spyguy Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Yes. 0.02% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Yes. 0.02% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killer Bunny Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 They'll raise to 3% today. Certain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giraffe Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 they go to minus 0.1 and announce QE4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agentimmo Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 0.25% raise. ...and Yellen or one of her team to die in a nasty car accident within 4 weeks as a reminder of what can happen when you don't heed your Masters ;-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Executive Sadman Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 I think so too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crashmonitor Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 (edited) This will they won't they thing might be more destabilising now than just getting it over with. They are pretty much in the same position as the UK with near full employment, only the 5% unemployable left; relatively strong GDP and very strong wage growth. Again like the UK which is seeing real wage growth of 2.9%. Leave things any longer and wage growth may pick up further. The only reason to hold off is to save emerging economies and capital flight might become a stampede into the mighty dollar. Global destabilsation might come back to bite if the EMs completely fall apart, Markets are pricing in a 30% chance. Edited September 17, 2015 by crashmonitor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rantnrave Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 If they don't, when is the next window of opportunity? I know some months are more likely than others due to the different data sets which have become available. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andygivenup Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 It's a no from me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason the 4th Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Nope. They'll bottle it using China as an excuse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crashmonitor Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 (edited) I note the OECD is becoming alarmed at the US mini boom and is advising the Fed to get on with it. That in contrast to the World Bank and IMF that is siding with the EMs. Edited September 17, 2015 by crashmonitor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crashmonitor Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 (edited) The OECD urges a raise but slowly does it. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11868576/OECD-debt-storm-looms-as-US-walks-tightrope-of-higher-interest-rates.html Edited September 17, 2015 by crashmonitor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shindigger Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 It will not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Errol Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 (edited) There is no recovery of any kind (apart from vast increases in debt). The charts below are using the FED's own figures. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-16/obamas-recovery-just-9-charts Edited September 17, 2015 by Errol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LC1 Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 They sure paint a pretty picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCountOfNowhere Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 There is no recovery of any kind (apart from vast increases in debt). The charts below are using the FED's own figures. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-16/obamas-recovery-just-9-charts Debt = spending broght forward. Bring all the spending forward and the people at the top of the pile right now profit massively. What follows is a depressionary black hole while people are made pay the money back or the debt bubble collapses. The end is neigh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyrichie Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 what are u guys talking about? its a no, it is down, it will go up when the dollar starts to drop fast so their will be a currency war between uk germany and usa and any others that have been delaying the inevitable, if it was to go up by say 0.25-0.5% they will be pulling the rug under your eyes as that would make it drop into negitive faster and harder in six months time. the only way its gona go up and stay up is if usa open the borders to mexico... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyrichie Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Debt = spending broght forward. Bring all the spending forward and the people at the top of the pile right now profit massively. What follows is a depressionary black hole while people are made pay the money back or the debt bubble collapses. The end is neigh. very nice, nice and simple explanation. in the uk its easier to understand 4 me than the usa because over here we locked up out kids for 2 extra years which would have sent our currency into a nose dive if it wasnt 4 the imigrants propping up the gdp, now as these extra kids hit the market with high imigration is the time for really low interest rates so that they can pay large interest rates back later down the line, ill give it till the imigration figures start to drop off (probbably by cutting income support for 1st 3 months or somthing like that) before a rocket goes up our £'s interests ass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rantnrave Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Just as they wavered over the taper, I'm guessing they'll faff around here. It will be a No IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Democorruptcy Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 +0.1% With a warning that they will be vigilant that the economy can stand such a huge increase and reverse thrust will soon be engaged if necessary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killer Bunny Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Just as they wavered over the taper, I'm guessing they'll faff around here. It will be a No IMO. They didn't waver over the taper. it was nonsense throughout. it was bankers - getting everyone selling USTs so they could buy - and media playing stupid games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pipllman Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 I expect no change today If there is a raise, I expect a cut within 3 FOMC meetings.... That said, I won't be hugely surprised to be wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Masked Tulip Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 Interesting though... the last time the US Fed raised rates... the iphone did not exist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
@contradevian Posted September 17, 2015 Share Posted September 17, 2015 They'll raise to 3% today. Certain. Recklessly irresponsible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spyguy Posted September 17, 2015 Author Share Posted September 17, 2015 Typo: I meant 0.2% rise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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