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Executive Sadman

1St By-Election Of The 2015-2020 Parliament....who Will Win?

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IMO should be a solid labour win. Cast Iron 30-35% Muslim voter demographic gives labour a far better starting point than neighbouring Heywood at little more than 5% muslim (by election which they still won). That and the word on the street is CCHQ is telling tory voters to vote Labour in order to keep Corbyn from being overthrown.

My prediction

Labour 50% (down 5)

UKIP 30% (up 10)

Tory 15% (down 4)

Others 5% (same)

So probably a non-event.

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No way UKIP can win in a seat where the united Muslim vote will carry it.

They can hope for a decent showing though.

Another couple of percentage points up on the GE, looks like they were taken from the tories. Amazing result for labour though!

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