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2017 Predictions Thread

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OK I'll kick it off:

1. Total HPC of course. Annual HPI will be running at -10% by the end of the year and the decline will start in March.

2. The Syrian government will win the civil war off the back of greater US/Russia cooperation but Isil will be destroyed.

3. There will be at least 2 sovereign defaults in emerging economies due to USD rises making USD denominated debt obligations impossible to pay.

4. Italy will abandon the Euro. It will suffer a terrible recession for 6 months but the value of the Lira will soar before the end of the year and the Euro will collapse.

5. The EU will accept any deal offered by the UK and will create a new associate member status applicable to all non Eurozone members the terms of which will be dictated by the UK.

6. Taiwan will gain independence and international recognition as an independent state.

Sticking my neck out here, mainly based on hope and fear.

What are your predictions for 2017?

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