dropping A Dead Cat Down The Stairs

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I have been watching the FTSE.

So far the quarter is down -13.40% with reweighting even the generous dividends from the major makeup are not covering the loss in tracking the 100, so pensions, trackers, other institutions who follow it are down. This is a real loss as it counts rebalancing the 100 top companies.


Even in the last crash in housing and the UK 1990's recession, or the American Depression we saw peaks rising during the fall, or a staircase down to the bottom. I can't find historical data that hasn't been rebalanced (as is the norm today & it makes sense to do so) so graphing it is difficult. But are we seeing, past the massive falls and rises a gradual decline in net worth?.

Each fall seems to grow and the rise leaves a 1% or so gap from previous closing, so will this follow in housing, a fall and then a rise to cover the gap without making the difference up.

Edit: Usually a dead cat bounce means the bottom has been found, but in this case it keeps falling.

Edited by maxwell

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