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Hpc Triggers

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following some interesting recent threads:

why was it different last time

inflationary recession

It seems to me we're in a low inflation, low interest rates situation and what will trigger nominal falls is a scenario where the cost of servicing debt rises faster than wage inflation. So this means we need.

low wage inflation - could more immigration and outsourcing be the answer?

higher cost of living - could the pound devalue thereby making imported consumer goods more expensive?

interest rates at 7-8% - what could bring interests rates to this level?

unless we get the above factors - I can only see stagnation with slow falls in real terms. Can anyone contribute to what may fulfill the above factors?

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  • 301 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?

      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%

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