Jump to content
House Price Crash Forum

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Lou G

Bird Flu

Recommended Posts

Hello everybody,

Found this website - www.avianflutalk.com

Don't know about you but I'm starting to get a bit worried about this!, looks like high house prices might be the least of our problems!!

Lou

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hello everybody,

Found this website - www.avianflutalk.com

Don't know about you but I'm starting to get a bit worried about this!, looks like high house prices might be the least of our problems!!

Lou

"Always look on the bright side of life".

Global Warming

Meteor Strike

Super Volcano

Bird Flu

Aids

Mid East Politics

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Anticipation of its awesome potential to bring a depression is building:

http://www.sci-tech-today.com/story.xhtml?...id=11200002TDI8

March 20, 2006 3:26PM

According to the World Health Organization, the virus has infected 177 people and killed 98. Nearly all of these cases were caused by direct contact with infected birds, the WHO said. There have been only a few cases of human-to-human infection with the virus.
However, scientists fear that the virus might mutate into a form that would spread easily among humans
.

BF is the wild card in all of our forecasts and hopes for the future. :o

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

"Always look on the bright side of life".

Global Warming

Meteor Strike

Super Volcano

Bird Flu

Aids

Mid East Politics

I'm not too worried yet, off to china in june, just hoping that it doesn't mutate into human to human form. :blink:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I’ll add to the list of irrelevant things to worry about

Global Warming

Meteor Strike

Super Volcano

Bird Flu

Aids

Mid East Politics

House Price Crash

Bird flu happened 100 years ago – yes some people died but it’s all forgotten about now + we have better medicine nowadays

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not only will Bird Flu cause death and destruction on a massive scale, but it will also give Gordon Brown the ultimate excuse for the economic catastrophy that will follow. Lets hope they find a cure.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bird flu happened 100 years ago – yes some people died but it’s all forgotten about now + we have better medicine nowadays

We have better systems to transport each other around the world and probably spread it a lot quicker.

We don't have a particularly flexible healthcare system in the UK. If 1 million people extra need healthcare & hospitalisation the nhs will fall over.

There's no antidote for it. They can hope to find a vaccine but as its in two distinct forms now that'll make it more tricky.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

They cannot really begin work on a vaccine until it mutates to a more pathogenic format.

Once the H5N1 virus mutates (which statistically is a function of time above all else) the race will begin to develop and test a vaccine. All the pharma-giants will have no problem working together and resources will be pooled globally.

When the Pharma industry is happy they have an effective vaccine, they will then, and only then, begin mass production of the vaccine. They will have to produce enough units to vaccinate everyone in the world considered to be at risk or with potential to be at risk.

Surely everyone can appreciate the size of this process, and the fact it will likely take months to develop a vaccine all the time whilst the virus is spreading. Global transport will be shut down and economies will grind to a halt. It would simply be too risky to allow people to travel freely especially when the incubation period is currently 2 to 17 days.

Once the Pharma industry has it's vaccine mass productions lines then need to be assembled and reconfigured to produce as many units (all at a very a high quality) as is possible.

Once the production capacity is in place units will start rolling off, going to key workers ie doctors and nurses and if they are at risk those on the production lines first.

Depending on the characterisitcs of the new strain (which are unpredictable) this race/fight will be small, medium, large or vast.

Small being it shuts down a country (eg South East Asia) for six months.

The problem with avian flu is its carried by birds. Birds are hard to contain, trap and track.

They cross borders with impunity can migrate over continents, seas, oceans, mountains, deserts and forrests. They travel in flocks.

The virus has no natural boundries.

If a strain evolves that can be carried by birds and humans alike which is likely in the event of a mutation, the virus is almost uncontainable in its very nature.

The fear of pandemic is born in the lag between the virus emerging and starting vaccine production.

All the time the virus would be spreading, the more hosts carry the virus the greater the risk of further mutations.

Further mutations may render the initial vaccine useless, splitting the production/development capacity.

It’s man v’s nature at the highest stakes. It all depends on the characteristics of the initial mutation. Economics are not important during pandemic years.

Many pharmaceuticals have promised to do this at a zero profit margin. Surely an indication of how worried they are.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Many pharmaceuticals have promised to do this at a zero profit margin. Surely an indication of how worried they are.

LOL !!

If everbody died ..... they would have nobody to sell all their other drugs too !!

It's more like they want to keep their customer base intact !! :D

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • 301 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.