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Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.


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HOLA441
 

The problem primarily is people understanding what they are voting for and latterly having the tools to fend off SM poison.

The language of social media poison is mainstream politics and is now used in the house of commons. We have Tory MPs standing up and making a "point" by taking a pop at Marcus Rashford describing him as "virtue signalling on twitter..". When that last night of the proms nonsense was in full torrent the new MP for Beaconsfield stood up and attacked the BBC with "woke" jibes.

Thats the cr&p that passes there now.

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HOLA442
 

No, they installed Johnson because the Brexit Party topped the vote in May and they were terrified of the same thing happening in a General Election. It had nothing to do with votes in parliament.

I disagree. If Labour had backed her deal it would have passed. She still had a big chunk of her party. The Tories would then have bided their time before dethroning her.

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HOLA443
 

And now a no deal is going to make them poorer and take away even more of their jobs.  But then, they voted for it............

That is still to be proven however. They certainly weren't facing any prospects of things getting better for them whilst we were part of the EU, so they will probably be less bothered than others if things do still keep getting worse, because as far as they were concerned, things were going to get worse anyway. A case of nothing ventured, nothing gained to them.

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HOLA444
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HOLA445
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HOLA446
 

Johnson really seemed to think that if he locked himself into the No Deal capsule and threw away the key, the EU would give in to him. The reports of desperate attempts to set up side negotiations with Merkel and Macron suggest he still believes it.

That's no different to the gunboat pap, put out by "senior sources". A poster of your pedigree shouldn't buy into it.

And even so, it can be played as a snub from the French and Germans and is counterproductive - will only help the dawn hate of the Brexit boosters.

Not boxing clever.

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HOLA447
 

But many weren't feeling the country was gaining in prosperity from which they were benefitting. They felt such things as the NHS, schools, infrastructure and their living standards were declining as part of the EU. Hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs were lost through the Nineties and Noughties due to offshoring and outsourcing. The EU did nothing to protect them. They had no intention of going to work in the EU nor travelling around it, so freedom of movement wasn't a benefit to them in that regard and they were suffering from it in the reverse. And if they had the cheek to speak up about this, they were just called racists and ignored. And then the remain campaign failed to sell them any prospects of how voting for more of the same would improve any of this for them. Hardly a surprise they decided to vote for something different instead.

I make no excuses for the respective governments that failed to address the social contract and spunk the money gained from our realtionship with the EU on follies (10bn for a NHS database that came to nowt for example or failing to implement controls on immigration through the benefits system etc). But those are internal problems of  our making, not the EU.

Politicians never blame themselves, rgey take the easy option. People seem to believe them. Seems that we have decided to do the easy thing..... blame the 'other' rather than address our core issues. Good luck with that....the outcome is close and we will see what Brexit will bring....we won't have to speculate for very long. We will see the relative benefits of in or out.

I am confident that most people lives will be worse out of the EU. Let's see if that is the case. 

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HOLA448
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HOLA449
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HOLA4410
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HOLA4411
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HOLA4412
 

That said, woudn't you like... ...to know exactly what the UK govt and the EU are arguing about on the LPF, given the threat is we crash out with no deal?

I would.

Maybe.  My suspicion is that the "Level Playing Field" argument must be a fundamental difference.  My interpretation of LPF from the EU is requiring full compliance with the EU - just as it does from all members... and that, in short, this is the only cost of membership.  If the EU insists on the LPF, it insists on all the negatives from membership - and is only willing to deny Britain benefits.  This interpretation of LPF means that no-deal is inevitable... and 'fishing' is kept in the mix as a distraction.

I've long thought that it isn't possible to negotiate anything while either the EU, or Britain, 'enjoy' the consequences of British EU membership.  Until the base-line becomes 'no relationship' - it seems unlikely that mutually beneficial agreements can be found... because expectations are anchored on the status-quo.

My guess is that the EU and the UK negotiators have known this for a long time... and that we're being told nothing because there isn't really anything to discuss.

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HOLA4413
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HOLA4414
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HOLA4415
 

Maybe.  My suspicion is that the "Level Playing Field" argument must be a fundamental difference.

You might be right. But don't you think that as a citizen - of either the UK or the EU - you have a right to see the detail of what they're spatting about BEFORE they decide it's no deal?

Why haven't the EU published the texts?

They either think they're fair and appropriate or they don't. No reason not to show us what they think is fair and reasonable.

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HOLA4416
 

So apparently there's this BIG DEADLINE tomorrow on the talks...

Does anyone know what time it is?

Farce.

You still hanging out for a final act where there is a happy ending I see. 

If there is a no-deal, what then in Howler land? Do you keep plugging the holes in HMS Brexit and sail on?  

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HOLA4417
 

Yeah true you have a point, plenty of non jobs that are not wanted or needed.  Maybe we could think about introducing a citizens income now that we have our 'sovereignty' back.

That would align with what appears to be the political direction. Do you happen to know what the various Communist authorities called their 'citizens income'?

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HOLA4418
 

I make no excuses for the respective governments that failed to address the social contract and spunk the money gained from our realtionship with the EU on follies (10bn for a NHS database that came to nowt for example or failing to implement controls on immigration through the benefits system etc). But those are internal problems of  our making, not the EU.

Politicians never blame themselves, rgey take the easy option. People seem to believe them. Seems that we have decided to do the easy thing..... blame the 'other' rather than address our core issues. Good luck with that....the outcome is close and we will see what Brexit will bring....we won't have to speculate for very long. We will see the relative benefits of in or out.

I am confident that most people lives will be worse out of the EU. Let's see if that is the case. 

I don't disagree with this and our MPs are definitely at fault, especially as they would try and shift blame onto the EU, rather than shoulder responsibility. So perhaps, if things do keep getting worse for them (which was going to happen anyway in their opinion if we remained, so nothing lost to them there) they will be happy feeling that now MPs will be easier to hold to account. Seeing Cameron sent packing by the EU with his tail between his legs would only have increased their feeling that the EU ran the UK, not the UK.

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HOLA4419
 

How long do you think they would have taken? Do you think they would have allowed her to translate her WA into a long term trade deal?

No. I think she would have offered a GE or a 2nd ref at the end of the (longer) transition.

That was one of the main reasons I backed the May deal, I thought it would acknowledge the referendum result but leave enough time for a reevaluation to be possible.

We had to pass the WA first and be seen to be leaving.

I think you agree with me - you're just reluctant.

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HOLA4420
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HOLA4421
 

I don't disagree with this and our MPs are definitely at fault, especially as they would try and shift blame onto the EU, rather than shoulder responsibility. So perhaps, if things do keep getting worse for them (which was going to happen anyway in their opinion if we remained, so nothing lost to them there) they will be happy feeling that now MPs will be easier to hold to account. Seeing Cameron sent packing by the EU with his tail between his legs would only have increased their feeling that the EU ran the UK, not the UK.

Good, finally time to put to bed the hypothesis that the EU is to blame. Good luck seeing as we have the same government running things...especially so when we will be poorer with less scope to keep our services resourced. Seems to me like we will have learned alot from this, but at great expense to all of us. 

Edited by IMHAL
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HOLA4422
 

You still hanging out for a final act where there is a happy ending I see. 

If there is a no-deal, what then in Howler land? Do you keep plugging the holes in HMS Brexit and sail on?  

Of course, I can't see why anyone would prefer no deal to a deal. I can't see the sense in deliberately making things worse than they need to be and I don't buy the "learning their lessons" stuff. But you know all that.

If it goes no deal I plan to disengage fully from current affairs.

I plan to do the same if we get a deal.

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HOLA4423
 

What time in the evening?

Is it a deadline on whether to agree more talks or call it quits?

It's possible, if the UK need more time to negotiate the EU will agree another deadline.

Boris Johnson and Ursula von der Leyen to discuss whether to continue talks

British prime minister Boris Johnson and European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen are to speak on Sunday to decide whether to continue negotiations to reach a trade deal and avoid a damaging shift to default terms.

irishtimes

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HOLA4424
 

Good, finally time to put to bed the hypothesis that the EU is to blame. Good luck seeing as we have the same government running things...especially so when we will be poorer with less scope to keep our services resourced. Seems to me like we will have learned alot from this, but at great expense to all of us. 

Apportioning blame is so passé.

It's time to move on.

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HOLA4425

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