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Barbara Goldsmith


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HOLA441

Does anyone remember this, this, this?

Yes, it’s been over two years since Barbara Goldsmith was allowed free advertising space on the BBC at the expense of the licence payer.

Anyway, I seem to remember the delightful Ms Goldsmith telling the very young couple from Yorkshire that a 2 bed terrace house (costing £92,500) they were looking at would "more than double in value over a short period of time."

It was, of course, very clever Ms Goldsmith to avoid putting a specific timescale on her prediction. However, lets for arguments sake say 2 years could, possibly, at a rough guess constitute a “very short period of time”.

So, maybe it’s time to see if 2 bed terraces in that area have ‘more than doubled in value’. The house they bought was a 2 bed terrace in Eccleshill, near Bradford.

Here’s what I’ve found...

Example 1

Example 2

Hmmm...

I'm very tempted to send this to the Beeb, but the rather ambiguous 'very short period of time' will almost certainly be the get out clause they use.

What do you lot think?

LG

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HOLA445

OK so let me get this straight.

the place was on offer at 92k in 2005(at the height of irrational exuberance)

the place would have probably sold for more,given the amount of gazumping.

lets call it £100k realistic price in 2005.

fast forward 2 years to april '07.

on offer at £103,995........NOW IN A SELLERS MARKET.....avg sale now 93% of asking price.

Realistic sale price of £95k.

....by my reckoning that's a 5k loss,net of inflation.......so £5.5k down in 2 years.

Nice one Babs.

p.s keep an eye on this little baby on nethouseprices and see how much it REALLY fetches!!!!

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Looking at nethouse prices the ceiling price is just under £100,000. Bearing in mind, alot of the houses for sale in that area (on rightmove) are 3 bedrooms.

I just hope the two youngsters who bought in this area can afford the mortgage and don't plan to have kids anytime soon.

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HOLA4410
"I would emphasise that they should not over-borrow, making sure they can make their repayments even if interest rates go up by 1%"

Hope they budgeted for more than that in 2005 :ph34r:

You mean like 7% SVR or possibly 6% fixes... 2005 would have been typical 2 year fixes at 4.6% to 5.2% would it not. IMHO the normal wisdom of current rate +/-1% really isn't appropriate to periods of very low rates (or high rates).

Trust The Snake :

The Snake

That's just blatant bear porn :P

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the place was on offer at 92k in 2005(at the height of irrational exuberance)

the place would have probably sold for more,given the amount of gazumping.

lets call it £100k realistic price in 2005.

fast forward 2 years to april '07.

on offer at £103,995........NOW IN A SELLERS MARKET.....avg sale now 93% of asking price.

Realistic sale price of £95k.

....by my reckoning that's a 5k loss,net of inflation.......so £5.5k down in 2 years.

Oracle, you forgot to factor in the following:

- mortgage arrangement fee £500

- survey/legal costs £1500

- estate agent fee (for selling) £3000 (approx 3%)

So that's a 10k loss before inflation, and not including any money they spent on the property, garden or furniture. :unsure:

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Oracle, you forgot to factor in the following:

- mortgage arrangement fee £500

- survey/legal costs £1500

- estate agent fee (for selling) £3000 (approx 3%)

So that's a 10k loss before inflation, and not including any money they spent on the property, garden or furniture. :unsure:

10K, dear god!

Is there anyone here good at putting together reports? Maybe it is worth sending to the real story production team.

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