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George Mainwaring

Transaction Volumes

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Land Registry data.

Its a couple of months out of date, but available via free online search companies.

You can do a search for a postcode (date limited) and use multiple searches to get the data you want.

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Do any of you that are good at wombling data know where historical and current data on transactions can be found?

http://www.odpm.gov.uk/index.asp?id=1156110

Table 532 - Number of transactions, England and Wales, from 1959 (Yearly).

Table 533 - Number of transactions, England and Wales, from 1977 (quarterly).

For Monthly data see BBA press releases at bba.org.uk

Japhy

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Guest Riser

Here is the chart showing transactions during the last crash, see how transactions dropped before prices:

93housecrash.gif Transactions lead prices during the last crash

post-1619-1141732172.gif

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Strangely enough I was on there last night, looking at seasonally unadjusted data for the last 6 years.

The data shows that the first few months of the year are normally the quietest in terms of transactions.

End of summer/autumn tends to be busiest.

The thing to look at is the volume for each year. It shows that 2005 was low! B)

Though the peak was not too far off 2004.

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anyone know why the OPDM data doesnt match the provisor data (that comes from the Land registry). The OPDM data appears more bullish, there are ALOT more transactions.

the provisor data shows reduced transactions until q4 05 when we saw a massive bounce in transaction quantity! the OPDM transactions shows increasing transactions till 2004, there quartly results go to q3 05 and show increasing transaction quantities

The last three graphs that show and compare the datasets.

EDITED : : : : : First Graph

The OPDM qtrly moving average is interesting, it shows a strong 2004 with large numbers of transactions, followed by a decline in 2005, recovery seems to start in q3 2005. From the OPDM graph you can see the short term cycles at work gaining in amplitude, q1 2006 should be another peak in the short term cycle.

I also find it interesting, transaction quantities are ALOT lower than in the 80s, its as if people have stopped buying property.

Edited by moosetea

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  • 302 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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