Jump to content
House Price Crash Forum
Sign in to follow this  
HPC Pollster

The Prime Minister stated that there were three Brexit options available to the UK:

The Prime Minister stated that there were three Brexit options available to the UK:  

212 members have voted

  1. 1. Which of the Prime Minister's options would you choose?

    • Leave with the negotiated deal
      19
    • Remain
      69
    • Leave with no deal
      124


Recommended Posts

Quote

" in the SAME THREAD that has a link to the different amount of monies paid in by each member of the EU?

Nothing like the same thing. There are HUGE transfers of govt money between regions in any country. As pointed out earlier payments too/from the EU, especially net, are a relatively small proportion of GDP. If the EU had a proper central government (as it should) with powers to tax and spend that would be different.

 

Quote

What do you think returns on gilts/bonds would need to be if we walk away from the EU without making the payments we had agreed?

Without a deal we have not agreed that huge payment. There is zero risk in any plausible scenario of the UK defaulting on sterling bonds so there is no reason anything would affect rates.
 

Quote

Because it was planned remainers unwilling to contemplate a real Brexit.

So why has May got a nominal Brexit deal? Because its what she wanted - Brexit that was as close to Remain as possible.

 

Quote

What is this, "it will be worse for Ireland"? So what? The Eire GDP growth is stellar compared to the UK's, they are in a FAR better position to weather Brexit even before you factor in possible EU grants! 

Eire's GDP growth needs to be taken with a pinch of salt because a huge chunk is foreign companies funnelling money through Ireland for tax purposes. Then there is bounce back after the crash.

Has the EU promised any grants? I do not think it even has a mechanism for grants on that scale except Greece style rescue packages which are painful because they demand extreme austerity as penance.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@AThirdWay if you are going to quite the LSE Brexit blgo as a source about economic consequences, rather than linking to an article written by two trainee German lawyers you could read some of those written by actual eonomists:

http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2016/06/10/the-eu-locked-in-neoliberalism-and-locked-out-its-people-brexit-is-the-alternative/

http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2018/11/29/a-no-deal-brexit-would-be-a-liberation-not-a-crisis/

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I fear Brexiters will be letting another opportunity go to waste due to simply failing to read the situation.. The 2017 elections were the first mistake .. Brexiters thought Brexit was in the bag and because Labour was also campaigning on the Brexit platform, did not give the Prime Minister the backing that she would need to negotiate from a position of strength.

Brexiter mistake no 1  -  You arent out till you are out .. Brexiters should have given the PM a thumping majority (but they didnt)

There is no Brexit deal that does not involve compromise or that will appeal to all. Here we are with the electorate failing to grasp politics at play .. 

Once we are out, things can change further ... if Brexiters miss this opportunity and do not back the PM once again, there is no better deal waiting round the corner.. The only possible deal will be a no-deal .. while some brexiters may want this, there wont be a majority who support it

Slowly slowly catchy monkey.. support the PM, make sure we are out and then change things further ..

If the PMs deal isnt backed, the only practical option would be the continuation of the status quo and never ending 'negotiations'

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • The Prime Minister stated that there were three Brexit options available to the UK:   212 members have voted

    1. 1. Which of the Prime Minister's options would you choose?


      • Leave with the negotiated deal
      • Remain
      • Leave with no deal

    Please sign in or register to vote in this poll. View topic


×

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.