Jump to content
House Price Crash Forum
Sign in to follow this  


Recommended Posts

These are some basic scenarios I've been working on. Companies like Shell do not try to predict houses will rise x.y% in the future, but complile a number of internally consistent scenarios, any one of which may occur. Again these are very much work in progress and comments appreciated. I'm thinking of keeping them fairly simple with only the most important factors included.

Word 97 format: can be read using Wordpad



Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites


what we've seen over the last 10 years...GLOBALLY,is a slackening of money supply.

even in japan where deflation has occurred the central banks have in reality been paying people to borrow money....some canny souls have done just that and borrowed lots at 0% from BOJ,to pile into higher yielding assets like US bonds over the last few years....it's still happening,that's why the fed aren't too concerned about the inverted yield curve.

...the last ones to catch on have done this with bonds and property without much thought,and they will get stung.

global tightening of money supply is much more worrying,it would threaten the world economy if done too severely....resulting in war,lots of it in order to secure resources....oh hold on,that's what we're getting!

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • 301 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?

      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%

  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.