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What Bubble? Wall Street To Turn P2P Loans Into Cdos

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So far this year, around $38 billion in auto loan-backed ABS issuance has hit the market, around a quarter of which is backed by subprime loans. Meanwhile, America’s $1.3 trillion pile of student debt is likewise being sliced, packaged, and sold even as real delinquency rates (i.e. the rate for students in repayment and stripping out those borrowers in IBR payment plans whose calculated payments are zero) are probably at least 40% if not far higher. All told, around $76 billion in ABS deals went off in Q1 and for 2015, the total should come in at around $200 billion. While that’s a far cry from the $750 billion or so that came to market in 2006, it’s still on par with last year, which saw the highest total since the crisis.


As far as the collateral pools backing the deals, there’s cause for concern. For instance, Moody’s recently warned that some $3 billion in student-loan backed paper was in danger of default, while Skopos Financial (to whom we introduced readers last week), brought a $150 deal to market backed by loans to borrowers whose FICO scores ranged from just 350 to 500. Now, it appears Wall Street is set to feed its securitization machine with a new kind of debt: peer-to-peer loans. You read that correctly. Soon enough, the pool of micro loans that are facilitated by sites like LendingClub will be used to create CDOs.

Via Bloomberg:

Barely a decade old, “P2P” has gone mainstream and is now being co-opted by some of the big financial players it was supposed to bypass.

Investment funds can’t get enough of this business, which involves lending to people over the Internet and hoping they pay you back. Investors are snapping up the loans directly, while the banks are bundling them into securities, much as they did with subprime mortgages.

Now peer-to-peer lending and its Internet enablers like LendingClub Corp., the industry leader, are being pulled into the high-octane world of derivatives. While many hail Wall Street’s growing involvement, others warn investors could get carried away, as they did during the dot-com era and again during the mortgage mania.
The new derivatives could help people hedge their risks, but they could also lure speculators into the market.

“It feels like the year 2000 again,”
said Frank Rotman, a partner at QED Investors, an Alexandria, Virginia-based venture-capital firm that has invested in Prosper Marketplace Inc., Social Finance Inc. and 13 other P2P lending platforms. “Everyone is chasing ’it,’ but they don’t know what ’it’ is, and that is kind of scary.”

Of course voracious demand is a direct product of central bank policies that have sent investors searching far and wide for yield and they’ve apparently become so desperate they’re now willing to gamble on the payment streams generated by loans made on peer-to-peer platforms.

Yeah another debt bubble????

The parasites are had to get rid off.

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