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House Price Crash Forum

F T S E Already Sharply Down Thursday


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HOLA441
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HOLA442

I would go along with that given the fundamentals.

FFS

Off you go then - load up on builders :lol: And when you've put your marker down post it on here so we can all keep track of your investment :)

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HOLA443

FFS

Off you go then - load up on builders :lol: And when you've put your marker down post it on here so we can all keep track of your investment :)

Load up on builders? No chance. First ones to lose in a slow or decreasing property market. FTSE is trading with a PE of 13.6 at the moment. Historically that's quite reasonable and yields are also good.

Its basic economics, buy low and sell high. Housing market fundamentals are very high, stock market's are reasonable. Where is the problem?

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HOLA444

--most saw this coming and got out a week ago <_<

Okay then, who has been selling to produce the falls?

Look at the facts. Bets the market will fall / vs bets it will rise only went parabolic yesterday (see attachment here Sledgehead's FTSE Open Interest Indicator )

Edited by Sledgehead
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HOLA445

FTSE now VERY oversold. Support at 5650 kicked in.

I still say 6500 by year end.

FTSE breadth

Could it be that central banks need to raise interest rates to stabilise the markets?

Sounds counter-intuitive, but if the markets are falling because of the 'fear of rate hikes' once rates actually go up then there's nothing left to fear. Or is that just stupid?

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HOLA446

Could it be that central banks need to raise interest rates to stabilise the markets?

Sounds counter-intuitive, but if the markets are falling because of the 'fear of rate hikes' once rates actually go up then there's nothing left to fear. Or is that just stupid?

For that comment to be truly stupid, you have to be the stupidest person out there.

Take a look at what has happened over tha past few days, at least as it has been reported:

1 . Emerging markets fall on falling $

2 . Americans repatriate funds from emerging markets cos they are falling.

3 . Dollar is supported by 2.

You don't need a doctorate in predicate logic to work out market moves are seldom grounded in intelligence and reason.

In otherwords, seeing as you have been able to formulate an argument for rising rates and rising markets, no matter its intrinsic value, many others will also be able to think that way. All they need is an excuse. ie a bounce. Reasons always follow market moves, not the other way.

Edited by Sledgehead
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HOLA447

Dont worry - theres a stock market rally going on according to Al-BBC

Rally starts for European stocks

European markets saw the biggest drop since 2002

European markets have rallied after big falls in the US and Europe on Wednesday and subsequent falls in Asia.

Its now up a whole 12 points!!

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HOLA448

Some of the stocks I was invested in have take an absolute hammering. Debt Management:

DFD

Last Trade: 379.50 p

Peak: 475p

Down 7.44% today

DEBT

Last Trade: 275.00p

Peak: 385p

Down 8.46% Today

ACG

Last Trade: 257p

Peak: 317p

Down 5.86% Today

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HOLA449

Stock market crashes tend to be good for house prices, as people move money out of these assets, and also central banks tend to cut interest rates.

What a shame we did it the other way around this time, then.

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HOLA4410
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HOLA4411
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HOLA4412
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HOLA4413

Seems to have gone negative again. Hopefully the yanks are feeling bearish and do some heavy selling today.

Torn on what I'm wishing for over the past few days ..

If the markets continue to go down on the prospect interest rate rises then this may/will influence whether those rises happen. Then again lots of greedy types getting burnt on big falls has its appeal. Its a tough call

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HOLA4414
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HOLA4415

Torn on what I'm wishing for over the past few days ..

If the markets continue to go down on the prospect interest rate rises then this may/will influence whether those rises happen. Then again lots of greedy types getting burnt on big falls has its appeal. Its a tough call

IMO if the Fed now 'pause' with IR rises [for fear of the stock markets] the markets will loose all faith in the Fed and sink the dollar, which will send the stock markets into free-fall

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