crazypabs Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Comedy cold. They are arguing over how much the market is going to crash, not if it will crash... https://www.propertytribes.com/todays-london-market-bargains-to-be-had-t-127637176.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user not found Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, crazypabs said: Comedy cold. They are arguing over how much the market is going to crash, not if it will crash... https://www.propertytribes.com/todays-london-market-bargains-to-be-had-t-127637176.html ??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wayward Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Seems they see this as a buying opportunity...outbid potential OO's and exploit them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurlerontheditch Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 I like this post : Quote Estate agents have feelings too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iamnumerate Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Vanessa still believes in London BTL https://www.propertytribes.com/why-i-still-believe-in-btl-in-london-t-127635386.html I think if you follow her advice you will lose a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 1 hour ago, iamnumerate said: Vanessa still believes in London BTL https://www.propertytribes.com/why-i-still-believe-in-btl-in-london-t-127635386.html I think if you follow her advice you will lose a lot. https://www.propertytribes.com/property-market-predictions-for-2019-t-127637201.html she seems to a have tunneled view of life. i like the linking from a hpc member. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 i do like this chap dislexic_landlord to douglas lambourne 3 hours ago Your spot on rent control will have huge effect and it will kill the BTL market PRA lending is also going to put a nail in the coffin and the closer a BTL investor is to London the biggest pain will follow when the tide goes out let’s see who is bathing with no clothes on this crash will make 2007 look like a none event the worry is how will they stop it reduce interest rates don’t be daft they can’t there rock bottom now ???? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyguy Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, longgone said: this crash will make 2007 look like a none event Been hearing this for 10 years So one agent says it will drop by 20% - for more do not Prime London has certainly fallen - most areas have dropped slightly Savills say that London will go up 4.5% over the next 5 years with bigger rises in the Midlands and North, but this one agents view is taken as a portent that the London market will drop 40% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, happyguy said: Been hearing this for 10 years So one agent says it will drop by 20% - for more do not Prime London has certainly fallen - most areas have dropped slightly Savills say that London will go up 4.5% over the next 5 years with bigger rises in the Midlands and North, but this one agents view is taken as a portent that the London market will drop 40% what else would they say ? don`t bother buying because it will be cheaper later ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Kirk Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Quote dmendez to JLASSET Yesterday at 11:53 > London prices expected a huge correction in the region of 30 to 40% BMV over the next 12 months That's one heck of a prediction. Its wrong, but fair play to you for sticking your neck on the line By "its wrong" does he mean "I'll be ruined". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Kirk Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, happyguy said: Been hearing this for 10 years So one agent says it will drop by 20% - for more do not Prime London has certainly fallen - most areas have dropped slightly Savills say that London will go up 4.5% over the next 5 years with bigger rises in the Midlands and North, but this one agents view is taken as a portent that the London market will drop 40% Just before the last bubble popped, interest rates were 5.75% and there was talk of raising them to 6%. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2007/jul/05/interestrates.interestrates They managed to stop the falls and reflate the market by suppressing rates to 0.5% for a decade. Rates are still only at 0.75%. If housing is topping again, which it possibly is, then this time it could really sink. They can't exactly cut rates by 5% to reflate the bubble! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Captain Kirk said: Just before the last bubble popped, interest rates were 5.75% and there was talk of raising them to 6%. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2007/jul/05/interestrates.interestrates They managed to stop the falls and reflate the market by suppressing rates to 0.5% for a decade. Rates are still only at 0.75%. If housing is topping again, which it possibly is, then this time it could really sink. They can't exactly cut rates by 5% to reflate the bubble! Their plan is to inflate the debt away along with any savings ! quite how they do this with suppressed wages is anyone's guess. Citizens income ? 1k a month for everyone to make up the short fall in confetti salaries, money creation at a direct level rather than hidden through debt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simvastatin Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 ....as we are a contra website how long before we start ramping up property Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winkie Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frederico Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 22 minutes ago, longgone said: Their plan is to inflate the debt away along with any savings ! quite how they do this with suppressed wages is anyone's guess. Citizens income ? 1k a month for everyone to make up the short fall in confetti salaries, money creation at a direct level rather than hidden through debt. Indeed, low rates, tried that , printing money, tried that , it's almost as if the central banks haven't got a clue. Of course their remit is financial stability, but they are so dumb they don't realise they are baking in more instability not less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce Banner Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 4 hours ago, happyguy said: Been hearing this for 10 years So one agent says it will drop by 20% - for more do not Prime London has certainly fallen - most areas have dropped slightly Savills say that London will go up 4.5% over the next 5 years with bigger rises in the Midlands and North, but this one agents view is taken as a portent that the London market will drop 40% Swimming against the tide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 5 hours ago, frederico said: Indeed, low rates, tried that , printing money, tried that , it's almost as if the central banks haven't got a clue. Of course their remit is financial stability, but they are so dumb they don't realise they are baking in more instability not less. These people are not dumb by a long shot. They are masters of disguise "everything that is negative is a positive to someone" analyse any event be it tragic perceived dumb or anything else, every situation needs reverse engineering and multiple points of view to understand. Once the kaleidoscope of lies and views can be fully seen can situations be beneficial to selective parties. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrtickle Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 This was a great post from that thread: Quote alex2288a Yesterday at 20:42 Just checked land registry data and London price average was 295k in 2011 and is 485k today, so a 40% fall would only put us back to 2011 values, so still higher than the 2007 high. Doesn't seem too far fetched as fundamentally the country is in no stronger a position than in 2011. Showing that the whole rise of the last 10 years has been caused by cheap credit and help to buy. Wow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macca13 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 8 hours ago, longgone said: Their plan is to inflate the debt away along with any savings ! quite how they do this with suppressed wages is anyone's guess. Citizens income ? 1k a month for everyone to make up the short fall in confetti salaries, money creation at a direct level rather than hidden through debt. They have already been doing that for years! housing benefits £27 billion per year working tax credits £32 billion per year without these 2 benefits alone house prices would crash! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOLZHENITSYN Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 16 hours ago, happyguy said: Been hearing this for 10 years So one agent says it will drop by 20% - for more do not Prime London has certainly fallen - most areas have dropped slightly Savills say that London will go up 4.5% over the next 5 years with bigger rises in the Midlands and North, but this one agents view is taken as a portent that the London market will drop 40% ? So with inflation running at 2.5 to 3% annually, that’s about another 10% drop in values in real terms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winkie Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 16 hours ago, happyguy said: Been hearing this for 10 years So one agent says it will drop by 20% - for more do not Prime London has certainly fallen - most areas have dropped slightly Savills say that London will go up 4.5% over the next 5 years with bigger rises in the Midlands and North, but this one agents view is taken as a portent that the London market will drop 40% Less than 1% pa over next 5 years.....wow. Loss of 40%......is not a loss to those that purchased not that long ago....40% loss is not a loss if not selling.....or not buying to sell.? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 prices at pre HTB levels would make me buy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frederico Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 11 hours ago, longgone said: These people are not dumb by a long shot. They are masters of disguise "everything that is negative is a positive to someone" analyse any event be it tragic perceived dumb or anything else, every situation needs reverse engineering and multiple points of view to understand. Once the kaleidoscope of lies and views can be fully seen can situations be beneficial to selective parties. Unfortunately, I have to agree, presumably they're all selling up on the quiet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenDevil Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 On 02/11/2018 at 17:00, Captain Kirk said: Just before the last bubble popped, interest rates were 5.75% and there was talk of raising them to 6%. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2007/jul/05/interestrates.interestrates They managed to stop the falls and reflate the market by suppressing rates to 0.5% for a decade. Rates are still only at 0.75%. If housing is topping again, which it possibly is, then this time it could really sink. They can't exactly cut rates by 5% to reflate the bubble! HTB turbo 50% plus? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longgone Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 On 02/11/2018 at 17:00, Captain Kirk said: Just before the last bubble popped, interest rates were 5.75% and there was talk of raising them to 6%. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2007/jul/05/interestrates.interestrates They managed to stop the falls and reflate the market by suppressing rates to 0.5% for a decade. Rates are still only at 0.75%. If housing is topping again, which it possibly is, then this time it could really sink. They can't exactly cut rates by 5% to reflate the bubble! the good old days when money was worth something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.