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Does The Past Affect The Future?

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Because we are all aware of the prices of houses in the past & how they fluctuate, and we have a plethora of data that has never been available before to the average person... are we entering some new era of common knowledge of history that will affect prices in the future? I see a great number of people on this forum gagging for prices to drop so they can grab a heap of cheap properties & rent them out for future gains.

When I see that my limited intellect says that a shift of thinking may well happen... The masses usually lose out big time, so what will the future hold for property? If everyone wants to be a BTL landlord, what will be created in the market to ensure the bandwagon boys miss the boat?

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Because we are all aware of the prices of houses in the past & how they fluctuate, and we have a plethora of data that has never been available before to the average person... are we entering some new era of common knowledge of history that will affect prices in the future?

So your thesis is that if everyone is aware of cycles, there will no longer be any cycles?

If everyone wants to be a BTL landlord, what will be created in the market to ensure the bandwagon boys miss the boat?

Your BTL example assumes people can buy before the bottom in prices is reached, so smoothing the cycle - but many will find that they can't afford to buy then as there is less credit around and they are less prepared to take the risk (prices are falling, after all!).

JY

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  • 301 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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