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anonlymouse

International HPC imminent?

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Chatting to a close friend who writes for a well known financial website which is regularly posted here. Lots of jostling for position in their office at the moment for lead correspondent on overseas property - all their contacts in the financial / property industry are getting quite nervous of the bubbles bursting.

Not much better than 'a bloke down the pub said' hence why it's here in anecdotals but was much encouraged by the indications that the pros are coming to the same conclusions as the armchair pundits. 

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Thank you for this, anonylmouse! I appreciate you can't go into much detail, but I was hoping your post would winkle out a few similar anecdotals from others. Alas, I don't have those kind of connections ... but is there any more you can say? Any countries attracting rumours that haven't been discussed here yet? We have had posts on Australia and Canada recently, but are the concerns more widespread, and coming from unanticipated countries? Can you say which parts of the financial industry (which is a very broad church) are making these kinds of calls?

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On 2017-6-6 at 8:24 PM, Toast said:

We have had posts on Australia and Canada recently, but are the concerns more widespread, and coming from unanticipated countries? Can you say which parts of the financial industry (which is a very broad church) are making these kinds of calls?

It's the other anglosphere G7 countries (CAN AUS NZ) + HK & Singapore that are attracting attention. Essentially anywhere with a big connection to dodgy Chinese lending.

Unrelated but will be correlated in this country is oversupply - a couple of large Real Estate Investment Trusts foresaw the number of starts on site occurring in 2014-2015 for both high end residential and A1 commercial office meant that a big oversupply of both would hit the market at the same time. As a result they stopped building new space since then and have ensured that either everything has sold or is fully occupied by long term tenants and have ensured that they hold large cash margins (~25%) in their funds.

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