Dave Beans Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 26 minutes ago, crouch said: So we will see hundreds of billions in all sorts of industries disappear in short order? I see. Hmm... Well I can't beat omniscience and that's a fact. I would normally say that such an assertion is utterly delusional and would only be made by an idiot who has no idea what they're talking about but if you know well.. We'll just see these firms will moving back into the single market. It'll be a slow burn... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
thecrashingisles Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 38 minutes ago, crouch said: So we will see hundreds of billions in all sorts of industries disappear in short order? I see. Hmm... You think it will be more of a slow burn drag on the economy? If you were making a decision on where to invest, why would you choose the place with more political risk without a good incentive? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ames Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 52 minutes ago, thehowler said: I'm starting to think Labour's way out is to leave the EU. Ya think? What took you so long? Corbyn and Marxist McDonnell are leavers; the EU is anathema to both of them. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
crouch Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 (edited) 51 minutes ago, Dave Beans said: We'll just see these firms will moving back into the single market. It'll be a slow burn... A far more plausible scenario - which was actually what I was getting at. Must always retain perspective on these things. But will it happen? Many countries trade with the SM without being members of the EU; as long as you comply with regulations - which we already do. Do we need to join China to trade with them? The EU is in structural decline and this will continue; the growth areas are elsewhere. As we have a huge trade deficit with the EU why assume that the slow burn reduction in exports will not be matched by a slow burn reduction in imports? Most Remainers think the pound will come down sharply after we leave which will encourage import substitution and encourage exports. Perspective, always perspective. There are other possibilities in the World apart from the EU. Edited September 23, 2019 by crouch Quote Link to post Share on other sites
thehowler Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 31 minutes ago, Ames said: Ya think? What took you so long? Corbyn and Marxist McDonnell are leavers; the EU is anathema to both of them. Do Emily and Keir know it though? Keir knew the vote wasn't going through, I suspect, would explain why his speech was so reticent and pro-Corbs. Hearing there's a motion tomorrow to guarantee free movement in any Labour brexit deal, but will it be enough to keep the remainers in the tent? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
zugzwang Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Ames said: Ya think? What took you so long? Corbyn and Marxist McDonnell are leavers; the EU is anathema to both of them. Corbyn, yes: McDonnell, no. The Lexit argument is essentially a demand for greater fiscal latitude (higher deficits for longer). Corbyn and McDonnell have both cited the six weeks of talks they had with Mrs May this Summer as a reason to believe a Better Deal is possible. Edited September 23, 2019 by zugzwang Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MonsieurCopperCrutch Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 8 hours ago, allfiredup said: Its the English that are are fighting for independence, the same could be said about the 3 nations, and rightly so. Where they are going wrong is thinking the EU is their answer to independence. Cornwall also want independence from the English. No wonder why. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
zugzwang Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 9 minutes ago, thehowler said: Do Emily and Keir know it though? Keir knew the vote wasn't going through, I suspect, would explain why his speech was so reticent and pro-Corbs. Hearing there's a motion tomorrow to guarantee free movement in any Labour brexit deal, but will it be enough to keep the remainers in the tent? It looks like the Corbynistas have pulled off another low-down, dirty street-fighting coup against the Centrists! https://www.itv.com/news/2019-09-23/how-jeremy-corbyn-stitched-up-labours-brexit-vote-writes-robert-peston/b Quote Labour's leadership may have failed in the "drive by shooting" of Tom Watson (using his colourful words) but they have totally stitched up NEC and conference Brexit votes - by making sure their supporters were largely in the room, and keeping out those pesky Remainers. None of this should come as a surprise. But it was still awe-inspiring to watch in action. The point is that for the past 24 hours, all the attention has been on which way the big unions would vote. And when Unison turned against Corbyn's Brexit neutrality it looked as if the Remainers might just squeak a victory. But in the end the unions' position was irrelevant. Because the conference votes were done by a show of hands. And guess what? There just weren't many Remainers on the conference floor. I wonder how that happened? It's a bit like how two crucial 8am NEC meetings were cancelled and requests for emailed submissions on the Brexit policy were made at around midnight on the prior evenings, making it almost impossible for Corbyn's critics to get their act together. The Brexit position of the trade unions was always a red herring, what magicians call misdirection. What mattered was who was in the hall. And that was sorted weeks ago though the choice of delegates. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ah-so Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 3 hours ago, kzb said: It does have direct applicability to the matter in hand. But you don't know what that is. Use the trackback arrow on my posts to go back to where it started then you might be able to say something useful. Fair enough - I did wade in quite late Quote Link to post Share on other sites
thehowler Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 (edited) 48 minutes ago, zugzwang said: It looks like the Corbynistas have pulled off another low-down, dirty street-fighting coup against the Centrists! Aye, Big Len won today. And Swinson can now call Labour the Brexit party. Meanwhile...Tusk can't resist... Edited September 23, 2019 by thehowler Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Arpeggio Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 1 hour ago, crouch said: A far more plausible scenario - which was actually what I was getting at. Must always retain perspective on these things. But will it happen? Many countries trade with the SM without being members of the EU; as long as you comply with regulations - which we already do. Do we need to join China to trade with them? The EU is in structural decline and this will continue; the growth areas are elsewhere. As we have a huge trade deficit with the EU why assume that the slow burn reduction in exports will not be matched by a slow burn reduction in imports? Most Remainers think the pound will come down sharply after we leave which will encourage import substitution and encourage exports. Perspective, always perspective. There are other possibilities in the World apart from the EU. Yes. We buy £67Billion more stuff from the EU27 then they buy from us EU1. It's not just the UK's view of its own politicians that's the issue. It's also EU business and EU people's view of Brussels. If the UK approaches the EU with a deal that would suit and keep EU businesses happy, but the EU does not accept it, it will be seen as putting its political and empire aspirations above the economies and jobs of Europe. Already negative views of the EU from its other member states may increase. Other countries realizing they would have accepted and got such a trade deal if they were outside of the EU. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
thecrashingisles Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 19 minutes ago, thehowler said: Meanwhile...Tusk can't resist... Good to see. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Arpeggio Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 French Riots 45th week now. I think the French riot police are different in that they are paramilitary force. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Confusion of VIs Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 3 hours ago, thehowler said: When they started singing "OOoo Jeremy Corbyn" I thought to myself... ...how will they vote down the Labour Brexit deal he negotiates and puts before conference. It might be a Labour leave. Will Labour Remainer MPs jump ship in coming days? That assumes he wins the election and it's hard to see how that can happen now. They are going to bleed committed Leave and Remain voters to parties who have a clear message. The best way out for Corbyn now would be for Boris to get a deal and leave on the 31st. Maybe this is the plan and he will allow Labour MPs will help facilitate that. Maybe secretly he would be happy to see a no deal exit, calculating that a GE held in the midst of a shambolic exit would provide his best chance of winning. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
zugzwang Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 33 minutes ago, Arpeggio said: French Riots 45th week now. I think the French riot police are different in that they are paramilitary force. Riots? Somebody lit a flare and then they all had a group hug. WTF? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Arpeggio Posted September 23, 2019 Report Share Posted September 23, 2019 (edited) 17 minutes ago, zugzwang said: Riots? Somebody lit a flare and then they all had a group hug. WTF? If you’re going to be that deluded, it’s better not to do it right next to the video, which that is your interpretation of. Edited September 23, 2019 by Arpeggio Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Grayphil Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 2 hours ago, zugzwang said: Riots? Somebody lit a flare and then they all had a group hug. WTF? I'm guessing you have never been in a riot and felt teargas. Takshin square in instanbul, I found myself wrong place wrong time, and for far too long. It's terrifying.. Don't make jokes ..may be coming soon. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Grayphil Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 2 hours ago, Arpeggio said: If you’re going to be that deluded, it’s better not to do it right next to the video, which that is your interpretation of. We may possibly agree on something!? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Peter Hun Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 7 hours ago, Confusion of VIs said: Maybe secretly he would be happy to see a no deal exit, calculating that a GE held in the midst of a shambolic exit would provide his best chance of winning. +1 Labour's best hope for election victory is a Tory Brexit. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mikhail Liebenstein Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 12 hours ago, smash said: Good, we did vote leave after all, I'm not a "remainer" I think the result needs to be respected. What result? Oh you mean the non binding referendum, that would have been declared illegal if it had been binding? There is no result to be respected and there is was no poll on the will of the people. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
IMHAL Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 14 hours ago, Riedquat said: We've got a system where those people are screwed regardless - they never benefited from the growth that you're saying we'll lose. It's the same point again about the UK having plenty of wealth but poor wealth distribution. The latter is the area that needs targeting to help those people but the arguments are all about the effects on the former. Not an excuse to deliver a system that is even more screwed. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
IMHAL Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 14 hours ago, crouch said: Well that's a relief. And after we've not pussyfooted around - then? The rise of the parties that are four square behind rejoining. Election based on Remain ticket. Win. Rejoin. No waiting around for 30 years to satisfy thoses who are long gone, idealists and the generally dissociated from reality with hysterical anti EU fantasies. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
IMHAL Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 11 hours ago, crouch said: A far more plausible scenario - which was actually what I was getting at. Must always retain perspective on these things. But will it happen? Many countries trade with the SM without being members of the EU; as long as you comply with regulations - which we already do. Do we need to join China to trade with them? The EU is in structural decline and this will continue; the growth areas are elsewhere. As we have a huge trade deficit with the EU why assume that the slow burn reduction in exports will not be matched by a slow burn reduction in imports? Most Remainers think the pound will come down sharply after we leave which will encourage import substitution and encourage exports. Perspective, always perspective. There are other possibilities in the World apart from the EU. Lovely....what is the credible plan? Where is the credible forecast? No plan, No forecast = Jam Tomorrow Fantasist. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
grasshopper Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 1 hour ago, Peter Hun said: +1 Labour's best hope for election victory is a Tory Brexit. Superficially, it may seem an attractive option for Labour. In reality, it would open up a deep divide, greater than that which was seen yesterday at conference. One faction would seek to rejoin the EU at the earliest opportunity and the other would seek a close working relationship with the EU outside its political structures. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
crouch Posted September 24, 2019 Report Share Posted September 24, 2019 37 minutes ago, IMHAL said: The rise of the parties that are four square behind rejoining. Election based on Remain ticket. Win. Rejoin. No waiting around for 30 years to satisfy thoses who are long gone, idealists and the generally dissociated from reality with hysterical anti EU fantasies. Well, sorted then! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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