SpewLabour Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Come on then, take yer best guess at the result. This one's going to be difficult to predict with the polls so close, but the 3-4% inbuilt advantage Labour gets due to the boundaries that weren't corrected this parliament due to the Lib Dem renaging on their promise will have a huge effect. I reckon Labour wipeout in Scotland, Tories and Labour neck and neck, but we'll end up with a SNP/Labour coalition. UKIP will get no more than 5 seats but will come 3rd in the % of votes cast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkins Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Tories largest party but well short of a majority even in coalition with LibDems, after a few weeks of the most boring constitutional crisis ever Miliband becomes PM of a Labour minority government which lasts 5 years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Errol Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 UKIP getting 5 seats would be massive. We can only hope. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EUBanana Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP > 45 seats UKIP, I'll predict 3 seats (Farage, Carswell, Aker - Reckless will lose) LibDems, I'm gonna say about 30 seats, slim chance Clegg loses but I doubt it personally Tory/Labour on about the same, well short of a majority, think Labour will do better than expected, gonna say they are the largest party but only just Then what will happen is some sort of minority government. I think a gentleman's agreement will be made between the big two to abstain on critical 'keep the government going' issues to avoid further elections and to keep the SNP frozen out of the corridors of power. After an obvious stitch up like that the Scots will be rightfully pissed off - Scottish independence within 10 years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billybong Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 The Conservatives to make no serious effort to form a coalition mindful of avoiding a referendum on the eu. Any coalition is likely to be very flimsy at any rate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Executive Sadman Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Tories 10 million votes Labour 9 to 9.5 million UKIP 3.25 million Libdem 3 million Green 2 million SNP 1 million Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidg Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Labour minority govt but with less popular vote than the tories and less seats. Even with SNP votes popular vote is barely ahead of Tories. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Butthead Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Tories and Labour get roughly the same amount of seats and fall short of a majority SNP take virtually all of Scotland Lib Dems obliterated, fewer than half the seats of the 2010 election and Clegg loses his seat UKIP win 5 seats and win 20% of the vote Post election chaos, no party or leader can claim legitimacy, another election within 3 months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Errol Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Should end up with a Labour/SNP arrangement if the polls are correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Errol Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 (edited) Post election chaos, no party or leader can claim legitimacy, another election within 3 months. They don't need to 'claim legitimacy'. If they can command a majority of the Commons they can govern. And have every right to do so. Edited May 7, 2015 by Errol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SarahBell Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 UKIP getting 5 seats would be massive. We can only hope. Libdems getting 5 seats will be massive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellerkat Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 They don't need to 'claim legitimacy'. If they can command a majority of the Commons they can govern. And have every right to do so. Yes, where did all this 'legitimacy' bollix come from? If you can get the Queen's Speech, Budget and legislative program through the Commons you're legit. Libdems getting 5 seats will be massive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AThirdWay Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP > 45 seats UKIP, I'll predict 3 seats (Farage, Carswell, Aker - Reckless will lose) LibDems, I'm gonna say about 30 seats, slim chance Clegg loses but I doubt it personally Tory/Labour on about the same, well short of a majority, think Labour will do better than expected, gonna say they are the largest party but only just Then what will happen is some sort of minority government. I think a gentleman's agreement will be made between the big two to abstain on critical 'keep the government going' issues to avoid further elections and to keep the SNP frozen out of the corridors of power. After an obvious stitch up like that the Scots will be rightfully pissed off - Scottish independence within 10 years. I don't think the SNP will get as much as 45 seats, but enough to tip the balance. Apart from that, pretty much how I see it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest UK Debt Slave Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Should end up with a Labour/SNP arrangement if the polls are correct. Despite Red Ed saying he wont cut any deals with the SNP thugs YEAH! RIGHT ED! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpewLabour Posted May 7, 2015 Author Share Posted May 7, 2015 I don't think the SNP will get as much as 45 seats, but enough to tip the balance. Apart from that, pretty much how I see it. Oooh I do. Reckon they're on for 50 plus, and could very possibly do a clean sweep. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EUBanana Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 UKIP win 5 seats and win 20% of the vote Optimistic. If that happens the powers that be will be absolutely bricking it! 15% would be bad enough. Much depends on how many seats they came second in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spongeh Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Optimistic. If that happens the powers that be will be absolutely bricking it! 15% would be bad enough. Much depends on how many seats they came second in. I think 5 seats & 20% is a little optimistic, but not out of the realms of possibility. Most betting odds have them at 3 - 4 seats, but if the feeling I get from my local seat is correct then I think that is on the low side. I'll predict the following: 4 seats 19% of the vote 2nd place in 120 seats (mostly Labour) - this will make them think twice about a 2nd election later in the year Grand coalition of Conservative & Labour to keep SNP/UKIP/Greens out of any sort of power, but it will fail within 6 months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EUBanana Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Oooh I do. Reckon they're on for 50 plus, and could very possibly do a clean sweep. Yeah, I'd say 45 is pretty reasonable for them. Though some have said maybe Labour won't collapse quite as much as anticipated, Ladbrokes have the SNP evens at 50 seats. But I don't think they'll form a coalition with Ed. Even though I'm sure the SNP would love that. I do think there'll be some sort of agreement among the Not-SNP so that doesn't happen - not a grand coalition or anything of the sort, I think it'll be more abstention from supply bills. I think if there's a whiff of grand coalition it will bite them in the azz very hard in 2020, so there'll try and fudge something short of that, while keeping the SNP out of the way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest UK Debt Slave Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 If UKIP poll 15% of the vote, then they have done stunningly well for a new party, IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AThirdWay Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Oooh I do. Reckon they're on for 50 plus, and could very possibly do a clean sweep. Perhaps I'm trying to protect myself from the disappointment felt on Sept. 19th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AThirdWay Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP thugs Nice... to quote South Lorne Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AThirdWay Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 If UKIP poll 15% of the vote, then they have done stunningly well for a new party, IMO After their results in the Euro's, I would be disappointed with that percentage. I'd just like to say, I don't think UKIP are thugs.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Si1 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Despite Red Ed saying he wont cut any deals with the SNP thugs YEAH! RIGHT ED! Just because they're impassioned doesn't make them thugs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs Bear Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Oooh I do. Reckon they're on for 50 plus, and could very possibly do a clean sweep. Not so sure. From all you hear, those who don't intend to vote SNP tend to keep very quiet about it. Not that I will be surprised either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goat Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Just because they're impassioned doesn't make them thugs. Nope, being thugs makes them thugs: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2758514/The-Seriously-Nasty-Party-With-one-day-damning-evidence-bullying-intimidation-voters-Scots-nationalists-just-ask-Miliband.html Pro-union voters have endured stone-throwing and been called traitors Many are now said to be too scared to show their support of a No vote Ed Miliband was forced to abandon visit to Edinburgh shopping centre Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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